2501 Marilee Ln · Houston, TX
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Cash flow +3.1/30.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$72,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
UNIT 2501-4 BLDG O . 004600 INT COMMON LAND & amp; ELE MARBLE ARCH
Key facts
- Built 1965
- Listed 11 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $72k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-296 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $72k).
- Cap rate 2.5% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 389 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $886 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 52% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 2.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.64%
- DSCR
- 0.39
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.23% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -35.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.37×
- Total profit
- $-27,537
- Equity at exit
- $16,582
- IRR
- -41.1%
- Equity multiple
- -1.62×
- Total profit
- $-52,846
- Equity at exit
- $16,741
Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77057
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Rents YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 389
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $992 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$378
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA est. from 3 same-building comps
- −$515
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $-296
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,000
- Closing costs
- $2,160
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2660 Marilee Ln Unit 2711 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $723 | $0.85 | 13d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2660 Marilee Ln Unit 1162 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $734 | $0.86 | 8d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2660 Marilee Ln Unit 2734 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $769 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2660 Marilee Ln Unit 2734 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $731 | $0.86 | 3d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 6434 Ella Lee Ln Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $799 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2508 Marilee Ln Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $909 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2508 Marilee Ln Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $909 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 1047 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $850 | $1.10 | 11d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,183 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,218 | $1.17 | 11d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,183 | $1.13 | 8d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 6455 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $807 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 6485 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $840 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 6455 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $845 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 1162 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $810 | $1.05 | 8d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 6491 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,175 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2520 Winrock Blvd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 832 | $875 | $1.05 | 3d | 16 | 0.08mi |
| 2672 Marilee Ln Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,137 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2672 Marilee Ln Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,137 | $1.34 | 20d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2525 S Voss Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $950 | $1.00 | 3d | 14 | 0.11mi |
| 2505 S Voss Rd Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 718 | $1,135 | $1.58 | 2d | 10 | 0.15mi |
| 2430 S Voss Rd Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $939 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 6425 Westheimer Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 748 | $973 | $1.30 | 14d | 28 | 0.23mi |
| 6425 Westheimer Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 748 | $968 | $1.29 | 1d | 26 | 0.23mi |
| 2424 S Voss Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 762 | $1,062 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2235 Winrock Blvd Unit 2292 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,076 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2235 Winrock Blvd Unit 2286 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $742 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2235 Winrock Blvd Unit 311 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $632 | $1.01 | 3d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2235 Winrock Blvd Unit 2309 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $747 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6505 Westheimer Rd Apt 324 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,135 | $1.61 | 8d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6505 Westheimer Rd Unit 6526 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,130 | $1.60 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6505 Westheimer Rd Unit 6562 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1109 | $1,295 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6505 Westheimer Rd Unit 1162 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,135 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6505 Westheimer Rd Unit 1187 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,132 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6505 Westheimer Rd Unit 6579 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,174 | $1.66 | 11d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6505 Westheimer Rd Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,124 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 6505 Westheimer Rd Unit 1047 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,175 | $1.66 | 11d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 7510 Burgoyne Dr Unit 1165 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,172 | $1.65 | 3d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 7510 Burgoyne Dr Unit 7561 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 783 | $1,185 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 7510 Burgoyne Dr Unit 1162 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,175 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.32mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $72,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $72,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 66-char remark
-
2026-06-08$72,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,899
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,033
- − Property taxes
- −$1,080
- − Insurance
- −$1,158
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$952
- − Management
- −$952
- − HOA
- −$6,180
- − Depreciation
- −$2,095
- Taxable loss
- −$4,550
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,092
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This property is in good condition with cosmetic updates, making it a solid investment opportunity. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the fresh paint, modern appliances, and smart home features.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and adds value to the property.
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can reduce energy costs and improve comfort for occupants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and adds value to the property. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can reduce energy costs and improve comfort for occupants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,569
- Household income
- $66,971
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3533.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 38% White 37% Two or more races 22% Black 12% Asian 10% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 38% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 33% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.23%
- Current HPI
- 167.8863
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.83%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $72,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…