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925 Childress St
C+ Composite 64.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$169,400

925 Childress St · San Angelo, TX 76901
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,407 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1956 7,144 sqft lot $70/sqft · 16% below area Est $201k · 16% under ↓ 36% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Huge 3 bedroom 2 bath home located on a corner lot. Over 2400 square feet with TONS of potential. Plenty of storage and living space. Outside, you will find a build in fireplace, additional parking and a storage room. Home is being sold As-Is. Come see the possibilities and make this your new home.

Key facts

  • 7,144 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1956

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,236 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.63%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$201,127
List price
$169,400
Delta
-15.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2223 Abilene St 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,248 (-7%) 8mo $235,000 $105 62
608 E Parkway St 0.60mi 3/2.0 2,379 (-1%) 10mo $275,000 $116 62
2209 Waco St 0.38mi 3/2.0 2,121 (-12%) 7mo $279,900 $132 56
612 E Parkway St 0.60mi 3/2.5 2,170 (-10%) 5mo $110,000 $51 50
2718 Lindell Ave 0.40mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,241 (-7%) 16mo $275,000 $123 47
2233 Waco St 0.31mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,148 (-11%) 22mo $289,900 $135 40
3105 Juanita Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 2,208 (-8%) 20mo $289,000 $131 38
2817 San Antonio St 0.64mi 3/2.0 2,100 (-13%) 22mo $189,000 $90 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.3%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$104,108
Equity at exit
$152,609
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
7.60×
Total profit
$313,201
Equity at exit
$329,107

Cash invested: $47,432 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76901

Home prices YoY
6.4%
Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
331
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,780 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$888
Tax from tax record
$343 /mo · $4,115/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,648
Max offer price $169,400
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,350
Closing costs
$5,082
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2505 W Harris Ave San Angelo, TX 2.0 2.0 1582 $1,300 $0.82 43d 1 0.77mi
417 N Jefferson St San Angelo, TX 4.0 2.0 1940 $2,350 $1.21 21d 1 1.02mi
210 N Jefferson St #210 San Angelo, TX 3.0 3.0 1706 $1,600 $0.94 21d 1 1.13mi
279 Glenna Dr San Angelo, TX 3.0 2.0 1625 $1,795 $1.10 21d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $169,400 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $169,400 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,900 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,900 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,900 Active 44 DOM
  17. 2026-05-19
    price $169,900
  18. 2026-04-16
    listed $174,900 Active
  19. 2023-03-02
    soldstatus
  20. 2023-03-01
    soldstatus Closed 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Huge 3 bedroom 2 bath home located on a corner lot. Over 2400 square feet with TONS of potential. Plenty of storage and living space. Outside, you will find a build in fireplace, additional parking and a storage room. Home is being sold As-Is. Come see the possibilities and make this your new home.

  21. 2023-01-23
    status Pending 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Huge 3 bedroom 2 bath home located on a corner lot. Over 2400 square feet with TONS of potential. Plenty of storage and living space. Outside, you will find a build in fireplace, additional parking and a storage room. Home is being sold As-Is. Come see the possibilities and make this your new home.

  22. 2023-01-10
    listed $175,000 Active 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Huge 3 bedroom 2 bath home located on a corner lot. Over 2400 square feet with TONS of potential. Plenty of storage and living space. Outside, you will find a build in fireplace, additional parking and a storage room. Home is being sold As-Is. Come see the possibilities and make this your new home.

  23. 2022-09-08
    price $205,000
  24. 2022-07-11
    listed $240,000 Active
  25. 2022-06-03
    status Active
  26. 2022-04-01
    listed $265,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,115 · $343/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,115 · $343/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,355
− Mortgage interest
−$9,489
− Property taxes
−$4,115
− Insurance
−$847
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,708
− Management
−$1,708
− Depreciation
−$4,928
Taxable loss
−$1,441
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$346
After-tax cash flow
$1,594/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Angelo ISD
NCES district ID
4838700
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,501
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7427
State rank
#627 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Angelo

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Angelo, TX
County
Tom Green County · 113,188 people
City population
81,357
Metro
San Angelo, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,831
Household income
$69,450
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
1034.0

Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,110 people
By 2030
144,090 · +6.6%
By 2040
162,561 · +20.3%
By 2050
182,158 · +34.8%
By 2075
232,274 · +71.9%
By 2100
268,218 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (55%)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 47.96%
Current HPI
798.58
Rent YoY
▲ 5.78%
Metro
San Angelo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-35.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $169,900 SAAR TX
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $174,900 SAAR TX
  • 2023-03-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-03-01 Sold (MLS) SAAR TX
  • 2023-01-23 Pending SAAR TX
  • 2023-01-10 Listed $175,000 SAAR TX
  • 2022-09-08 Price Changed $205,000 SAAR TX
  • 2022-07-11 Listed $240,000 SAAR TX
  • 2022-06-03 Relisted SAAR TX
  • 2022-04-01 Listed $265,000 SAAR TX

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,115 · +22.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…