🏗️ New Construction
Somerville Plan · Sunbury, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Schools +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Cash flow +2.9/30.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,265
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
TO-BE-BUILT CUSTOM HOMES ON YOUR LAND. HOMES ARE NOT PREBUILT. PRICING REFLECTS THE TO-BE-BUILT HOME ONLY, AND DOES NOT INCLUDE LAND OR LAND IMPROVEMENTS. We can build a custom home on your lot in most counties in Ohio and many counties in Pennsylvania, Michigan, West Virginia. We do not sell land, but please contact us if you are looking to acquire land for a custom home. If you're looking for a lot of square feet, this probably isn't the home for you. But if you're looking for more charm per square foot, you couldn't do any better than the Somerville. With its classic Cape Cod design, the Somerville can't help but be adorable. And its beauty is more than skin deep. Just inside the front door you find the traditional center staircase, and upstairs you discover that the dormer windows and simple roofline have turned the secondary bedrooms into magical spaces. Then again, with the Somerville's oversized master bedroom and Energy Star® efficiency, you'll have all the comforts of a modern home.
Key facts
- Listed 755 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $224k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (5.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#274 in OH, #4,498 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Olentangy Local (rural): math 81% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #18 of 656 in OH (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Johnnycake Corners Elementary School (math 81% / reading 83%, grade A+, #116 of 1,584 statewide, top 9%, 686 students, 2% FRL); Berkshire Middle School (math 80% / reading 80%, grade A+, #46 of 654 statewide, top 7%, 1,298 students, 4% FRL); Olentangy High School (math 76% / reading 90%, grade A, #21 of 781 statewide, top 3%, 1,688 students, 6% FRL) — zoned schools at 4% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 294 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,233 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (304 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 756 days — a 12% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 756 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.46% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -14.03%
- DSCR
- 0.38
- GRM
- 18.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $458,911
- List price
- $224,265
- Delta
- -51.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6930 Ringbill Loop | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,754 (+13%) | 9mo | $399,900 | $228 | 54 |
| 7049 Ringbill | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,815 (+17%) | 13mo | $381,190 | $210 | 54 |
| 225 N 3 Bs And K Rd | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,738 (+12%) | 17mo | $325,000 | $187 | 52 |
| 399 S 3 Bs And K Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-6%) | 23mo | $395,000 | $272 | 51 |
| 7090 Ringbill | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,810 (+17%) | 11mo | $439,500 | $243 | 50 |
| 1324 Red Tail Pl Lot 2533 | 1.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,646 (+6%) | 6mo | $437,900 | $266 | 49 |
| 7120 Ringbill | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,863 (+20%) | 14mo | $378,962 | $203 | 47 |
| 6951 Ringbill Loop | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,820 (+18%) | 15mo | $397,000 | $218 | 47 |
| 555 Dunham Rd | 1.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,508 (-3%) | 18mo | $250,000 | $166 | 42 |
| 7663 Berkshire Rd | 1.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,606 (+4%) | 22mo | $305,000 | $190 | 40 |
| 1245 Steller Dr Lot 2576 | 1.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,893 (+22%) | 4mo | $487,900 | $258 | 35 |
| 7041 Crown Dr Lot 2545 | 1.27mi | 3/2.5 | 1,893 (+22%) | 15mo | $430,000 | $227 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -45.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.37×
- Total profit
- $-175,602
- Equity at exit
- $68,425
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.32×
- Total profit
- $-297,664
- Equity at exit
- $39,678
Cash invested: $128,495 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 26 active
- Median asking
- $272,570 ($161/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 1004 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +84.4% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 43074
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,112 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,407
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$574 /mo · $6,884/yr
- Insurance
- −$191
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $-1,503
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,185 | -5% $-1,344 | +0% $-1,503 | +5% $-1,661 | +10% $-1,820 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,669 | -5% $-1,586 | +0% $-1,503 | +5% $-1,419 | +10% $-1,336 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,272 | -0.5pp $-1,386 | base $-1,503 | +0.5pp $-1,622 | +1.0pp $-1,743 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $114,728
- Closing costs
- $13,767
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7125 Sea Breeze Dr W Sunbury, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $1,998 | $2.10 | 9d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 166 Caldy Knoll Dr Sunbury, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $1,960 | $2.06 | 9d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 7205 Northlake Summit Dr Sunbury, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1158 | $1,852 | $1.60 | 9d | 14 | 0.42mi |
| 741 N 3 Bs and K Rd Sunbury, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 68d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 669 Habitat Way Sunbury, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,899 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1155 S 3 Bs and K Rd Galena, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1978 | $3,290 | $1.66 | 72d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $224,265 Active 756 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $224,265 Active 755 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $224,265 Active 754 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $224,265 Active 753 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $224,265 Active 752 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $224,265 Active 751 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $224,265 Active 748 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $224,265 Active 747 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $224,265 Active 746 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $224,265 Active 745 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $224,265 Active 743 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $224,265 Active 741 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $224,265 Active 740 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $224,265 