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2501 Marilee Ln
D- Composite 36.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Cash flow +3.1/30.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$72,000

2501 Marilee Ln · Houston, TX 77057
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 788 sqft · Condo · 11 Days on market
Built 1965 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

UNIT 2501-4 BLDG O . 004600 INT COMMON LAND & amp; ELE MARBLE ARCH

Key facts

  • Built 1965
  • Listed 11 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $72k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-296 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $72k).
  • Cap rate 2.5% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 389 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $886 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 52% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
2.47%
Cash-on-cash
-13.64%
DSCR
0.39
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.23% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-35.9%
Equity multiple
-0.37×
Total profit
$-27,537
Equity at exit
$16,582
10-year hold
IRR
-41.1%
Equity multiple
-1.62×
Total profit
$-52,846
Equity at exit
$16,741

Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77057

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Rents YoY
-1.8%
Active inventory
389
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$992 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$378
Tax est. 1.5%
$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
Insurance
$30
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA est. from 3 same-building comps
$515
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$-296

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,366
Max offer price $29,215
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,000
Closing costs
$2,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2660 Marilee Ln Unit 2711 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 850 $723 $0.85 13d 1 0.05mi
2660 Marilee Ln Unit 1162 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 850 $734 $0.86 8d 1 0.05mi
2660 Marilee Ln Unit 2734 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 850 $769 $0.90 14d 1 0.05mi
2660 Marilee Ln Unit 2734 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 850 $731 $0.86 3d 1 0.05mi
6434 Ella Lee Ln Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 775 $799 $1.03 13d 1 0.05mi
2508 Marilee Ln Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 775 $909 $1.17 22d 1 0.07mi
2508 Marilee Ln Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 775 $909 $1.17 44d 1 0.07mi
6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 1047 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 775 $850 $1.10 11d 1 0.08mi
6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1045 $1,183 $1.13 5d 1 0.08mi
6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1045 $1,218 $1.17 11d 1 0.08mi
6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1045 $1,183 $1.13 8d 1 0.08mi
6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 6455 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 775 $807 $1.04 3d 1 0.08mi
6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 6485 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 775 $840 $1.08 44d 1 0.08mi
6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 6455 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 775 $845 $1.09 14d 1 0.08mi
6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 1162 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 775 $810 $1.05 8d 1 0.08mi
6434 Ella Lee Ln Unit 6491 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1045 $1,175 $1.12 3d 1 0.08mi
2520 Winrock Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.5 832 $875 $1.05 3d 16 0.08mi
2672 Marilee Ln Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 850 $1,137 $1.34 44d 1 0.10mi
2672 Marilee Ln Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 850 $1,137 $1.34 20d 1 0.10mi
2525 S Voss Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 949 $950 $1.00 3d 14 0.11mi
2505 S Voss Rd Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 718 $1,135 $1.58 2d 10 0.15mi
2430 S Voss Rd Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 750 $939 $1.25 24d 1 0.19mi
6425 Westheimer Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 748 $973 $1.30 14d 28 0.23mi
6425 Westheimer Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 748 $968 $1.29 1d 26 0.23mi
2424 S Voss Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 762 $1,062 $1.39 44d 1 0.26mi
2235 Winrock Blvd Unit 2292 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1044 $1,076 $1.03 3d 1 0.29mi
2235 Winrock Blvd Unit 2286 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 625 $742 $1.19 14d 1 0.29mi
2235 Winrock Blvd Unit 311 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 625 $632 $1.01 3d 1 0.29mi
2235 Winrock Blvd Unit 2309 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 625 $747 $1.20 14d 1 0.29mi
6505 Westheimer Rd Apt 324 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 706 $1,135 $1.61 8d 1 0.29mi
6505 Westheimer Rd Unit 6526 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 706 $1,130 $1.60 14d 1 0.29mi
6505 Westheimer Rd Unit 6562 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1109 $1,295 $1.17 14d 1 0.29mi
6505 Westheimer Rd Unit 1162 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 706 $1,135 $1.61 5d 1 0.29mi
6505 Westheimer Rd Unit 1187 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 706 $1,132 $1.60 3d 1 0.29mi
6505 Westheimer Rd Unit 6579 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 706 $1,174 $1.66 11d 1 0.29mi
6505 Westheimer Rd Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 706 $1,124 $1.59 13d 1 0.30mi
6505 Westheimer Rd Unit 1047 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 706 $1,175 $1.66 11d 1 0.30mi
7510 Burgoyne Dr Unit 1165 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 709 $1,172 $1.65 3d 1 0.32mi
7510 Burgoyne Dr Unit 7561 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 783 $1,185 $1.51 44d 1 0.32mi
7510 Burgoyne Dr Unit 1162 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 709 $1,175 $1.66 5d 1 0.32mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $72,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    remarks 66-char remark
  8. 2026-06-08
    listed $72,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,899
− Mortgage interest
−$4,033
− Property taxes
−$1,080
− Insurance
−$1,158
− Repairs & maintenance
−$952
− Management
−$952
− HOA
−$6,180
− Depreciation
−$2,095
Taxable loss
−$4,550
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,092
After-tax cash flow
$-2,456/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This property is in good condition with cosmetic updates, making it a solid investment opportunity. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the fresh paint, modern appliances, and smart home features.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and adds value to the property.
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can reduce energy costs and improve comfort for occupants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and adds value to the property.
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can reduce energy costs and improve comfort for occupants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
46,569
Household income
$66,971
Rent vs Own
68.2% rent · 31.8% own
Severe rent burden
3533.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 38% White 37% Two or more races 22% Black 12% Asian 10% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
38% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 33% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.23%
Current HPI
167.8863
Rent YoY
▼ -1.83%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $72,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…