2805 County Road 54 · Ozark, AL 36360

$55,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,122 sqft · SingleFamily · 41 Days on market

Built 1960 1.60 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Calling all investors, DIYers, or folks with a vision—this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for a glow-up! Featuring one bedroom with a closet and three additional rooms that could serve as bedrooms, offices, or flex spaces, this home offers versatility to fit your needs. The metal roof provides solid protection, and with a little TLC, this place could shine. New double pane windows already added! Whether you're looking to renovate and rent, flip, or make it your own, this property is full of promise. Bring your toolbox and imagination—opportunity is knocking!

Key facts

• Metal roof
• Double pane windows
• Flex spaces

Tags

• METAL ROOF
• DOUBLE PANE WINDOWS
• FLEX SPACES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $485 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
• Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 4.3% in Ozark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#224 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Dale County (rural): math 31% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 129 in AL (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Gw Long Elementary School (math 34% / reading 57%, grade D-, #167 of 627 statewide, top 27%, 464 students, 57% FRL); South Dale Middle School (math 18% / reading 44%, grade F, #118 of 257 statewide, top 46%, 426 students, 78% FRL); George W Long High School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade C+, #6 of 305 statewide, top 2%, 368 students, 44% FRL).
• Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $53,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.99% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.87%
• Cash-on-cash: 37.77%
• DSCR: 2.68
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $324,258
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3334 County Road 54 Rd	0.47mi	3/1.5	968 (-14%)	16mo	$280,000	$289	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 33.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.43×
• Total profit: $21,979
• Equity at exit: $8,201

10-year hold

• IRR: 40.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.83×
• Total profit: $58,963
• Equity at exit: $4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36360

• Home prices YoY: -6.9%
• Active inventory: 184
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,095 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$69 /mo · $825/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$230
• Net cashflow: $485

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481

Max offer price $55,000

Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,750
• Closing costs: $1,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2025-12-09
   status Pending
2. 2025-10-28
   listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,137
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,081
• − Property taxes: −$825
• − Insurance: −$275
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,051
• − Management: −$1,051
• − Depreciation: −$1,600
• Taxable income: $5,254
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,261
• After-tax cash flow: $4,556/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dale County
• NCES district ID: 0101050
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -29.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $42,949
• Composite: 34.16/100
• National rank: #5277
• State rank: #26 of 129 in AL

Livability — Ozark

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #224
• US rank: #16855

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 19,461
• Population (ZIP): 19,461

Population outlook (Dale County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 46,805 people
• By 2030: 45,176 · -3.5%
• By 2040: 41,523 · -11.3%
• By 2050: 37,575 · -19.7%
• By 2075: 28,931 · -38.2%
• By 2100: 22,172 · -52.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (65%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 65% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dale

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.5% · R 75.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -52.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+52.3 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -14.80%
• Current HPI: 198.6765
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2025-12-09 Pending — SAMLS
• 2025-10-28 Listed $55,000 SAMLS