333 E Main St · Newmanstown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
RESTORED SCHOOL HOUSE - BRICK/ALUM ON MAIN RD. HOME FEATURES 2 BEDROOMS, 1 FULL BATH, GREAT ROOM, EAT-IN KITCHEN, GAS, ELECTRIC HEAT, WATER TREATMENT, LARGE WINDOW FACING MAIN RD. WASHER, DRYER, REFRIG, DISHWASHER STAYS! STORAGE SPACE AND PLUMBING IN ATTIC, OUTSIDE BASEMENT ENT. LOVELY PROPERTY WITH MUCH POTENTIAL. $2000 SELL- ER'S ASSISTANCE WITH FULL LIST PRICE OFFER.
Key facts
- Unique project house
- Metal roof
- Loft
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#578 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Eastern Lebanon County SD (rural): math 27% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #360 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 315 units permitted in Lebanon County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lebanon County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $150k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.42%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $294,168
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 E Main St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,438 (+1%) | 8mo | $295,000 | $205 | 80 |
| 6 Village Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,550 (+8%) | 12mo | $319,900 | $206 | 62 |
| 41 Memorial Blvd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-9%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $193 | 62 |
| 43 E Main St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,352 (-5%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $122 | 59 |
| 24 Cottage Ln | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 1,519 (+6%) | 9mo | $290,000 | $191 | 57 |
| 29 Memorial Blvd | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,500 (+5%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $150 | 56 |
| 13 Overlook Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,519 (+6%) | 4mo | $355,000 | $234 | 51 |
| 218 Sweet Birch Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,607 (+12%) | 2mo | $380,000 | $236 | 48 |
| 11 Eagle View Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (-4%) | 12mo | $309,900 | $227 | 42 |
| 4 Rosebush Ct | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+14%) | 5mo | $372,750 | $229 | 39 |
| 138 W Main St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,608 (+13%) | 6mo | $264,000 | $164 | 38 |
| 279 S Sheridan Rd | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+13%) | 7mo | $375,000 | $231 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $5,688
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $43,778
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17073
- Home prices YoY
- -13.6%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$257 /mo · $3,086/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $470
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 N Sheridan Rd Newmanstown, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $1,995 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-27historical
-
2026-04-23$150,000 Active
-
2003-08-20soldstatus $55,000
-
2003-08-18soldstatus $55,000 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
RESTORED SCHOOL HOUSE - BRICK/ALUM ON MAIN RD. HOME FEATURES 2 BEDROOMS, 1 FULL BATH, GREAT ROOM, EAT-IN KITCHEN, GAS, ELECTRIC HEAT, WATER TREATMENT, LARGE WINDOW FACING MAIN RD. WASHER, DRYER, REFRIG, DISHWASHER STAYS! STORAGE SPACE AND PLUMBING IN ATTIC, OUTSIDE BASEMENT ENT. LOVELY PROPERTY WITH MUCH POTENTIAL. $2000 SELL- ER'S ASSISTANCE WITH FULL LIST PRICE OFFER.
-
2003-06-22historical 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
RESTORED SCHOOL HOUSE - BRICK/ALUM ON MAIN RD. HOME FEATURES 2 BEDROOMS, 1 FULL BATH, GREAT ROOM, EAT-IN KITCHEN, GAS, ELECTRIC HEAT, WATER TREATMENT, LARGE WINDOW FACING MAIN RD. WASHER, DRYER, REFRIG, DISHWASHER STAYS! STORAGE SPACE AND PLUMBING IN ATTIC, OUTSIDE BASEMENT ENT. LOVELY PROPERTY WITH MUCH POTENTIAL. $2000 SELL- ER'S ASSISTANCE WITH FULL LIST PRICE OFFER.
-
2003-06-22historical
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
RESTORED SCHOOL HOUSE - BRICK/ALUM ON MAIN RD. HOME FEATURES 2 BEDROOMS, 1 FULL BATH, GREAT ROOM, EAT-IN KITCHEN, GAS, ELECTRIC HEAT, WATER TREATMENT, LARGE WINDOW FACING MAIN RD. WASHER, DRYER, REFRIG, DISHWASHER STAYS! STORAGE SPACE AND PLUMBING IN ATTIC, OUTSIDE BASEMENT ENT. LOVELY PROPERTY WITH MUCH POTENTIAL. $2000 SELL- ER'S ASSISTANCE WITH FULL LIST PRICE OFFER.
-
2002-10-08$76,900 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
RESTORED SCHOOL HOUSE - BRICK/ALUM ON MAIN RD. HOME FEATURES 2 BEDROOMS, 1 FULL BATH, GREAT ROOM, EAT-IN KITCHEN, GAS, ELECTRIC HEAT, WATER TREATMENT, LARGE WINDOW FACING MAIN RD. WASHER, DRYER, REFRIG, DISHWASHER STAYS! STORAGE SPACE AND PLUMBING IN ATTIC, OUTSIDE BASEMENT ENT. LOVELY PROPERTY WITH MUCH POTENTIAL. $2000 SELL- ER'S ASSISTANCE WITH FULL LIST PRICE OFFER.
-
2002-08-28$76,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,086 · $257/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,086 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$3,086
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,915
- − Management
- −$1,915
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $3,508
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$842
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,796/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eastern Lebanon County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208460
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,026
- Composite
- 33.74/100
- National rank
- #5371
- State rank
- #360 of 539 in PA
Livability — Newmanstown
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #578
- US rank
- #5505
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newmanstown, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,064
Population outlook (Lebanon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,806 people
- By 2030
- 147,534 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 152,952 · +5.6%
- By 2050
- 159,406 · +10.1%
- By 2075
- 181,736 · +25.5%
- By 2100
- 198,402 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3%
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lebanon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.0) · D 33.6% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -32.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.77%
- Current HPI
- 208.5025
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+95.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-18 Sold (MLS) $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-06-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-06-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-10-08 Listed $76,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-08-28 Listed $76,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2026): $3,086 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…