1006 Powers Ave #5 · Churchill, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable Condo Living tucked into a quiet location yet close to Shopping, Restaurants and the Interstate. Neat Landscaping, Pretty wooded views and Ample guest parking surround this Condo building that was recently dressed with a New Roof and New Siding! Enter the secure building and upstairs to a nice sized open one floor living! This condo offers plenty of storage throughout with a walk in storage closet that houses the furnace, water tank and electric box but also has a great amount of room for other items; Multiple closets, a hidden laundry room and also garage storage. A huge Great Room with a dimensional ceiling separates the Living and Dining areas and includes a cozy Gas Fireplace and sliding doors to the deck/patio. Nice sized Master Bedroom and second bedroom are separated by a large Full bath with Tub/Shower combo and double sinks. Appliances stay including Newer washer and Dryer! Why pay rent when you can own for Less? Or you can be the one charging the rent and ad
Key facts
- Furnace ac 2023
- Newer roof
- Newer siding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (Orchards of Liberty) with a monthly fee of $188 covering insurance, grounds and structure maintenance, snow removal, and trash
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story unit in a two-story building; Entry level: 5
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Smoke detectors
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Linoleum in kitchen and laundry
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: In-unit washer and dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $118k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.7% in Churchill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#708 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Liberty Local (suburban): math 30% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #555 of 656 in OH (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,945/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.55%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $15,299
- Equity at exit
- $17,594
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $58,037
- Equity at exit
- $10,202
Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44505
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,945 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$619
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,711/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$188
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $538
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,500
- Closing costs
- $3,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4779 Logan Arms Dr Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1536 | $2,300 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 343 Beverly Hills Dr Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1046 Leslie Ln Girard, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,400 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $188 · $2,256/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaselectriclandscaping
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $118,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $118,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $118,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $118,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15status $118,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $118,000 Contingent 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $118,000 Contingent 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $118,000 Contingent 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $118,000 Contingent 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $118,000 Contingent 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $118,000 Contingent 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $118,000 Contingent 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $118,000 Contingent 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $118,000 Contingent 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $118,000 Contingent 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $118,000 Contingent 30 DOM
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2026-05-30statusdays on market $118,000 Contingent 29 DOM
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2026-05-27price $118,000
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2026-05-01$119,900 Active
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2022-10-21soldstatus $89,900 Closed 997-char remark
Show marketing remark (997 chars)
Affordable Condo Living tucked into a quiet location yet close to Shopping, Restaurants and the Interstate. Neat Landscaping, Pretty wooded views and Ample guest parking surround this Condo building that was recently dressed with a New Roof and New Siding! Enter the secure building and upstairs to a nice sized open one floor living! This condo offers plenty of storage throughout with a walk in storage closet that houses the furnace, water tank and electric box but also has a great amount of room for other items; Multiple closets, a hidden laundry room and also garage storage. A huge Great Room with a dimensional ceiling separates the Living and Dining areas and includes a cozy Gas Fireplace and sliding doors to the deck/patio. Nice sized Master Bedroom and second bedroom are separated by a large Full bath with Tub/Shower combo and double sinks. Appliances stay including Newer washer and Dryer! Why pay rent when you can own for Less? Or you can be the one charging the rent and ad
-
2022-10-21soldstatus $89,900
Show marketing remark (997 chars)
Affordable Condo Living tucked into a quiet location yet close to Shopping, Restaurants and the Interstate. Neat Landscaping, Pretty wooded views and Ample guest parking surround this Condo building that was recently dressed with a New Roof and New Siding! Enter the secure building and upstairs to a nice sized open one floor living! This condo offers plenty of storage throughout with a walk in storage closet that houses the furnace, water tank and electric box but also has a great amount of room for other items; Multiple closets, a hidden laundry room and also garage storage. A huge Great Room with a dimensional ceiling separates the Living and Dining areas and includes a cozy Gas Fireplace and sliding doors to the deck/patio. Nice sized Master Bedroom and second bedroom are separated by a large Full bath with Tub/Shower combo and double sinks. Appliances stay including Newer washer and Dryer! Why pay rent when you can own for Less? Or you can be the one charging the rent and ad
-
2022-09-09status Pending 997-char remark
