2711 Cherry St · Port Huron, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- ARV discount +2.8/15.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$192,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 5-Bedroom Family Home featuring Fresh Paint throughout, New Carpeting, and New Laminate Flooring. This well-maintained home offers a functional layout with 2 bedrooms on the main level and 3 additional bedrooms upstairs. Enjoy and convenience of First-Floor Laundry, a Separate Kitchen and Dining Room perfect for gatherings and entertaining. Step outside to a large two-tier backyard deck and a backyard Fire-Pit area, perfect for relaxing and hosting family and friends. A 10 x 12 Storage Shed provided additional outdoor storage space. Additional features include a Partial Basement, Blown-In Insulation 2013, Concrete Driveway and a Covered Front Porch. Conveniently located close to Beaches, Parks, Fishing, Schools and Shopping. Plenty of space for a Growing Family.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 39 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Ground-level entry; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Backyard fencing; Paved road access; Yard shed(s)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s); No central cooling
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Partial, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $193k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (8.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (8.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.6% in Port Huron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#445 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, schools F.
- Port Huron Area School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #368 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $193k implies a 757% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.05%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $174,569
- List price
- $192,900
- Delta
- 10.50%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2623 Forest St | 0.13mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,685 (+0%) | 14mo | $30,000 | $18 | 77 |
| 1307 Hancock St | 0.31mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,689 (+0%) | 8mo | $199,000 | $118 | 73 |
| 2726 Forest St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,574 (-6%) | 10mo | $172,000 | $109 | 66 |
| 2829 Wright St | 0.24mi | 5/1.0 | 1,900 (+13%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $79 | 59 |
| 2429 Walnut St St | 0.26mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,854 (+10%) | 9mo | $107,000 | $58 | 58 |
| 2539 Forest St | 0.17mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,578 (-6%) | 22mo | $204,000 | $129 | 57 |
| 2811 10th Ave | 0.35mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,788 (+6%) | 19mo | $158,000 | $88 | 50 |
| 2115 Stone St | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,752 (+4%) | 11mo | $113,000 | $64 | 49 |
| 721 Edison Blvd | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,632 (-3%) | 14mo | $219,000 | $134 | 45 |
| 1121 Church St | 0.29mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,434 (-15%) | 21mo | $154,900 | $108 | 40 |
| 2638 15th Ave | 0.67mi | 5/2.0 | 1,846 (+10%) | 17mo | $200,000 | $108 | 34 |
| 3427 Elk St | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,444 (-14%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $142 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-21,450
- Equity at exit
- $28,762
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,977
- Equity at exit
- $16,678
Cash invested: $54,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48060
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,766 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,012
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,989/yr
- Insurance
- −$80
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $137
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $246 | -5% $192 | +0% $137 | +5% $83 | +10% $28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2 | -5% $67 | +0% $137 | +5% $207 | +10% $277 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $234 | -0.5pp $186 | base $137 | +0.5pp $87 | +1.0pp $36 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,225
- Closing costs
- $5,787
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $192,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $192,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $192,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $192,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $192,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $192,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $192,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $192,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $192,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $192,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $192,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $192,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $192,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $192,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-10$192,900 Active 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Spacious 5-Bedroom Family Home featuring Fresh Paint throughout, New Carpeting, and New Laminate Flooring. This well-maintained home offers a functional layout with 2 bedrooms on the main level and 3 additional bedrooms upstairs. Enjoy and convenience of First-Floor Laundry, a Separate Kitchen and Dining Room perfect for gatherings and entertaining. Step outside to a large two-tier backyard deck and a backyard Fire-Pit area, perfect for relaxing and hosting family and friends. A 10 x 12 Storage Shed provided additional outdoor storage space. Additional features include a Partial Basement, Blown-In Insulation 2013, Concrete Driveway and a Covered Front Porch. Conveniently located close to Beaches, Parks, Fishing, Schools and Shopping. Plenty of space for a Growing Family.
-
2026-05-10$192,900 Active 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Spacious 5-Bedroom Family Home featuring Fresh Paint throughout, New Carpeting, and New Laminate Flooring. This well-maintained home offers a functional layout with 2 bedrooms on the main level and 3 additional bedrooms upstairs. Enjoy and convenience of First-Floor Laundry, a Separate Kitchen and Dining Room perfect for gatherings and entertaining. Step outside to a large two-tier backyard deck and a backyard Fire-Pit area, perfect for relaxing and hosting family and friends. A 10 x 12 Storage Shed provided additional outdoor storage space. Additional features include a Partial Basement, Blown-In Insulation 2013, Concrete Driveway and a Covered Front Porch. Conveniently located close to Beaches, Parks, Fishing, Schools and Shopping. Plenty of space for a Growing Family.
-
2013-04-12soldstatus $22,500
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Great potential for the price! 5 BDR 1 BTH, 2 story home is close to parks, schools & shopping. Home features covered front porch, rear deck, storage shed, living & dining room, ceiling fans, walk in pantry & main level laundry.
-
2013-03-22historical
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Great potential for the price! 5 BDR 1 BTH, 2 story home is close to parks, schools & shopping. Home features covered front porch, rear deck, storage shed, living & dining room, ceiling fans, walk in pantry & main level laundry.
-
2013-03-11$24,900
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Great potential for the price! 5 BDR 1 BTH, 2 story home is close to parks, schools & shopping. Home features covered front porch, rear deck, storage shed, living & dining room, ceiling fans, walk in pantry & main level laundry.
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2005-08-23soldstatus $111,900
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2005-08-19soldstatus $111,900
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2005-08-19soldstatus $111,900
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2005-08-02historical
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2005-06-20$113,900
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2005-06-20$113,900
-
2004-11-08historical
-
2004-10-18$113,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,989 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,480 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- +$491/yr (+$41/mo · 24.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,188
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,805
- − Property taxes
- −$1,989
- − Insurance
- −$964
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,695
- − Management
- −$1,695
- − Depreciation
- −$5,612
- Taxable loss
- −$1,572
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$377
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Port Huron Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628830
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,093
- Composite
- 25.4/100
- National rank
- #7462
- State rank
- #368 of 540 in MI
Livability — Port Huron
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #445
- US rank
- #12478
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Huron, MI
- County
- Saint Clair County · 44,760 people
- City population
- 39,342
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,342
- Household income
- $53,018
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1808.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 154,587 people
- By 2030
- 150,031 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 138,177 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 124,390 · -19.5%
- By 2075
- 95,825 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 68,672 · -55.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.75%
- Current HPI
- 177.2401
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.61%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+69.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Listed $192,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-10 Listed $192,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-04-12 Sold (MLS) $22,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-03-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-03-11 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $111,900 Public Records
- 2005-08-19 Sold (MLS) $111,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-08-19 Sold (MLS) $111,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-08-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-06-20 Listed $113,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-06-20 Listed $113,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-11-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-10-18 Listed $113,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,989 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…