Active 739 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $224,265 Active 738 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $224,265 Active 737 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $224,265 Active 735 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $224,265 Active 734 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $224,265 Active 733 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $224,265 Active 732 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $224,265 Active 731 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $224,265 Active 730 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $224,265 Active 729 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $224,265 Active 728 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $224,265 Active 727 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $224,265 Active 726 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $224,265 Active 724 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $224,265 Active 723 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $224,265 Active 722 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $224,265 Active 720 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $224,265 Active 719 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $224,265 Active 718 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $224,265 Active 717 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $224,265 Active 716 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $224,265 Active 715 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $224,265 Active 714 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $224,265 Active 713 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $224,265 Active 711 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $224,265 Active 709 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $224,265 Active 708 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,265 Active 705 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,265 Active 704 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,265 Active 703 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,265 Active 702 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,265 Active 700 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,265 Active 699 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $224,265 Active 696 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $224,265 Active 695 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,265 Active 694 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $224,265 Active 691 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,349
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,706
- − Property taxes
- −$6,884
- − Insurance
- −$2,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,028
- − Management
- −$2,028
- − Depreciation
- −$13,350
- Taxable loss
- −$26,941
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,466
- After-tax cash flow
- $-11,565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, siding, and exterior painting. Upgrading the HVAC, interior, and exterior will significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The independent image shows significant damage to the roof.
- Major siding — The independent image shows significant damage to the siding.
- Major landscaping — The independent image shows a poorly maintained lawn and landscaping. The listing photo shows a well-maintained home, but the independent image suggests a lack of recent landscaping work.
- Major exterior paint — The independent image shows significant damage to the exterior paint. The listing photo shows a well-maintained home, but the independent image suggests a lack of recent exterior painting.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No photos of HVAC/mechanicals are provided, but the exterior suggests a lack of recent maintenance.
- Major interior paint — No interior photos are provided, but the exterior suggests a lack of recent maintenance.
- Major interior flooring — No flooring photos are provided, but the exterior suggests a lack of recent maintenance.
- Major interior windows — No photos of windows are provided, but the exterior suggests a lack of recent maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior painting — Fresh paint can significantly improve the curb appeal and overall condition of the home. ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained lawn and landscaping can greatly enhance the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both roof repair — A new roof can greatly improve the home's structural integrity and overall condition. ↑
- Both siding repair — A new siding can greatly improve the home's structural integrity and overall condition. ↑
- Both HVAC/mechanicals — Upgrading HVAC/mechanicals can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, which can increase its value. ↑
- Both interior painting — Fresh paint can significantly improve the interior condition and overall condition of the home. ↑
- Both interior flooring — New flooring can greatly improve the interior condition and overall condition of the home. ↑
- Both interior windows — New windows can greatly improve the interior condition and overall condition of the home. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olentangy Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904676
- Math proficiency
- 81% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $111,074
- Composite
- 75.56/100
- National rank
- #132
- State rank
- #18 of 656 in OH
Livability — Sunbury
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #4498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Delaware County · 230,854 people
- City population
- 16,873
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,873
- Household income
- $119,296
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1% of renters
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,854 people
- By 2030
- 249,294 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 284,223 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 315,314 · +36.6%
- By 2075
- 379,462 · +64.4%
- By 2100
- 403,158 · +74.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 4% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.6) · D 46.2% · R 52.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.0pp toward D · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -6.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.6 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -313.60%
- Current HPI
- 260.7213
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.31%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+4.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $224,265 Zillow
- 2026-02-08 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-07 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $220,650 Zillow
- 2025-03-26 Price Changed $218,450 Zillow
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $217,450 Zillow
- 2025-03-18 Price Changed $218,450 Zillow
- 2024-11-02 Price Changed $217,450 Zillow
- 2024-08-14 Price Changed $214,950 Zillow
- 2024-07-12 Listed $213,950 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…