Plan 2745 Plan · South Hill, WA 98375

$624,950

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,745 sqft · SingleFamily · 393 Days on market

↓ 3% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.7/30.0
• Schools +5.4/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.7/10.0
• DSCR +1.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

* Loft * Mudroom * Pedestal sink with polished edge mirror at powder bath * Class white painted millwork, doors and baseboards throughout * Walk-in closet at primary suite * Low-maintenance front and rear yard landscaping * Den * Kitchen island * Upstairs laundry room * Low-E windows * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Greenbelt homesites available * Mountain views * Near local schools * Outdoor recreation nearby * Close to family friendly parks

Key facts

• Walk-in closet
• Low-e windows
• Mudroom

Tags

• MUDROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSET
• KITCHEN ISLAND
• UPSTAIRS LAUNDRY ROOM
• LOW-E WINDOWS
• WATERSENSE LABELED FAUCETS

🏗️ New construction. The $624,950 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $702,325.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $625k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $541k (13.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $473k (24.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $473k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.0% in South Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#84 in WA, #1,620 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, cost of living F.
• Puyallup School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #52 of 291 in WA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $4,732/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($117k/yr) (locally 541% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 393 days — a 12% lower offer ($550k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $473,239 (24.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 393 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.67% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.39%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.80%
• DSCR: 0.70
• GRM: 12.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $702,325
• List price: $624,950
• Delta: -11.02%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
13314 120th St E	0.24mi	4/2.5	2,828 (+3%)	0mo	$845,000	$299	84
11403 136th Ave E	0.43mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,807 (+2%)	2mo	$975,000	$347	70
11002 Shawnee Rd E	0.61mi	4/2.5	2,796 (+2%)	1mo	$1,075,000	$384	68
13725 111th Street Ct E	0.58mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,763 (+1%)	2mo	$1,050,000	$380	66
12430 136th Ave E	0.46mi	4/3.0	2,961 (+8%)	1mo	$829,000	$280	63
12703 120th Street Ct E #20	0.67mi	4/2.5	2,622 (-4%)	4mo	$751,233	$287	58
12038 126th Avenue Ct E #13	0.71mi	4/3.5	2,687 (-2%)	2mo	$662,950	$247	58
12050 126th Avenue Ct E #11	0.71mi	4/3.0	2,702 (-2%)	5mo	$640,625	$237	58
13808 108th Street Ct E	0.72mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,625 (-4%)	1mo	$1,048,125	$399	54
11618 Jennifer Ct E	0.28mi	3/4.0 (-1)	3,149 (+15%)	0mo	$925,000	$294	51
12044 126th Avenue Ct E #12	0.71mi	5/3.0 (+1)	3,005 (+10%)	3mo	$690,400	$230	42
12708 115th Street Ct E	0.69mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,445 (-11%)	4mo	$780,000	$319	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -28.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.06×
• Total profit: $-185,749
• Equity at exit: $104,719

10-year hold

• IRR: -28.2%
• Equity multiple: -0.31×
• Total profit: $-256,979
• Equity at exit: $60,724

Cash invested: $196,651 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Washington: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 98375

• Rents YoY: 2.8%
• Active inventory: 283
• Price-to-rent: 11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,732 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,683
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$878 /mo · $10,535/yr
• Insurance: −$293
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$994
• Net cashflow: $-1,115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,144

Max offer price $540,980

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $175,581
• Closing costs: $21,070
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
11618 Jennifer Ct E Puyallup, WA	3.0	2.0	3149	$5,800	$1.84	1d	1	0.28mi
13011 122nd Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA	3.0	2.5	2176	$3,100	$1.42	43d	1	1.12mi

Listing history 21 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $624,950 Active 393 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $624,950 Active 392 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $624,950 Active 391 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $624,950 Active 390 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $624,950 Active 388 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $624,950 Active 387 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $624,950 Active 384 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $624,950 Active 383 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $624,950 Active 382 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $624,950 Active 379 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $624,950 Active 378 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $624,950 Active 377 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $624,950 Active 376 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $624,950 Active 375 DOM
15. 2026-03-05
    price $624,950 545-char remark

    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    * Loft * Mudroom * Pedestal sink with polished edge mirror at powder bath * Class white painted millwork, doors and baseboards throughout * Walk-in closet at primary suite * Low-maintenance front and rear yard landscaping * Den * Kitchen island * Upstairs laundry room * Low-E windows * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Greenbelt homesites available * Mountain views * Near local schools * Outdoor recreation nearby * Close to family friendly parks

