352 Hickory Grove Blvd · Clarksville, TN
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NICE OLDER HOME IN POPULAR AREA CLOSE TO RIVERSIDE DR. REVERSE BASEMENT FULLY FINISHED-EFFICENCY APT - 1 BDRM,1 BATH W/KITCHEN, DEN, UTILITY AREA - 3 BDRM, ON MAIN 1 FULL BATH, LARGE KITCHEN-DINING W/KNOTTY PINE, CABINETS & PANELING. GOOD CONDITION.
Key facts
- Investor property
- Almost 2 acres
- 1.82 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 1.82 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking; Asphalt driveway/parking; Total parking for 5 vehicles (including 1 covered/carport space); 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available
- Home design: Single-family residential; Two levels; Living area reported as 2,333 total square feet
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Foundation: Other; Year built: Existing
- Exterior features: Patio; Covered patio/porch; Porch; Hilly, sloped lot; Barn(s); Storage structure(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Kitchen approximately 22 x 13
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 3 bedrooms on the main level; Bedroom sizes include two at approximately 13 x 11
- Flooring: Carpet; Concrete; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Extra closets; Walk-in closets; Partial basement; Fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Electricity available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.5% in Clarksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#1 in TN, #798 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 25% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #65 of 139 in TN (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Norman Smith Elementary (math 14% / reading 23%, grade F, #691 of 952 statewide, top 73%, 566 students, 0% FRL); Montgomery Central High (math 6% / reading 40%, grade F, #149 of 332 statewide, top 46%, 1,056 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 608 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,583 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (617 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $116k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.70%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $268,295
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1154 Old Charlotte Trce | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,106 (-10%) | 7mo | $355,000 | $169 | 55 |
| 725 Kleeman Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,481 (+6%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $101 | 54 |
| 716 Woodmont Blvd | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,014 (-14%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $117 | 54 |
| 170 Hickory Grove Blvd | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,043 (-12%) | 14mo | $195,000 | $95 | 50 |
| 765 Greenwood Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 2,040 (-13%) | 4mo | $234,365 | $115 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,810
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $16,262
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37040
- Home prices YoY
- -22.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 608
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,999 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,828/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $409
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $505 | -5% $457 | +0% $409 | +5% $361 | +10% $313 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $251 | -5% $330 | +0% $409 | +5% $488 | +10% $567 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $494 | -0.5pp $452 | base $409 | +0.5pp $365 | +1.0pp $320 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Lawn St Clarksville, TN | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1783 | $2,250 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 60 W High St Clarksville, TN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1881 | $1,695 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 947 Clark St Clarksville, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,675 | $0.93 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1282 Jostin Dr Clarksville, TN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2257 | $2,000 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 632 Hidden Valley Dr Clarksville, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1982 | $1,900 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 924 E Happy Hollow Dr Clarksville, TN | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2063 | $2,300 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-10status $170,000 Pending 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $170,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $170,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$199,999 Active
-
2012-09-10soldstatus $116,000
-
2012-09-07soldstatus $116,000 253-char remark
Show marketing remark (253 chars)
NICE OLDER HOME IN POPULAR AREA CLOSE TO RIVERSIDE DR. REVERSE BASEMENT FULLY FINISHED-EFFICENCY APT - 1 BDRM,1 BATH W/KITCHEN, DEN, UTILITY AREA - 3 BDRM, ON MAIN 1 FULL BATH, LARGE KITCHEN-DINING W/KNOTTY PINE, CABINETS & PANELING. GOOD CONDITION.
-
2012-08-16historical 253-char remark
Show marketing remark (253 chars)
NICE OLDER HOME IN POPULAR AREA CLOSE TO RIVERSIDE DR. REVERSE BASEMENT FULLY FINISHED-EFFICENCY APT - 1 BDRM,1 BATH W/KITCHEN, DEN, UTILITY AREA - 3 BDRM, ON MAIN 1 FULL BATH, LARGE KITCHEN-DINING W/KNOTTY PINE, CABINETS & PANELING. GOOD CONDITION.
-
2011-09-07$116,900 253-char remark
Show marketing remark (253 chars)
NICE OLDER HOME IN POPULAR AREA CLOSE TO RIVERSIDE DR. REVERSE BASEMENT FULLY FINISHED-EFFICENCY APT - 1 BDRM,1 BATH W/KITCHEN, DEN, UTILITY AREA - 3 BDRM, ON MAIN 1 FULL BATH, LARGE KITCHEN-DINING W/KNOTTY PINE, CABINETS & PANELING. GOOD CONDITION.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,828 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,828 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,984
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$1,828
- − Insurance
- −$1,516
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,919
- − Management
- −$1,919
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $2,334
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$560
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,345/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 4703030
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,423
- Composite
- 24.56/100
- National rank
- #7641
- State rank
- #65 of 139 in TN
Livability — Clarksville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #798
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clarksville, TN
- County
- Montgomery County · 211,371 people
- City population
- 211,371
- Metro
- Clarksville, TN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,977
- Household income
- $67,745
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2670.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 236,633 people
- By 2030
- 258,978 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 305,456 · +29.1%
- By 2050
- 353,147 · +49.2%
- By 2075
- 471,289 · +99.2%
- By 2100
- 564,122 · +138.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 25% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.4) · D 40.0% · R 58.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.9pp · 2024: -18.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.4 2020: R+12.7 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+7.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.79%
- Current HPI
- 269.0601
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.32%
- Metro
- Clarksville, TN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+71.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $199,999 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
- 2012-09-07 Sold (MLS) $116,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-16 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-07 Listed $116,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,828 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…