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3257 Magnolia Dr
F Composite 26.77
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.2/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$235,000

3257 Magnolia Dr · Markham, IL 60428
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1973 Est $185k · 27% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come and see this nicely maintained and updated home where neighbors take great pride in their homes as well! This property is nestled up to the 87-acre Paintbrush Prairie Nature Preserve providing a serene and quiet location in Markham. Paintbrush Prairie is one of five nature preserves in south Cook County collectively known as the Indian Boundary Prairies which also provides a natural sound barrier from interstate 57! This home has been occupied by the same owners for 40 years! Home has state of the art security system as well as beautifully updated kitchen and bathroom. Easy to show and move in ready! Home is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Serene location
  • Updated kitchen
  • Updated bathroom

Tags

SERENE LOCATIONNATURAL SOUND BARRIERUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property offers school bus service, commuter bus access, and interstate access
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces) with garage door opener; Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Split-level design; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Combination construction materials; Built 51–60 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Nature preserve adjacent

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (11 x 11); Kitchen with blinds and ceramic tile flooring
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Master bedroom on the second floor (17 x 12); Second bedroom on the second floor (12 x 12); Third bedroom on the second floor (11 x 12)
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms, dining room, living room, and master bedroom; Parquet flooring in family room; Ceramic tile in kitchen; Vinyl in laundry room
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath; Basement has a bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Attic with interior stair; Partial crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level (14 x 14) with vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-531 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (40.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (37.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (40.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 10.2% in Markham — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
  • Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $235k implies a 553% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $141,111 (40.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.62%
Cap rate
3.58%
Cash-on-cash
-9.69%
DSCR
0.57
GRM
13.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,328
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15328 Parkside Dr 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,224 (+3%) 3mo $155,000 $127 68
3236 Roesner Dr 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-13%) 5mo $77,000 $74 64
15315 Cherry Ln 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-12%) 3mo $195,000 $188 64
15246 Calitonia Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,113 (-6%) 1mo $137,000 $123 64
15313 Cherry Ln 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-13%) 3mo $89,000 $86 64
15417 Cherry Ln 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-12%) 5mo $157,000 $151 61
15823 S Saint Louis Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,203 (+1%) 4mo $220,000 $183 59
15422 Cherry Ln 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,040 (-12%) 4mo $175,000 $168 59
15435 Hamlin Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,107 (-7%) 3mo $155,000 $140 56
15364 Afton Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,073 (-10%) 6mo $167,000 $156 56
15330 Cherry Ln 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,036 (-13%) 2mo $249,900 $241 53
3813 153rd St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,075 (-10%) 1mo $268,130 $249 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$94,198
Equity at exit
$211,707
10-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
5.62×
Total profit
$304,139
Equity at exit
$456,553

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60428

Home prices YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
13.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,463 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$357 /mo · $4,287/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$-531

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,136
Max offer price $141,111
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3349 147th St Unit 3240 06 Midlothian, IL 2.0 1.0 817 $1,500 $1.84 5d 1 0.93mi
3542 147th St Midlothian, IL 2.0 1.0 817 $1,500 $1.84 6d 2 1.04mi
14521 Richmond Ave Unit 3 Posen, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,375 $1.62 24d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $235,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $235,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $235,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $235,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $235,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $235,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $235,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $235,000 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $235,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $235,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $235,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $235,000 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $235,000 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-05-15
    listed $235,000 Active
  15. 2026-03-13
    historical
  16. 2025-09-19
    listed Active
  17. 1978-02-24
    soldstatus $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,287 · $357/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,811 · $401/mo
Expected delta
+$524/yr (+$44/mo · 12.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,561
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$4,287
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,405
− Management
−$1,405
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable loss
−$10,711
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,571
After-tax cash flow
$-3,807/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bremen Chsd 228
NCES district ID
1707050
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,625
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9327
State rank
#468 of 620 in IL

Livability — Markham

Score
76/100
State rank
#186
US rank
#3539

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Markham, IL
City population
10,980
Population (ZIP)
10,980

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 11% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.63%
Current HPI
302.333
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+552.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $235,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-13 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-19 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1978-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,287 · +165.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…