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9462 Timesweep Ln
D Composite 41.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.6/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$340,000

9462 Timesweep Ln · Columbia, MD 21045
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,248 sqft · Townhouse public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1973 1,306 sqft lot $272/sqft · 8% below area Est $369k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is 2 levels with3 bedrooms, 1 and 1/2 bathrooms, washer dryer, fenced patio. It has a new roof, HVAC system, refrigerator and ready for you to personalize. It is tenant occupied. The condo fee is low as well. Close to schools, shopping center, bus stop, parks and more.

Key facts

  • Fenced patio
  • Close to schools
  • Close to bus stop

Tags

NEW ROOFHVAC SYSTEMFENCED PATIOCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO SHOPPING CENTERCLOSE TO BUS STOP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $340k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $310k (8.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (22.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $264k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.2% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#51 in MD, #1,939 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F.
  • Howard County Public Schools (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #1 of 24 in MD (top 4%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Talbott Springs Elementary (math 16% / reading 22%, grade F, #385 of 860 statewide, top 46%, 483 students, 54% FRL); Oakland Mills Middle (math 13% / reading 41%, grade F, #81 of 225 statewide, top 38%, 475 students, 51% FRL); Oakland Mills High (math 42% / reading 64%, grade C-, #95 of 222 statewide, top 43%, 1,401 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 15% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 881 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (285 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Howard County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $340k implies a 302% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $263,919 (22.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.70%
Cash-on-cash
-2.11%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$369,327
List price
$340,000
Delta
-7.94%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9492 Timesweep Ln 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,248 (0%) 1mo $381,500 $306 94
5752 Thunder Hill Rd 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,248 (0%) 11mo $350,000 $280 87
9493 Timesweep Ln 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,280 (+3%) 4mo $375,000 $293 85
9550 Transfer Row 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,248 (0%) 4mo $325,000 $260 73
9585 Standon Pl 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,248 (0%) 3mo $365,000 $292 72
9584 Standon Pl 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,248 (0%) 9mo $360,000 $288 70
9456 Merryrest Rd 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,370 (+10%) 0mo $390,900 $285 68
5834 Morningbird Ln 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,417 (+14%) 7mo $403,000 $284 62
5838 Morningbird Ln 0.11mi 3/3.5 1,360 (+9%) 12mo $415,000 $305 62
9318 Matador Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,284 (+3%) 7mo $355,000 $276 61
9322 Matador Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,284 (+3%) 16mo $390,000 $304 54
9329 Matador Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,356 (+9%) 13mo $375,000 $277 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.0%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-68,741
Equity at exit
$50,695
10-year hold
IRR
-17.1%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-85,498
Equity at exit
$29,397

Cash invested: $95,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21045

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,639 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,783
Tax from tax record
$328 /mo · $3,937/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$554
Net cashflow
$-168

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,852
Max offer price $310,364
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $25 -5% $-72 +0% $-168 +5% $-264 +10% $-360
Rent -10% $-376 -5% $-272 +0% $-168 +5% $-64 +10% $41
Rate -1.0pp $3 -0.5pp $-81 base $-168 +0.5pp $-256 +1.0pp $-345

