1405 W Yuma Cir · Broken Arrow, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked into a quiet cul-de-sac, this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, single-story home is truly move-in ready, blending comfort, style, and everyday functionality. Inside, you’ll find an open, welcoming layout with gorgeous flooring, fresh new carpet, and natural light pouring into every corner. The kitchen is dialed in with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and plenty of cabinet space, opening seamlessly to the living and dining areas—ideal for both hosting and keeping life easy. The sunroom adds a bright, versatile space that can flex as a second living area, playroom, or your go-to spot for morning coffee, all overlooking a huge backyard with room to relax, ente
Key facts
- Sunroom
- Storm shelter
- Cul-de-sac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Annual association fee of $200; Community amenities include a pool and park
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Asphalt driveway; 2-car garage
- Security: Storm shelter; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Phone service available; Ventilation for improved indoor air quality
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces west; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick, HardiPlank type, and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Porch; Rain gutters; Storage structure; Chain link fencing; Located on a cul-de-sac
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Oven; Range; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms with walk-in closets; Master bedroom with walk-in closet
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Skylights; Vinyl window frames; Attic access; Granite counters; Vaulted ceilings; Ceiling fans; Gas range/oven connections
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($308/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (18.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $246k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.0% in Broken Arrow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#7 in OK, #2,691 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Broken Arrow (suburban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #79 of 270 in OK (top 29%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Aspen Creek Es (math 23% / reading 22%, grade F, #409 of 845 statewide, top 49%, 628 students, 0% FRL); Childers Ms (math 16% / reading 28%, grade F, #129 of 345 statewide, top 42%, 796 students, 0% FRL); Broken Arrow Hs (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #120 of 447 statewide, top 27%, 4,589 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 33% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.37%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $290,792
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1405 W Yuma Cir | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,784 (0%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $163 | 100 |
| 7109 S Maple Ave | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 1,852 (+4%) | 2mo | $311,017 | $168 | 79 |
| 909 W Albuquerque St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,786 (+0%) | 1mo | $303,000 | $170 | 76 |
| 1409 W Baton Rouge Cir | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 | 1,980 (+11%) | 1mo | $314,900 | $159 | 75 |
| 7112 S Maple Ave | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 1,940 (+9%) | 1mo | $316,555 | $163 | 72 |
| 7205 S Maple Ave | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 1,615 (-10%) | 1mo | $281,107 | $174 | 70 |
| 7025 S Maple Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,633 (-8%) | 1mo | $288,175 | $176 | 67 |
| 7204 S Lions Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,633 (-8%) | 1mo | $284,050 | $174 | 65 |
| 7008 S Maple Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,981 (+11%) | 0mo | $318,590 | $161 | 63 |
| 7104 S Maple Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,981 (+11%) | 1mo | $323,280 | $163 | 62 |
| 7208 S Maple Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,981 (+11%) | 2mo | $323,465 | $163 | 62 |
| 7200 S Maple Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,981 (+11%) | 2mo | $316,015 | $160 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-44,306
- Equity at exit
- $44,724
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-25,287
- Equity at exit
- $25,934
Cash invested: $83,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74011
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,458 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,411/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$17
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $26
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $195 | -5% $111 | +0% $26 | +5% $-59 | +10% $-144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-168 | -5% $-71 | +0% $26 | +5% $123 | +10% $220 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $177 | -0.5pp $102 | base $26 | +0.5pp $-52 | +1.0pp $-131 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,988
- Closing costs
- $8,998
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7313 S Walnut Ave Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,990 | $1.24 | 12d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2008 W Huntsville Pl Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $2,100 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2420 W Imperial Ct Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $2,415 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2430 W Imperial Ct Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $2,415 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2421 W Imperial Ct Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $2,415 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 6308 S 1st Pl Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $3,400 | $2.12 | 18d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3208 W Fredericksburg St Broken Arrow, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2014 | $2,350 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7211 S Laurel Pl Broken Arrow, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1851 | $2,200 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1110 W Birmingham Pl Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,750 | $1.37 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4623 S Chestnut Ave Broken Arrow, OK | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2023 | $3,800 | $1.88 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $17 · $204/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-04$299,950 Active
-
2026-03-10soldstatus $285,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,411 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,700 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- +$289/yr (+$24/mo · 12.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,491
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,802
- − Property taxes
- −$2,411
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,359
- − Management
- −$2,359
- − HOA
- −$204
- − Depreciation
- −$8,726
- Taxable loss
- −$4,870
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,169
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,477/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broken Arrow
- NCES district ID
- 4005490
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,646
- Composite
- 23.86/100
- National rank
- #7801
- State rank
- #79 of 270 in OK
Livability — Broken Arrow
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #2691
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Broken Arrow, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 144,172
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,900
- Household income
- $99,157
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 389.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 10% Native American 4% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.15%
- Current HPI
- 210.8302
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.09%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+5.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-05-04 Listed $299,950 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,411 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…