123 Marigold Ave · DeFuniak Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NOT A SHORT SALE. This 2007 home is in move in ready condition. Inside you will find a split bedroom floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. A big open kitchen with a dining area complete with a large living room. The master bedroom comes complete with a walk in closet, a master bathroom with double vanity, a separate shower and whirlpool tub. The entire house is wall to wall laminate wood flooring in great condition. Outside you will find a circular drive way for easy access and ample parking. This home won't last long . Buyers and Buyers agent to verify all information that is deemed important them.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Hot water heater
- Updated hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Subdivision: OAKWOOD HILLS UNIT 3
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with space for 6 vehicles
- Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Septic tank; Cable TV
- Home design: Mobile home; Single-story
- Construction: Built in 2007; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Yard building; Chain link fencing and partially fenced lot; Workshop; Covered deck; Porch; Cleared, level lot; Survey available; Dirt/clay road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on the first floor with double vanity, garden tub, separate shower, and walk-in closet
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric heat control
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Washer/dryer hookup; Window treatments; Bay window
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.8% in DeFuniak Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Mossy Head School (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B, #525 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 439 students, 86% FRL); Walton High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 856 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 422 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 358 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $160k implies a 256% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 358 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.43%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,512
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232 Amaryllis Ln | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (+4%) | 11mo | $205,000 | $162 | 78 |
| 236 Laurel Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $45 | 66 |
| 696 Passion Flower St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (+4%) | 3mo | $182,000 | $144 | 61 |
| 86 Walnut Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-11%) | 15mo | $159,900 | $148 | 59 |
| 11 W Lafavre Ln | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-6%) | 19mo | $153,000 | $134 | 54 |
| 105 See Saw Bnd | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (+11%) | 20mo | $178,000 | $132 | 53 |
| 32 E Buckeye St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,252 (+3%) | 17mo | $152,000 | $121 | 50 |
| 350 W Dogwood Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+9%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $125 | 48 |
| 201 Tangelo St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $45 | 47 |
| 154 Orange Blossom Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-6%) | 17mo | $144,900 | $127 | 47 |
| 228 White Rose St St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 12mo | $178,000 | $132 | 44 |
| 51 Clay Basket Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-6%) | 20mo | $150,000 | $132 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $116,545
- Equity at exit
- $144,051
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 8.14×
- Total profit
- $319,852
- Equity at exit
- $310,651
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32433
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,791 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $549/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $464
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Tiger Lily Ln Defuniak Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,795 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 71 Lafavre Ln Defuniak Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,650 | $2.05 | 20d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 150 Hibiscus Ave Defuniak Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,950 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,900 Active 357 DOM
-
2025-09-26price $159,900
-
2025-06-06$164,900 Active
-
2025-04-17price $165,000
-
2024-12-04price $175,000
-
2024-11-01$189,999 Active
-
2014-11-03soldstatus $44,900 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
NOT A SHORT SALE. This 2007 home is in move in ready condition. Inside you will find a split bedroom floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. A big open kitchen with a dining area complete with a large living room. The master bedroom comes complete with a walk in closet, a master bathroom with double vanity, a separate shower and whirlpool tub. The entire house is wall to wall laminate wood flooring in great condition. Outside you will find a circular drive way for easy access and ample parking. This home won't last long . Buyers and Buyers agent to verify all information that is deemed important them.
-
2014-11-03soldstatus $44,900 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
NOT A SHORT SALE. This 2007 home is in move in ready condition. Inside you will find a split bedroom floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. A big open kitchen with a dining area complete with a large living room. The master bedroom comes complete with a walk in closet, a master bathroom with double vanity, a separate shower and whirlpool tub. The entire house is wall to wall laminate wood flooring in great condition. Outside you will find a circular drive way for easy access and ample parking. This home won't last long . Buyers and Buyers agent to verify all information that is deemed important them.
-
2013-04-29$44,900 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
NOT A SHORT SALE. This 2007 home is in move in ready condition. Inside you will find a split bedroom floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. A big open kitchen with a dining area complete with a large living room. The master bedroom comes complete with a walk in closet, a master bathroom with double vanity, a separate shower and whirlpool tub. The entire house is wall to wall laminate wood flooring in great condition. Outside you will find a circular drive way for easy access and ample parking. This home won't last long . Buyers and Buyers agent to verify all information that is deemed important them.
-
2008-04-30soldstatus $30,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $549 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,327 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$778/yr (+$65/mo · 141.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,486
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$549
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,719
- − Management
- −$1,719
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $3,091
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$742
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,821/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walton
- NCES district ID
- 1201980
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,794
- Composite
- 52.03/100
- National rank
- #1634
- State rank
- #10 of 73 in FL
Livability — DeFuniak Springs
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #694
- US rank
- #14475
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Walton County · 70,839 people
- City population
- 19,746
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,746
- Household income
- $52,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 356.0
Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,014 people
- By 2030
- 88,120 · +10.1%
- By 2040
- 103,537 · +29.4%
- By 2050
- 117,034 · +46.3%
- By 2075
- 143,901 · +79.8%
- By 2100
- 155,138 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.77%
- Current HPI
- 367.046
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+426.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $159,900 ECAR
- 2025-06-06 Listed $164,900 ECAR
- 2025-04-17 Price Changed $165,000 ECAR
- 2024-12-04 Price Changed $175,000 ECAR
- 2024-11-01 Listed $189,999 ECAR
- 2014-11-03 Sold (MLS) $44,900 NAMLS
- 2014-11-03 Sold (MLS) $44,900 ECAR
- 2013-04-29 Listed $44,900 NAMLS
- 2008-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $30,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $549 · +181.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…