2725 E Fir St #50 · Mount Vernon, WA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 81°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This Goldenwest home has 2 Spacious bedrooms at opposite ends with 2 living room/family room areas, a full Bath attached to the Primary Bedroom and a remodeled 3/4 bathroom near the 2nd Bedroom and a dining area & kitchen between the Living rooms. This design is perfect for the possibility of roomates wanting a separate bedroom, living room & bathroom faclities along with the shared use of the sparkling kitchen and dining area in between them. This scenario makes living in this well maintained, 55+ park even more affordable!The home has had several updates through the years including like-new appliances, recentlly installed vinyl flooring in the kitchen and both bathrooms as wel
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Like-new appliances
- Large pond
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Bus line nearby
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash; Land lease amount applies
- HOA & community: Located in Park Village (127 homes); Senior community; Manufactured home park amenities: BBQs, clubhouse, common area, high-speed internet available, RV parking; Park approved for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water (City of MV); Public sewer (City of MV); Electric service (PSE); Energy sources: Electric and natural gas
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; South-facing; Has lake waterfront view; Made by Goldenwest; Average condition
- Construction: Metal/Vinyl construction materials; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation with tie-downs; Manufactured house (double wide)
- Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Patio/porch/deck; Landscaped; Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; 1 bathtub; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heat; Stove / free-standing heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (wood-burning); Water heater (gas, located in utility closet); Jetted/soaking tub; Ceiling fan(s); Double pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.3% vs local median 2.4% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#106 in WA, #2,120 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+.
- Mount Vernon School District (urban): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #189 of 291 in WA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 561 units permitted in Skagit County in 2024 (270 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Skagit County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $75k implies a 295% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.61%
- DSCR
- 4.19
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $100,136
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -25.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2725 E Fir St | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,334 (-1%) | 11mo | $92,000 | $69 | 89 |
| 2725 E Fir St #13 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 13mo | $97,500 | $73 | 89 |
| 2725 E Fir St #41 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $68 | 86 |
| 2725 E Fir St #106 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 4mo | $52,000 | $36 | 84 |
| 2725 Fir St #22 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,272 (-5%) | 10mo | $75,500 | $59 | 83 |
| 2725 E Fir St #84 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (-5%) | 10mo | $122,000 | $95 | 83 |
| 2725 E Fir St #15 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 3mo | $97,000 | $84 | 72 |
| 2725 E Fir #99 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,524 (+13%) | 9mo | $82,000 | $54 | 70 |
| 2725 E Fir #43 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 9mo | $64,000 | $56 | 68 |
| 2725 E Fir St #110 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 12mo | $55,000 | $48 | 66 |
| 1915 N 33rd Pl | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,274 (-5%) | 4mo | $399,000 | $313 | 57 |
| 1905 N 33rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,274 (-5%) | 9mo | $480,000 | $377 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 70.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.15×
- Total profit
- $66,201
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 74.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.36×
- Total profit
- $154,514
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98273
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,189 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $619/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $1,253
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1521 N 26th St Mount Vernon, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $1,755 | $2.17 | 20d | 8 | 0.32mi |
| 1115 Nylin Ct Mount Vernon, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $2,500 | $2.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3316 E College Way Unit A Mount Vernon, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $2,000 | $2.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 119 N 29th Pl Mount Vernon, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $2,700 | $2.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1508 N Waugh Rd Apt B Mount Vernon, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1021 | $2,300 | $2.25 | 20d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3129 Arbor St Mount Vernon, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $2,600 | $2.09 | 20d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 202 Dallas St Mount Vernon, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $1,375 | $0.87 | 20d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2430 W Meadow Blvd Mount Vernon, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $3,000 | $2.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1002 S 12th St Mount Vernon, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $2,575 | $2.45 | 20d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1511 Shirley Pl Mount Vernon, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $2,250 | $2.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11$75,000 Active
-
2013-02-08historical
-
2013-02-08soldstatus $19,000 Sold
-
2013-01-31status Pending Inspection
-
2013-01-03price $20,000
-
2012-11-27price $24,500
-
2012-09-19$24,800 Active
-
2008-04-18soldstatus $42,250
-
2008-04-10historical
-
2008-02-25$44,500
-
2004-04-23soldstatus $40,000
-
2004-02-13$44,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $619 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $735 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$116/yr (+$10/mo · 18.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥81°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,268
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$619
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,101
- − Management
- −$2,101
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $14,688
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,525
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Vernon School District
- NCES district ID
- 5305400
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,829
- Composite
- 40.14/100
- National rank
- #7848
- State rank
- #189 of 291 in WA
Livability — Mount Vernon
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #2120
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Vernon, WA
- County
- Skagit County · 118,108 people
- City population
- 48,861
- Metro
- Mount Vernon-Anacortes, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,001
- Household income
- $76,717
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1045.0
Population outlook (Skagit County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 131,498 people
- By 2030
- 135,556 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 141,717 · +7.8%
- By 2050
- 145,714 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 152,201 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 147,980 · +12.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Skagit
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.9) · D 52.9% · R 44.0% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: 8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.9 2020: D+7.5 2016: D+3.2 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+9.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -525.00%
- Current HPI
- 395.3742
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.33%
- Metro
- Mount Vernon-Anacortes, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+68.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $75,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-08 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-08 Sold (MLS) $19,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-31 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-03 Price Changed $20,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-27 Price Changed $24,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-19 Listed $24,800 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-18 Sold (MLS) $42,250 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-10 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-25 Listed $44,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-04-23 Sold (MLS) $40,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-02-13 Listed $44,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2026): $619 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…