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4016 Windswept Way
D Composite 43.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$284,900

4016 Windswept Way · Forney, TX 75126
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,899 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 145 Days on market
Built 2021 Good condition 9,148 sqft lot 2-car garage $150/sqft · 17% below area Est $345k · 17% under $65/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PRICE IMPROVEMENT Welcome to 4016 Windswept Way, a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located on an oversized corner lot in the Lakewood Trails community in Forney. This home offers an open floor plan that works well for both everyday living and entertaining, along with a dedicated office space for added flexibility. The main living area features a cozy fireplace and flows into the kitchen and dining areas, creating a comfortable gathering space. The primary suite provides a private retreat, while the secondary bedrooms are well-sized for family, guests, or additional use. The spacious backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor activities, pets, or future improvements.

Key facts

  • Oversized corner lot
  • Spacious backyard
  • Community lake

Tags

OVERSIZED CORNER LOTDEDICATED OFFICE SPACECOZY FIREPLACESPACIOUS BACKYARDCOMMUNITY LAKEWALKING PATHS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-391 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (24.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $259k (9.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#98 in TX, #3,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
  • Forney ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #234 of 826 in TX (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Henderson El (math 52% / reading 54%, grade C, #705 of 4,322 statewide, top 17%, 737 students, 50% FRL); Warren Middle (math 43% / reading 50%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 903 students, 26% FRL); Forney H S (math 64% / reading 58%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,272 students, 28% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 3080 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,898 (24.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91% ✗
Cap rate
4.65%
Cash-on-cash
-5.88%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$344,650
List price
$284,900
Delta
-17.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4004 Clearline Dr 0.08mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,832 (-4%) 2mo $299,990 $164 84
4165 Waldron Trl 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,935 (+2%) 0mo $376,490 $195 77
4014 Poplar Dr 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,006 (+6%) 4mo $299,900 $150 74
4161 Waldron Trl 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,832 (-4%) 2mo $336,490 $184 74
4117 Plateau Dr 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,832 (-4%) 7mo $329,540 $180 72
4111 Beamer Dr 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,038 (+7%) 5mo $315,000 $155 72
4217 Long Dr 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,830 (-4%) 1mo $274,900 $150 66
4113 Plateau Dr 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,065 (+9%) 6mo $354,540 $172 64
4180 Plateau Dr 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,035 (+7%) 6mo $350,490 $172 62
4194 Plateau Dr 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,014 (+6%) 7mo $359,490 $178 60
4172 Plateau Dr 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,065 (+9%) 7mo $362,490 $176 60
13763 Hollow Creek Dr 0.68mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,933 (+2%) 1mo $475,000 $246 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-28.5%
Equity multiple
0.06×
Total profit
$-74,770
Equity at exit
$42,480
10-year hold
IRR
-37.4%
Equity multiple
-0.40×
Total profit
$-111,924
Equity at exit
$24,633

Cash invested: $79,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
35 active · 30 under contract
Months of supply
11.1 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$340,000 ($170/sqft)
Median days on market
61 d
This list price
11% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+6.6% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 75126

Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
3080
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,589 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,494
Tax from tax record
−$758 /mo · $9,094/yr
Insurance
−$119
HOA
−$65
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$544
Net cashflow
$-391

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,083
Max offer price $215,898
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-229 -5% $-310 +0% $-391 +5% $-471 +10% $-552
Rent -10% $-595 -5% $-493 +0% $-391 +5% $-288 +10% $-186
Rate -1.0pp $-247 -0.5pp $-318 base $-391 +0.5pp $-464 +1.0pp $-540

