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33 Laforce St
B- Composite 69.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

33 Laforce St · Rochester, NY 14621
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1900 4,464 sqft lot $68/sqft · 82% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 33 Laforce St. in Rochester! This charming and move-in ready home is the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Step inside to find brand new flooring throughout, complemented by fresh, modern paint that creates a bright and inviting atmosphere. The updated bathroom features a stylish new vanity, adding a clean and contemporary touch. Major mechanicals have already been taken care of, giving you peace of mind — the roof is approximately 1 years old, the hot water tank is 2024, and the furnace is 2010 Whether you're a first-time homebuyer or looking to add to your investment portfolio, this property offers great value and low-maintenance living. Seller reserves the right to call offers due at anytime

Key facts

  • Stylish new vanity
  • Brand new flooring
  • Updated bathroom

Tags

BRAND NEW FLOORINGUPDATED BATHROOMSTYLISH NEW VANITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $591 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,789/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,003 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.75%
Cash-on-cash
19.48%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$71,443
List price
$129,900
Delta
81.82%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
79 Avenue B 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,922 (+1%) 2mo $165,000 $86 63
1 Bloomingdale St 0.29mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,798 (-5%) 13mo $100,000 $56 61
187 Bernard St 0.52mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,885 (-1%) 13mo $87,000 $46 59
238 Weyl St 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,874 (-1%) 7mo $120,000 $64 59
28 Fien St 0.34mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,780 (-6%) 12mo $80,000 $45 57
77 Avenue C 0.66mi 4/1.5 1,868 (-2%) 11mo $60,000 $32 56
232 Avenue A 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,634 (-14%) 6mo $130,000 $80 52
206 Avenue Ave E 0.66mi 4/1.5 1,750 (-8%) 3mo $95,000 $54 52
54 Ketchum St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,651 (-13%) 13mo $75,000 $45 48
60 Berlin St 0.34mi 4/1.0 1,635 (-14%) 11mo $55,000 $34 48
15 Oakman St 0.46mi 4/1.0 1,629 (-14%) 4mo $82,000 $50 48
140 Weyl St 0.62mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,122 (+12%) 10mo $127,000 $60 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$26,000
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
4.14×
Total profit
$114,027
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14621

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Rents YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,789 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,049/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$591

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,041
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
28-30 Carthage Dr Unit 28 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1415 $1,600 $1.13 23d 1 0.79mi
2 Jay St Unit 2 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1252 $1,045 $0.83 43d 1 1.03mi
1016 Lake Ave Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,600 $1.23 43d 1 1.15mi
260 E Main St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 1144 $2,999 $2.62 3d 14 1.29mi
1 Champeney Ter Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1936 $1,650 $0.85 14d 1 1.31mi
98 Pierpont St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1973 $1,295 $0.66 43d 1 1.35mi
207 Lux St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1728 $2,150 $1.24 10d 1 1.35mi
327 Glenwood Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 2012 $1,690 $0.84 3d 1 1.41mi
147 5th St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1289 $1,950 $1.51 21d 1 1.44mi
117 Northaven Ter Rochester, NY 4.0 2.0 1460 $1,975 $1.35 10d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,900 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $129,900 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $134,900 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,900 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,900 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,900 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,900 Active 41 DOM
  16. 2026-04-20
    listed $134,900 Active 731-char remark
    Show marketing remark (731 chars)

    Welcome to 33 Laforce St. in Rochester! This charming and move-in ready home is the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Step inside to find brand new flooring throughout, complemented by fresh, modern paint that creates a bright and inviting atmosphere. The updated bathroom features a stylish new vanity, adding a clean and contemporary touch. Major mechanicals have already been taken care of, giving you peace of mind — the roof is approximately 1 years old, the hot water tank is 2024, and the furnace is 2010 Whether you're a first-time homebuyer or looking to add to your investment portfolio, this property offers great value and low-maintenance living. Seller reserves the right to call offers due at anytime

  17. 2018-10-22
    status Pending Sale
  18. 2018-10-17
    historical
  19. 2018-10-15
    listed $34,900 Active
  20. 2016-05-12
    historical
  21. 2016-04-22
    listed $49,900 Active
  22. 2013-09-09
    listed $34,900
  23. 2013-03-05
    historical
  24. 2012-07-13
    listed $55,900
  25. 2012-07-13
    historical
  26. 2012-07-02
    listed $62,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,049 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,622 · $135/mo
Expected delta
+$573/yr (+$48/mo · 54.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,468
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,049
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,717
− Management
−$1,717
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$5,279
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,267
After-tax cash flow
$5,820/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
32,381
Household income
$35,383
Rent vs Own
64.6% rent · 35.4% own
Severe rent burden
2756.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% Black 40% White 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 32% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.66%
Current HPI
254.1805
Rent YoY
▲ 8.88%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+114.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $134,900 UNYREIS
  • 2018-10-22 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2018-10-17 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2018-10-15 Listed $34,900 UNYREIS
  • 2016-05-12 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2016-04-22 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
  • 2013-09-09 Listed $34,900 UNYREIS
  • 2013-03-05 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2012-07-13 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2012-07-13 Listed $55,900 UNYREIS
  • 2012-07-02 Listed $62,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,049 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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