16. 2026-02-21
    price $614,950 545-char remark

    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    * Loft * Mudroom * Pedestal sink with polished edge mirror at powder bath * Class white painted millwork, doors and baseboards throughout * Walk-in closet at primary suite * Low-maintenance front and rear yard landscaping * Den * Kitchen island * Upstairs laundry room * Low-E windows * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Greenbelt homesites available * Mountain views * Near local schools * Outdoor recreation nearby * Close to family friendly parks

17. 2026-01-24
    price $609,950 545-char remark

    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    * Loft * Mudroom * Pedestal sink with polished edge mirror at powder bath * Class white painted millwork, doors and baseboards throughout * Walk-in closet at primary suite * Low-maintenance front and rear yard landscaping * Den * Kitchen island * Upstairs laundry room * Low-E windows * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Greenbelt homesites available * Mountain views * Near local schools * Outdoor recreation nearby * Close to family friendly parks

18. 2025-08-08
    price $604,950 545-char remark

    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    * Loft * Mudroom * Pedestal sink with polished edge mirror at powder bath * Class white painted millwork, doors and baseboards throughout * Walk-in closet at primary suite * Low-maintenance front and rear yard landscaping * Den * Kitchen island * Upstairs laundry room * Low-E windows * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Greenbelt homesites available * Mountain views * Near local schools * Outdoor recreation nearby * Close to family friendly parks

19. 2025-06-20
    price $614,950 545-char remark

    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    * Loft * Mudroom * Pedestal sink with polished edge mirror at powder bath * Class white painted millwork, doors and baseboards throughout * Walk-in closet at primary suite * Low-maintenance front and rear yard landscaping * Den * Kitchen island * Upstairs laundry room * Low-E windows * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Greenbelt homesites available * Mountain views * Near local schools * Outdoor recreation nearby * Close to family friendly parks

20. 2025-06-05
    price $634,950 545-char remark

    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    * Loft * Mudroom * Pedestal sink with polished edge mirror at powder bath * Class white painted millwork, doors and baseboards throughout * Walk-in closet at primary suite * Low-maintenance front and rear yard landscaping * Den * Kitchen island * Upstairs laundry room * Low-E windows * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Greenbelt homesites available * Mountain views * Near local schools * Outdoor recreation nearby * Close to family friendly parks

21. 2025-05-22
    listed $644,950 Active 545-char remark

    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    * Loft * Mudroom * Pedestal sink with polished edge mirror at powder bath * Class white painted millwork, doors and baseboards throughout * Walk-in closet at primary suite * Low-maintenance front and rear yard landscaping * Den * Kitchen island * Upstairs laundry room * Low-E windows * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Greenbelt homesites available * Mountain views * Near local schools * Outdoor recreation nearby * Close to family friendly parks

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $56,789
• − Mortgage interest: −$39,341
• − Property taxes: −$10,535
• − Insurance: −$3,512
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$4,543
• − Management: −$4,543
• − Depreciation: −$20,431
• Taxable loss: −$26,116
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$6,268
• After-tax cash flow: $-7,112/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Puyallup School District
• NCES district ID: 5306960
• Math proficiency: 53% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 66% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $68,291
• Composite: 54.01/100
• National rank: #3006
• State rank: #52 of 291 in WA

Livability — South Hill

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #84
• US rank: #1620

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A- Cost of living F Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: South Hill, WA
• County: Pierce County · 788,257 people
• City population: 76,707
• Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
• Population (ZIP): 31,187
• Household income: $117,074
• Rent vs Own: 24.6% rent · 75.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 541.0

Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 956,648 people
• By 2030: 1,010,862 · +5.7%
• By 2040: 1,113,170 · +16.4%
• By 2050: 1,206,524 · +26.1%
• By 2075: 1,436,425 · +50.2%
• By 2100: 1,563,654 · +63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: White 57% Two or more races 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 8% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pierce

• 2024 margin: D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -189.98%
• Current HPI: 285.0074
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.79%
• Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.65%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	2	$269B
▸Technology / Retail	1	$638B
▸Technology	1	$245B
▸Telecommunications	1	$38B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$36B
▸Automotive / Trucks	1	$34B

Price history

-3.1% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-05 Price Changed $624,950 Zillow
• 2026-02-21 Price Changed $614,950 Zillow
• 2026-01-24 Price Changed $609,950 Zillow
• 2025-08-08 Price Changed $604,950 Zillow
• 2025-06-20 Price Changed $614,950 Zillow
• 2025-06-05 Price Changed $634,950 Zillow
• 2025-05-22 Listed $644,950 Zillow