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B Composite 74.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$159,900

123 Marigold Ave · DeFuniak Springs, FL 32433
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 358 Days on market
Built 2007 0.69 ac lot Est $161k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NOT A SHORT SALE. This 2007 home is in move in ready condition. Inside you will find a split bedroom floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. A big open kitchen with a dining area complete with a large living room. The master bedroom comes complete with a walk in closet, a master bathroom with double vanity, a separate shower and whirlpool tub. The entire house is wall to wall laminate wood flooring in great condition. Outside you will find a circular drive way for easy access and ample parking. This home won't last long . Buyers and Buyers agent to verify all information that is deemed important them.

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Hot water heater
  • Updated hvac

Tags

TRIPLE LOTCONCEALED LAUNDRY AREANEWER ROOFUPDATED HVACHOT WATER HEATERFRONT AND BACK COVERED PORCHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Subdivision: OAKWOOD HILLS UNIT 3

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with space for 6 vehicles
  • Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Septic tank; Cable TV
  • Home design: Mobile home; Single-story
  • Construction: Built in 2007; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Yard building; Chain link fencing and partially fenced lot; Workshop; Covered deck; Porch; Cleared, level lot; Survey available; Dirt/clay road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on the first floor with double vanity, garden tub, separate shower, and walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric heat control
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Washer/dryer hookup; Window treatments; Bay window
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.8% in DeFuniak Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Mossy Head School (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B, #525 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 439 students, 86% FRL); Walton High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 856 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 422 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 358 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $160k implies a 256% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 358 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.77%
Cash-on-cash
12.43%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$160,512
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
232 Amaryllis Ln 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,264 (+4%) 11mo $205,000 $162 78
236 Laurel Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+10%) 6mo $60,000 $45 66
696 Passion Flower St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,264 (+4%) 3mo $182,000 $144 61
86 Walnut Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,080 (-11%) 15mo $159,900 $148 59
11 W Lafavre Ln 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,140 (-6%) 19mo $153,000 $134 54
105 See Saw Bnd 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,352 (+11%) 20mo $178,000 $132 53
32 E Buckeye St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,252 (+3%) 17mo $152,000 $121 50
350 W Dogwood Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,320 (+9%) 7mo $165,000 $125 48
201 Tangelo St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+10%) 2mo $60,000 $45 47
154 Orange Blossom Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,140 (-6%) 17mo $144,900 $127 47
228 White Rose St St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+10%) 12mo $178,000 $132 44
51 Clay Basket Ct 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,140 (-6%) 20mo $150,000 $132 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
3.60×
Total profit
$116,545
Equity at exit
$144,051
10-year hold
IRR
28.8%
Equity multiple
8.14×
Total profit
$319,852
Equity at exit
$310,651

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32433

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
422
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,791 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $549/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$464

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,204
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
135 Tiger Lily Ln Defuniak Springs, FL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,795 $1.61 13d 1 0.08mi
71 Lafavre Ln Defuniak Springs, FL 2.0 1.0 806 $1,650 $2.05 20d 1 0.44mi
150 Hibiscus Ave Defuniak Springs, FL 3.0 2.0 1256 $1,950 $1.55 20d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 358 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 357 DOM
  3. 2025-09-26
    price $159,900
  4. 2025-06-06
    listed $164,900 Active
  5. 2025-04-17
    price $165,000
  6. 2024-12-04
    price $175,000
  7. 2024-11-01
    listed $189,999 Active
  8. 2014-11-03
    soldstatus $44,900 617-char remark
    Show marketing remark (617 chars)

    NOT A SHORT SALE. This 2007 home is in move in ready condition. Inside you will find a split bedroom floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. A big open kitchen with a dining area complete with a large living room. The master bedroom comes complete with a walk in closet, a master bathroom with double vanity, a separate shower and whirlpool tub. The entire house is wall to wall laminate wood flooring in great condition. Outside you will find a circular drive way for easy access and ample parking. This home won't last long . Buyers and Buyers agent to verify all information that is deemed important them.

  9. 2014-11-03
    soldstatus $44,900 617-char remark
    Show marketing remark (617 chars)

    NOT A SHORT SALE. This 2007 home is in move in ready condition. Inside you will find a split bedroom floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. A big open kitchen with a dining area complete with a large living room. The master bedroom comes complete with a walk in closet, a master bathroom with double vanity, a separate shower and whirlpool tub. The entire house is wall to wall laminate wood flooring in great condition. Outside you will find a circular drive way for easy access and ample parking. This home won't last long . Buyers and Buyers agent to verify all information that is deemed important them.

  10. 2013-04-29
    listed $44,900 617-char remark
    Show marketing remark (617 chars)

    NOT A SHORT SALE. This 2007 home is in move in ready condition. Inside you will find a split bedroom floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. A big open kitchen with a dining area complete with a large living room. The master bedroom comes complete with a walk in closet, a master bathroom with double vanity, a separate shower and whirlpool tub. The entire house is wall to wall laminate wood flooring in great condition. Outside you will find a circular drive way for easy access and ample parking. This home won't last long . Buyers and Buyers agent to verify all information that is deemed important them.

  11. 2008-04-30
    soldstatus $30,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$549 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,327 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$778/yr (+$65/mo · 141.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,486
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$549
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,719
− Management
−$1,719
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$3,091
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$742
After-tax cash flow
$4,821/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walton
NCES district ID
1201980
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,794
Composite
52.03/100
National rank
#1634
State rank
#10 of 73 in FL

Livability — DeFuniak Springs

Score
64/100
State rank
#694
US rank
#14475

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Walton County · 70,839 people
City population
19,746
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,746
Household income
$52,199
Rent vs Own
25.4% rent · 74.6% own
Severe rent burden
356.0

Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,014 people
By 2030
88,120 · +10.1%
By 2040
103,537 · +29.4%
By 2050
117,034 · +46.3%
By 2075
143,901 · +79.8%
By 2100
155,138 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walton

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.77%
Current HPI
367.046
Rent YoY
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+426.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $159,900 ECAR
  • 2025-06-06 Listed $164,900 ECAR
  • 2025-04-17 Price Changed $165,000 ECAR
  • 2024-12-04 Price Changed $175,000 ECAR
  • 2024-11-01 Listed $189,999 ECAR
  • 2014-11-03 Sold (MLS) $44,900 NAMLS
  • 2014-11-03 Sold (MLS) $44,900 ECAR
  • 2013-04-29 Listed $44,900 NAMLS
  • 2008-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $30,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $549 · +181.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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