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,225
Closing costs
$8,547
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4005 Waterford Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1852 $2,350 $1.27 140d 1 0.11mi
4000 Dusk Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2140 $2,599 $1.21 85d 1 0.12mi
4306 Paxton Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1837 $2,600 $1.42 140d 1 0.19mi
4320 Shadow Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1830 $2,450 $1.34 21d 1 0.23mi
4175 Beamer Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1830 $2,500 $1.37 75d 1 0.30mi
4170 Plateau Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2100 $3,573 $1.70 140d 1 0.30mi
2140 Florence Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2032 $2,600 $1.28 140d 1 0.31mi
4162 Rim Trl Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1916 $2,350 $1.23 86d 1 0.33mi
4178 Plateau Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1832 $3,573 $1.95 141d 1 0.33mi
2302 Doe Branch Ln Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2457 $2,750 $1.12 118d 1 0.35mi
4238 Long Dr Forney, TX 4.0 3.0 2312 $2,900 $1.25 13d 1 0.37mi
4186 Rim Trl Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2060 $2,750 $1.33 140d 1 0.41mi
2503 Blue Oasis Ct Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2127 $2,399 $1.13 60d 1 0.41mi
4198 Plateau Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1832 $3,573 $1.95 140d 1 0.41mi
1328 Middlebrooks Dr Forney, TX 4.0 3.0 2534 $2,600 $1.03 25d 1 0.61mi
1308 Middlebrooks Dr Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2231 $2,650 $1.19 141d 1 0.61mi
1515 Arabella Ave Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1636 $2,200 $1.34 70d 1 0.74mi
114 Mandarin St Forney, TX 3.0 2.0 1871 $2,400 $1.28 85d 1 0.76mi
2495 Monty St Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1835 $2,300 $1.25 12d 1 0.77mi
2795 Tanner St Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2113 $2,200 $1.04 36d 1 0.78mi
1450 Arabella Ave Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1636 $2,250 $1.38 109d 1 0.79mi
107 Huckleberry Rd Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2186 $2,700 $1.24 52d 1 0.80mi
2760 Tanner St Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1615 $2,200 $1.36 69d 1 0.80mi
2520 Caden Ct Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1535 $2,030 $1.32 0d 1 0.82mi
2850 Dusty Rd Forney, TX 4.0 3.0 2115 $2,300 $1.09 52d 1 0.82mi
2305 Willard Way Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2108 $1,795 $0.85 2d 1 0.84mi
112 Huckleberry Rd Forney, TX 3.0 2.0 1882 $2,395 $1.27 0d 1 0.84mi
3085 Seth Ln Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1804 $1,950 $1.08 38d 1 0.85mi
1232 Cirrus Ct Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2468 $2,899 $1.17 29d 1 0.95mi
1160 Wentworth Way Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1815 $2,189 $1.21 79d 1 0.97mi
1052 Lufkin Ln Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2600 $2,800 $1.08 8d 1 0.98mi
1024 Meadowlark Ave Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 58d 1 1.02mi
1024 Meadowlark Ave Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2438 $2,795 $1.15 85d 1 1.02mi
1060 Sadie St Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,200 $1.10 8d 1 1.03mi
1128 Red Hawk Ln Forney, TX 4.0 2.5 2604 $2,800 $1.08 8d 1 1.03mi
844 Lauren Grove Ln Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 2000 $3,800 $1.90 85d 1 1.15mi
812 Carmen St Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1876 $2,460 $1.31 8d 1 1.21mi
812 Carmen St Forney, TX 4.0 2.0 1870 $2,650 $1.42 35d 1 1.21mi
413 Driftwood Ct Forney, TX 3.0 2.0 1733 $1,999 $1.15 107d 1 1.23mi
413 Driftwood Ct Forney, TX 3.0 2.0 1733 $2,000 $1.15 112d 1 1.23mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Listing allows conventional, cash, FHA, and VA financingSpecial listing conditions: Standard
HOA & community
Mandatory HOAHOA semi-annual fee; includes grounds maintenanceHOA management: Neighborhood Management

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garage (approx. 19' wide x 18' long, 20' height)2 covered parking spacesDriveway
Security
Smoke detectorsCarbon monoxide detectors
Utilities
City waterCity sewerElectricity connectedIndividual gas meterNot in a municipal utility district
Home design
Single-family residenceResidential propertyOne storyPreowned (built in 2021)Subdivision: Lakewood Trails Add
Construction
Brick and rock/stone exteriorBuilt in 2021Preowned
Exterior features
Covered porch(es)Covered patio/porchGuttersWood fencingLarge backyard with grassSprinkler systemCorner lotIrrigation equipmentEasements for utilities

Interior

Kitchen
Granite countertopsKitchen islandBreakfast barPantryWater line to refrigeratorDishwasherGas rangeMicrowaveRefrigeratorDisposal
Bedrooms
Primary bedroom on level 1 (approx. 12 x 16)Two additional bedrooms on level 1 with walk-in closets (approx. 10 x 11 and 11 x 11)
Bathrooms
Two full bathroomsPrimary bathroom with built-in cabinets, dual sinks, garden tub and separate shower (ensuite)
Heating & cooling
Central heating (natural gas)Fireplace(s) for supplemental heatCentral air conditioning (electric)Ceiling fans
Interior features
Decorative lightingGranite countersHigh-speed internet availableKitchen islandPantryWalk-in closetsOne living areaTwo dining areasRoom count: 10Levels: One
Laundry & utility
Utility room with built-in cabinets (approx. 7 x 5)Tankless water heaterGas water heater

