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2 Mills Dr
D- Composite 39.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0

$299,900

2 Mills Dr · Bella Vista, AR 72714
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,414 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 2002 0.33 ac lot Est $297k · at est. $40/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SUPER CUTE 3 bedroom 2 bath home on corner lot, just minutes away from schools, shopping, and trails! This one level home includes granite counters, ventless propane fireplace with logs, and hardwood flooring in Living Room and hallway. Kitchen is accommodating and has stainless appliances. Enjoy the outdoors while relaxing on your covered deck overlooking your fenced in backyard or sit around the fire pit. Two Car Garage has been turned into a Bonus Room (not included in Sq Ft) and can be changed back to original state. Don’t miss your chance to see this great home located in a growing community!

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Covered deck
  • Granite countertops

Tags

CORNER LOTGRANITE COUNTERTOPSVENTLESS PROPANE FIREPLACEHARDWOOD FLOORINGSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCOVERED DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Annual tax information available (excluded from detailed listing per instructions)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $40 monthly fee; Community located near a fire station, schools, and trails/paths

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: No specific security systems listed
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property (less than 25 years old); Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Has home warranty
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered deck/patio; Fenced backyard with chain link, wood, and privacy fencing; Landscaped corner city lot in a subdivision; Public paved road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Granite counters; Dishwasher; Electric range with smooth cooktop; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave and microwave hood fan; Plumbed for ice maker; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (11' x 11'4" and 10'6" x 11'); Additional main-level room (9'6" x 10'10") that can be used as a bedroom or other purpose
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat pump); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Cathedral ceilings; Granite counters; Window treatments; Double pane vinyl windows with blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Plumbed for washer (laundry hookups implied by appliances listing)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-247 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (14.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (26.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $222k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 475 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $253k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $221,767 (26.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.30%
Cash-on-cash
-3.53%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$296,940
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1 Mills Ln 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,328 (-6%) 2mo $279,900 $211 86
14 Slifer Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,445 (+2%) 10mo $320,000 $221 76
2 Charing Ln 0.15mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,350 (-4%) 14mo $300,000 $222 69
16 Headley Dr 0.24mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,444 (+2%) 14mo $316,000 $219 68
40 Headley Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,550 (+10%) 6mo $312,500 $202 64
1 Arden Ln 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,531 (+8%) 17mo $310,200 $203 60
56 Witherby Dr 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,449 (+2%) 14mo $305,000 $210 59
31 Headley Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,254 (-11%) 10mo $259,300 $207 58
17 Ravenglass Ln 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,626 (+15%) 2mo $350,000 $215 44
12 Cresswell Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,544 (+9%) 16mo $310,000 $201 39
11 Blakeney Ln 0.66mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,622 (+15%) 5mo $259,000 $160 35
43 Allendale Dr 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,547 (+9%) 20mo $299,400 $194 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.0%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-4,453
Equity at exit
$108,432
10-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$39,245
Equity at exit
$148,896

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72714

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
475
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,218 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$261 /mo · $3,137/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$40
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$466
Net cashflow
$-247

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,530
Max offer price $256,250
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15 Mills Dr Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1844 $1,950 $1.06 14d 1 0.15mi
4 Sibsey Cir Unit 1230868P Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1765 $3,469 $1.97 21d 1 0.84mi
1 Endon Cir Bella Vista, AR 2.0 1.5 1040 $1,295 $1.25 13d 1 1.19mi
30 Lunsford Ln Unit 1241312P Bella Vista, AR 2.0 2.0 1119 $1,842 $1.65 14d 1 1.27mi
14 Harrington Ln Unit 1241318P Bella Vista, AR 2.0 2.0 1044 $2,578 $2.47 13d 1 1.30mi
12 Sunderland Dr Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,700 $1.03 23d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$40 · $480/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $299,900 Pending 14 DOM
  2. 2026-05-15
    listed $299,900 Active
  3. 2023-04-03
    soldstatus $253,000
  4. 2023-03-31
    soldstatus $253,000 Closed 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    SUPER CUTE 3 bedroom 2 bath home on corner lot, just minutes away from schools, shopping, and trails! This one level home includes granite counters, ventless propane fireplace with logs, and hardwood flooring in Living Room and hallway. Kitchen is accommodating and has stainless appliances. Enjoy the outdoors while relaxing on your covered deck overlooking your fenced in backyard or sit around the fire pit. Two Car Garage has been turned into a Bonus Room (not included in Sq Ft) and can be changed back to original state. Don’t miss your chance to see this great home located in a growing community!

  5. 2023-03-11
    status Pending 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    SUPER CUTE 3 bedroom 2 bath home on corner lot, just minutes away from schools, shopping, and trails! This one level home includes granite counters, ventless propane fireplace with logs, and hardwood flooring in Living Room and hallway. Kitchen is accommodating and has stainless appliances. Enjoy the outdoors while relaxing on your covered deck overlooking your fenced in backyard or sit around the fire pit. Two Car Garage has been turned into a Bonus Room (not included in Sq Ft) and can be changed back to original state. Don’t miss your chance to see this great home located in a growing community!

  6. 2023-03-08
    listed $268,900 Active 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    SUPER CUTE 3 bedroom 2 bath home on corner lot, just minutes away from schools, shopping, and trails! This one level home includes granite counters, ventless propane fireplace with logs, and hardwood flooring in Living Room and hallway. Kitchen is accommodating and has stainless appliances. Enjoy the outdoors while relaxing on your covered deck overlooking your fenced in backyard or sit around the fire pit. Two Car Garage has been turned into a Bonus Room (not included in Sq Ft) and can be changed back to original state. Don’t miss your chance to see this great home located in a growing community!

  7. 2007-07-27
    soldstatus $134,000
  8. 2001-11-01
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,137 · $261/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,137 · $261/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,612
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$3,137
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,129
− Management
−$2,129
− HOA
−$480
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$8,285
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,989
After-tax cash flow
$-977/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bentonville School District
NCES district ID
0503060
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,721
Composite
51.85/100
National rank
#1661
State rank
#3 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bella Vista

Score
67/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#11129

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bella Vista, AR
County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
31,638
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
14,350
Household income
$103,125
Rent vs Own
13.2% rent · 86.8% own
Severe rent burden
61.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.38%
Current HPI
307.5796
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2899.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $299,900 NWARMLS
  • 2023-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $253,000 Public Records
  • 2023-03-31 Sold (MLS) $253,000 NWARMLS
  • 2023-03-11 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2023-03-08 Listed $268,900 NWARMLS
  • 2007-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
  • 2001-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,137 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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