920 Oak St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM COLONIAL WITH VINYL SIDING AND A LARGE 3 CAR DETACHED GARAGE. GREAT FOR STOREAGE OR FOR THE SELF EMPLOYED INDIVIDUAL. THIS WONDERFUL HOME WAS ONCE A TWO FAMILY AND CAN EASILY BE TURNED BACK INTO ONE.
Key facts
- 4,600 sq ft lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1880
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Three garage spaces
- Utilities: Cable available; High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical
- Home design: Two-story house; Existing construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Covered porch; Porch; Blacktop driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Separate formal living room; Separate formal dining room; Pantry; Storage; Solid surface counters
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $616 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 55 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,148/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1566% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $175k implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.11%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,461
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- -10.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 619 Dewitt St | 0.19mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,588 (-5%) | 5mo | $248,000 | $156 | 74 |
| 105 Park St | 0.15mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,776 (+7%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $110 | 73 |
| 416 Elm St | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,665 (+0%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $129 | 59 |
| 1521 Grant Blvd | 0.50mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,625 (-2%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $114 | 59 |
| 1309 Oak St | 0.33mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,904 (+14%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $118 | 55 |
| 805 Highland St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,484 (-11%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $104 | 52 |
| 805 E E Division St St | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,608 (-3%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $56 | 52 |
| 1625 Butternut St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,623 (-2%) | 8mo | $151,000 | $93 | 50 |
| 318 Wendell Ter | 0.42mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,866 (+12%) | 3mo | $252,000 | $135 | 49 |
| 508 Elm St | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $111 | 45 |
| 127 Schuler St | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,448 (-13%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $155 | 39 |
| 112 Eldorado St | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,896 (+14%) | 4mo | $134,900 | $71 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $22,229
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $121,394
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13203
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,148 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,084/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $616
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 423 Wendell Ter Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 746 E Laurel St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 135 Lexington Ave Unit 22 Syracuse, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,500 | $2.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $174,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $174,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $174,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$174,900 Active 625-char remark
-
2013-09-27historical 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM COLONIAL WITH VINYL SIDING AND A LARGE 3 CAR DETACHED GARAGE. GREAT FOR STOREAGE OR FOR THE SELF EMPLOYED INDIVIDUAL. THIS WONDERFUL HOME WAS ONCE A TWO FAMILY AND CAN EASILY BE TURNED BACK INTO ONE.
-
2013-09-26soldstatus $52,000 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM COLONIAL WITH VINYL SIDING AND A LARGE 3 CAR DETACHED GARAGE. GREAT FOR STOREAGE OR FOR THE SELF EMPLOYED INDIVIDUAL. THIS WONDERFUL HOME WAS ONCE A TWO FAMILY AND CAN EASILY BE TURNED BACK INTO ONE.
-
2013-09-26soldstatus $52,000
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM COLONIAL WITH VINYL SIDING AND A LARGE 3 CAR DETACHED GARAGE. GREAT FOR STOREAGE OR FOR THE SELF EMPLOYED INDIVIDUAL. THIS WONDERFUL HOME WAS ONCE A TWO FAMILY AND CAN EASILY BE TURNED BACK INTO ONE.
-
2013-04-16$58,900 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
WELL MAINTAINED 4 BEDROOM COLONIAL WITH VINYL SIDING AND A LARGE 3 CAR DETACHED GARAGE. GREAT FOR STOREAGE OR FOR THE SELF EMPLOYED INDIVIDUAL. THIS WONDERFUL HOME WAS ONCE A TWO FAMILY AND CAN EASILY BE TURNED BACK INTO ONE.
-
2012-07-30$59,900
-
2003-01-02soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,084 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,020 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$936/yr (+$78/mo · 86.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,776
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$1,084
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,062
- − Management
- −$2,062
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable income
- $4,808
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,154
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,244/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,180
- Household income
- $46,997
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1566.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, India, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.69%
- Current HPI
- 263.2588
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.39%
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+337.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $174,900 CNYIS
- 2013-09-27 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2013-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2013-09-26 Sold (MLS) $52,000 CNYIS
- 2013-04-16 Listed $58,900 CNYIS
- 2012-07-30 Listed $59,900 CNYIS
- 2003-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,084 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…