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-25
    days on market $284,900 Active 145 DOM
  2. 2026-09-24
    days on market $284,900 Active 144 DOM
  3. 2026-09-23
    days on market $284,900 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-09-22
    days on market $284,900 Active 142 DOM
  5. 2026-09-21
    days on market $284,900 Active 141 DOM
  6. 2026-09-20
    days on market $284,900 Active 140 DOM
  7. 2026-09-19
    days on market $284,900 Active 139 DOM
  8. 2026-09-18
    days on market $284,900 Active 138 DOM
  9. 2026-09-17
    days on market $284,900 Active 137 DOM
  10. 2026-09-16
    days on market $284,900 Active 136 DOM
  11. 2026-09-15
    days on market $284,900 Active 135 DOM
  12. 2026-09-14
    days on market $284,900 Active 134 DOM
  13. 2026-09-13
    days on market $284,900 Active 133 DOM
  14. 2026-09-12
    days on market $284,900 Active 132 DOM
  15. 2026-09-11
    days on market $284,900 Active 131 DOM
  16. 2026-09-05
    days on market $284,900 Active 125 DOM
  17. 2026-09-04
    days on market $284,900 Active 124 DOM
  18. 2026-09-02
    days on market $284,900 Active 122 DOM
  19. 2026-08-31
    days on market $284,900 Active 120 DOM
  20. 2026-08-29
    days on market $284,900 Active 118 DOM
  21. 2026-08-28
    days on market $284,900 Active 117 DOM
  22. 2026-08-27
    days on market $284,900 Active 116 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $284,900 Active 114 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $284,900 Active 113 DOM
  25. 2026-08-23
    days on market $284,900 Active 112 DOM
  26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $284,900 Active 111 DOM
  27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $284,900 Active 110 DOM
  28. 2026-08-20
    price $284,900 Active 109 DOM
  29. 2026-08-20
    days on market $294,900 Active 109 DOM
  30. 2026-08-19
    days on market $294,900 Active 108 DOM
  31. 2026-08-18
    days on market $294,900 Active 107 DOM
  32. 2026-08-17
    days on market $294,900 Active 106 DOM
  33. 2026-08-16
    days on market $294,900 Active 105 DOM
  34. 2026-08-15
    days on market $294,900 Active 104 DOM
  35. 2026-08-14
    days on market $294,900 Active 103 DOM
  36. 2026-08-13
    days on market $294,900 Active 102 DOM
  37. 2026-08-12
    days on market $294,900 Active 101 DOM
  38. 2026-08-11
    days on market $294,900 Active 100 DOM
  39. 2026-08-10
    days on market $294,900 Active 99 DOM
  40. 2026-08-09
    days on market $294,900 Active 98 DOM
  41. 2026-08-08
    days on market $294,900 Active 97 DOM
  42. 2026-08-06
    days on market $294,900 Active 95 DOM
  43. 2026-08-05
    days on market $294,900 Active 94 DOM
  44. 2026-08-04
    days on market $294,900 Active 93 DOM
  45. 2026-08-03
    days on market $294,900 Active 92 DOM
  46. 2026-07-31
    pricedays on market $294,900 Active 89 DOM
  47. 2026-07-30
    days on market $299,000 Active 88 DOM
  48. 2026-07-30
    days on market $299,000 Active 87 DOM
  49. 2026-07-28
    days on market $299,000 Active 86 DOM
  50. 2026-07-26
    days on market $299,000 Active 84 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$9,094 · $758/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,094 · $758/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,062
− Mortgage interest
−$15,959
− Property taxes
−$9,094
− Insurance
−$1,424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,485
− Management
−$2,485
− HOA
−$780
− Depreciation
−$8,288
Taxable loss
−$9,452
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,269
After-tax cash flow
$-2,419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $9,495–$28,485 screening

This well-maintained single-family home in Forney, TX, offers a good condition with modern amenities and a good curb appeal. It is ready for a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping improvements to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value ↑
  • Both Add a smart home system — Improves convenience and can increase property value ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 54/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Henderson El C TX #705/4,322 Nat'l #10,986/41,679 Middle Warren Middle D+ TX #443/1,662 Nat'l #4,335/14,009 High Forney H S C+ TX #258/1,632 Nat'l #3,443/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Forney ISD
NCES district ID
4819560
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$86,679
Composite
40.07/100
National rank
#3812
State rank
#234 of 826 in TX
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — Forney

Score
76/100
State rank
#98
US rank
#3339

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Kaufman County · 138,716 people
City population
84,799
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
84,799
Household income
$103,673
Rent vs Own
19.5% rent · 80.5% own
Severe rent burden
20% of renters

Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,716 people
By 2030
150,815 · +8.7%
By 2040
174,877 · +26.1%
By 2050
198,020 · +42.8%
By 2075
251,908 · +81.6%
By 2100
285,325 · +105.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 14% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-16.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $299,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $319,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-11-07 Rental Removed $2,400 NTREIS
  • 2024-10-04 Listing Removed — NTREIS
  • 2024-09-17 Listed for Rent $2,400 NTREIS
  • 2024-09-13 Listed $360,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+44.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,094 · -5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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