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$85,000
Closing costs
$10,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9633 Whiteacre Rd Unit B4 Columbia, MD 2.0 1.5 953 $1,789 $1.88 45d 1 0.30mi
6001 Majors Ln Columbia, MD 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,695 $2.25 0d 1 0.88mi
5915 Tamar Dr #11 Columbia, MD 2.0 1.0 950 $1,800 $1.89 0d 1 0.91mi
10201 Wincopin Cir Columbia, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 860 $3,556 $4.13 0d 14 0.94mi
10360 Swift Stream Pl Columbia, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1067 $3,108 $2.91 0d 18 0.96mi
6037 Majors Ln Unit 6D18 Columbia, MD 3.0 2.0 1280 $2,390 $1.87 19d 1 1.02mi
6085 Majors Ln Apt 11 Columbia, MD 4.0 2.0 1346 $2,400 $1.78 45d 1 1.04mi
5382 Smooth Meadow Way Unit B2A-12 Columbia, MD 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,300 $1.99 12d 1 1.15mi
8905 Tamar Dr Columbia, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,743 $1.94 45d 1 1.16mi
8854 Spiral Cut Unit L Columbia, MD 2.0 1.0 938 $1,850 $1.97 18d 1 1.22mi
5361 Brook Way Columbia, MD 1.0–5.0 1.0–2.5 1280 $2,695 $2.11 0d 32 1.24mi
6000 Merriweather Dr Columbia, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 1034 $4,004 $3.87 3d 23 1.25mi
6200 Valencia Ln Columbia, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 912 $3,802 $4.17 0d 28 1.31mi
5740 Yellowrose Ct Columbia, MD 3.0 2.0 700 $1,850 $2.64 19d 1 1.31mi
5441 Columbia Rd Columbia, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1064 $3,060 $2.88 0d 1 1.39mi
10101 Twin Rivers Rd Columbia, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $3,802 $3.74 0d 38 1.40mi
10000 Town Center Ave Columbia, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1014 $3,754 $3.70 0d 30 1.40mi
5331 Columbia Rd Columbia, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 975 $2,924 $3.00 0d 10 1.46mi
10601 Gramercy Pl Columbia, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1043 $4,102 $3.93 0d 11 1.49mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $340,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $340,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $340,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $340,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-03-17
    listed $340,000 Active 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    This home is 2 levels with3 bedrooms, 1 and 1/2 bathrooms, washer dryer, fenced patio. It has a new roof, HVAC system, refrigerator and ready for you to personalize. It is tenant occupied. The condo fee is low as well. Close to schools, shopping center, bus stop, parks and more.

  6. 2013-05-12
    historical
  7. 2013-05-11
    historical
  8. 2013-02-24
    price
  9. 2013-02-15
    price
  10. 2013-02-02
    listed Active
  11. 2013-02-02
    listed $180,000
  12. 1998-04-20
    soldstatus $84,504
  13. 1997-03-19
    historical
  14. 1996-09-21
    listed
  15. 1996-09-21
    listed
  16. 1996-09-21
    historical
  17. 1996-09-20
    historical
  18. 1996-09-20
    historical
  19. 1996-03-27
    listed
  20. 1996-03-27
    listed
  21. 1996-03-27
    historical
  22. 1996-03-27
    listed
  23. 1990-09-17
    soldstatus $85,000
  24. 1987-07-09
    soldstatus $67,320

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,937 · $328/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,937 · $328/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,670
− Mortgage interest
−$19,045
− Property taxes
−$3,937
− Insurance
−$1,700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,534
− Management
−$2,534
− Depreciation
−$9,891
Taxable loss
−$7,970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,913
After-tax cash flow
$-100/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Howard County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400420
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$108,056
Composite
41.23/100
National rank
#3535
State rank
#1 of 24 in MD

Livability — Columbia

Score
80/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#1939

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbia, MD
County
Howard County · 282,651 people
City population
99,756
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
40,034
Household income
$118,563
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
882.0

Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
367,857 people
By 2030
394,054 · +7.1%
By 2040
443,509 · +20.6%
By 2050
488,124 · +32.7%
By 2075
594,860 · +61.7%
By 2100
648,772 · +76.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 42% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Howard

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.8) · D 69.1% · R 27.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+19.9pp toward D · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: 41.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.8 2020: D+44.3 2016: D+33.5 2012: D+21.2 2008: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -336.54%
Current HPI
303.3585
Rent YoY
▲ 1.88%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+405.1% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $340,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2013-05-12 Delisted MRIS
  • 2013-05-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-02-24 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2013-02-15 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2013-02-02 Listed MRIS
  • 2013-02-02 Listed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1998-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $84,504 Public Records
  • 1997-03-19 Delisted MRIS
  • 1996-09-21 Delisted MRIS
  • 1996-09-21 Listed MRIS
  • 1996-09-21 Listed MRIS
  • 1996-09-20 Delisted MRIS
  • 1996-09-20 Delisted MRIS
  • 1996-03-27 Listed MRIS
  • 1996-03-27 Delisted MRIS
  • 1996-03-27 Listed MRIS
  • 1996-03-27 Listed MRIS
  • 1990-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 1987-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $67,320 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,937 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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