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920 Oak St
B Composite 71.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

920 Oak St · Syracuse, NY 13203
5 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,664 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1880 4,600 sqft lot $105/sqft · 11% below area Est $195k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM COLONIAL WITH VINYL SIDING AND A LARGE 3 CAR DETACHED GARAGE. GREAT FOR STOREAGE OR FOR THE SELF EMPLOYED INDIVIDUAL. THIS WONDERFUL HOME WAS ONCE A TWO FAMILY AND CAN EASILY BE TURNED BACK INTO ONE.

Key facts

  • 4,600 sq ft lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 1880

Tags

POTENTIAL FOR A 5TH BEDROOMIMPRESSIVE 3.5-CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Three garage spaces
  • Utilities: Cable available; High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical
  • Home design: Two-story house; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Covered porch; Porch; Blacktop driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Disposal; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Separate formal living room; Separate formal dining room; Pantry; Storage; Solid surface counters
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $616 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 55 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,148/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1566% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $175k implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $169,653 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.52%
Cash-on-cash
15.11%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$195,461
List price
$174,900
Delta
-10.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
619 Dewitt St 0.19mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,588 (-5%) 5mo $248,000 $156 74
105 Park St 0.15mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,776 (+7%) 4mo $195,000 $110 73
416 Elm St 0.65mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,665 (+0%) 6mo $215,000 $129 59
1521 Grant Blvd 0.50mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,625 (-2%) 10mo $185,000 $114 59
1309 Oak St 0.33mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,904 (+14%) 0mo $225,000 $118 55
805 Highland St 0.31mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,484 (-11%) 11mo $155,000 $104 52
805 E E Division St St 0.57mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,608 (-3%) 11mo $90,000 $56 52
1625 Butternut St 0.71mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,623 (-2%) 8mo $151,000 $93 50
318 Wendell Ter 0.42mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,866 (+12%) 3mo $252,000 $135 49
508 Elm St 0.54mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,440 (-14%) 0mo $160,000 $111 45
127 Schuler St 0.72mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,448 (-13%) 1mo $225,000 $155 39
112 Eldorado St 0.71mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,896 (+14%) 4mo $134,900 $71 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$22,229
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$121,394
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13203

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,148 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,084/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$451
Net cashflow
$616

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,368
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
423 Wendell Ter Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1312 $2,500 $1.91 13d 1 0.47mi
746 E Laurel St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 4.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 43d 1 0.47mi
135 Lexington Ave Unit 22 Syracuse, NY 5.0 2.0 1150 $2,500 $2.17 43d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,900 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,900 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $174,900 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $174,900 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $174,900 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,900 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $174,900 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $174,900 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $174,900 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $174,900 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $174,900 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    listed $174,900 Active 625-char remark
  17. 2013-09-27
    historical 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM COLONIAL WITH VINYL SIDING AND A LARGE 3 CAR DETACHED GARAGE. GREAT FOR STOREAGE OR FOR THE SELF EMPLOYED INDIVIDUAL. THIS WONDERFUL HOME WAS ONCE A TWO FAMILY AND CAN EASILY BE TURNED BACK INTO ONE.

  18. 2013-09-26
    soldstatus $52,000 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM COLONIAL WITH VINYL SIDING AND A LARGE 3 CAR DETACHED GARAGE. GREAT FOR STOREAGE OR FOR THE SELF EMPLOYED INDIVIDUAL. THIS WONDERFUL HOME WAS ONCE A TWO FAMILY AND CAN EASILY BE TURNED BACK INTO ONE.

  19. 2013-09-26
    soldstatus $52,000
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM COLONIAL WITH VINYL SIDING AND A LARGE 3 CAR DETACHED GARAGE. GREAT FOR STOREAGE OR FOR THE SELF EMPLOYED INDIVIDUAL. THIS WONDERFUL HOME WAS ONCE A TWO FAMILY AND CAN EASILY BE TURNED BACK INTO ONE.

  20. 2013-04-16
    listed $58,900 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM COLONIAL WITH VINYL SIDING AND A LARGE 3 CAR DETACHED GARAGE. GREAT FOR STOREAGE OR FOR THE SELF EMPLOYED INDIVIDUAL. THIS WONDERFUL HOME WAS ONCE A TWO FAMILY AND CAN EASILY BE TURNED BACK INTO ONE.

  21. 2012-07-30
    listed $59,900
  22. 2003-01-02
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,084 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,020 · $168/mo
Expected delta
+$936/yr (+$78/mo · 86.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,776
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$1,084
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,062
− Management
−$2,062
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable income
$4,808
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,154
After-tax cash flow
$6,244/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
16,180
Household income
$46,997
Rent vs Own
63.8% rent · 36.2% own
Severe rent burden
1566.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, India, Philippines
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.69%
Current HPI
263.2588
Rent YoY
▲ 8.39%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+337.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $174,900 CNYIS
  • 2013-09-27 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2013-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 2013-09-26 Sold (MLS) $52,000 CNYIS
  • 2013-04-16 Listed $58,900 CNYIS
  • 2012-07-30 Listed $59,900 CNYIS
  • 2003-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,084 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…