Show marketing remark (997 chars)
Affordable Condo Living tucked into a quiet location yet close to Shopping, Restaurants and the Interstate. Neat Landscaping, Pretty wooded views and Ample guest parking surround this Condo building that was recently dressed with a New Roof and New Siding! Enter the secure building and upstairs to a nice sized open one floor living! This condo offers plenty of storage throughout with a walk in storage closet that houses the furnace, water tank and electric box but also has a great amount of room for other items; Multiple closets, a hidden laundry room and also garage storage. A huge Great Room with a dimensional ceiling separates the Living and Dining areas and includes a cozy Gas Fireplace and sliding doors to the deck/patio. Nice sized Master Bedroom and second bedroom are separated by a large Full bath with Tub/Shower combo and double sinks. Appliances stay including Newer washer and Dryer! Why pay rent when you can own for Less? Or you can be the one charging the rent and ad
-
2022-09-06status Active 997-char remark
Show marketing remark (997 chars)
Affordable Condo Living tucked into a quiet location yet close to Shopping, Restaurants and the Interstate. Neat Landscaping, Pretty wooded views and Ample guest parking surround this Condo building that was recently dressed with a New Roof and New Siding! Enter the secure building and upstairs to a nice sized open one floor living! This condo offers plenty of storage throughout with a walk in storage closet that houses the furnace, water tank and electric box but also has a great amount of room for other items; Multiple closets, a hidden laundry room and also garage storage. A huge Great Room with a dimensional ceiling separates the Living and Dining areas and includes a cozy Gas Fireplace and sliding doors to the deck/patio. Nice sized Master Bedroom and second bedroom are separated by a large Full bath with Tub/Shower combo and double sinks. Appliances stay including Newer washer and Dryer! Why pay rent when you can own for Less? Or you can be the one charging the rent and ad
-
2022-09-02$89,900 Active 997-char remark
Show marketing remark (997 chars)
Affordable Condo Living tucked into a quiet location yet close to Shopping, Restaurants and the Interstate. Neat Landscaping, Pretty wooded views and Ample guest parking surround this Condo building that was recently dressed with a New Roof and New Siding! Enter the secure building and upstairs to a nice sized open one floor living! This condo offers plenty of storage throughout with a walk in storage closet that houses the furnace, water tank and electric box but also has a great amount of room for other items; Multiple closets, a hidden laundry room and also garage storage. A huge Great Room with a dimensional ceiling separates the Living and Dining areas and includes a cozy Gas Fireplace and sliding doors to the deck/patio. Nice sized Master Bedroom and second bedroom are separated by a large Full bath with Tub/Shower combo and double sinks. Appliances stay including Newer washer and Dryer! Why pay rent when you can own for Less? Or you can be the one charging the rent and ad
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2015-05-05historical
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2015-03-04$69,900 Active
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2011-07-07historical
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2011-04-07$79,900
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2002-11-02historical
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2002-08-02$86,900
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2002-07-07historical
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2002-03-08$89,900
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1999-07-28soldstatus $74,000
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1998-02-10soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,711 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,776 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- +$65/yr (+$5/mo · 3.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,343
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,610
- − Property taxes
- −$1,711
- − Insurance
- −$590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,867
- − Management
- −$1,867
- − HOA
- −$2,256
- − Depreciation
- −$3,433
- Taxable income
- $5,009
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,202
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,256/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Liberty Local
- NCES district ID
- 3905019
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,604
- Composite
- 30.59/100
- National rank
- #6202
- State rank
- #555 of 656 in OH
Livability — Churchill
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #708
- US rank
- #12768
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Mahoning · 224,175 people
- City population
- 15,066
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,449
- Household income
- $36,480
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10.8
Population outlook (Trumbull County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 191,696 people
- By 2030
- 184,015 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 166,810 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 149,857 · -21.8%
- By 2075
- 115,769 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 83,617 · -56.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 37% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Trumbull
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.2% · R 58.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.64%
- Current HPI
- 192.3375
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+68.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $118,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-05-01 Listed $119,900 MLSNOW
- 2022-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2022-10-21 Sold (MLS) $89,900 MLSNOW
- 2022-09-09 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2022-09-06 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2022-09-02 Listed $89,900 MLSNOW
- 2015-05-05 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2015-03-04 Listed $69,900 MLSNOW
- 2011-07-07 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2011-04-07 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
- 2002-11-02 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2002-08-02 Listed $86,900 MLSNOW
- 2002-07-07 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2002-03-08 Listed $89,900 MLSNOW
- 1999-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 1998-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,711 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…