4317 Meridith St · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers an inviting layout of approximately 1,000 sq ft with a comfortable flow and strong potential for personalization. A welcoming rear deck extends the living space outdoors, creating the perfect setting for relaxing, entertaining, or future enhancements. Inside, the home provides a functional footprint that supports a variety of design visions, making it an excellent canvas for modern touches. Natural light, defined living areas, and a practical floorplan add to its appeal, while the overall structure presents a solid foundation for transformation.
Key facts
- Practical floorplan
- Solid foundation
- Rear deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $514 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($987 rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.8% vs local median 6.1% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Fultondale Elementary School (math 6% / reading 30%, grade F, #481 of 627 statewide, top 77%, 982 students, 49% FRL); Bragg Middle School (math 6% / reading 51%, grade F, #138 of 257 statewide, top 54%, 746 students, 53% FRL); Gardendale High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,047 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 47d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 89% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.21%
- DSCR
- 3.46
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,950
- List price
- $39,900
- Delta
- -31.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2935 42nd Ave N | 1.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,072 (+7%) | 0mo | $8,000 | $7 | 53 |
| 2912 41st Ave N | 1.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,036 (+4%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $34 | 49 |
| 2129 N 30th Ave | 1.47mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,042 (+4%) | 10mo | $45,000 | $43 | 42 |
| 477 W 37th Ter | 1.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+6%) | 18mo | $9,000 | $8 | 35 |
| 3120 24th St | 1.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (-8%) | 17mo | $50,000 | $54 | 34 |
| 3731 1st Pl W | 0.98mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,215 (+22%) | 5mo | $94,900 | $78 | 31 |
| 509 37th Ave | 1.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-9%) | 17mo | $75,000 | $82 | 31 |
| 2312 32nd Ave | 1.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,102 (+10%) | 13mo | $159,000 | $144 | 28 |
| 2270 Smithfield Ln N | 0.78mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,226 (+23%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $86 | 26 |
| 4200 29th St N | 1.32mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,159 (+16%) | 14mo | $30,000 | $26 | 22 |
| 2808 38th Ave N | 1.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+18%) | 12mo | $20,000 | $17 | 21 |
| 1925 33rd Ave N | 1.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,156 (+16%) | 18mo | $32,000 | $28 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.88×
- Total profit
- $54,475
- Equity at exit
- $35,945
- IRR
- 61.7%
- Equity multiple
- 13.06×
- Total profit
- $134,693
- Equity at exit
- $77,517
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 0.0 mo
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 35207
- Home prices YoY
- 18.7%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $987 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $478/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $514
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $537 | -5% $525 | +0% $514 | +5% $503 | +10% $491 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $436 | -5% $475 | +0% $514 | +5% $553 | +10% $592 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $534 | -0.5pp $524 | base $514 | +0.5pp $504 | +1.0pp $493 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 36th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1468 | $1,190 | $0.81 | 73d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1709 36th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 93d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1721 35th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $775 | $0.65 | 46d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 537 37th Ter W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 93d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2101 31st Ave N Unit 2101 B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $590 | $0.84 | 17d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3417 4th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,000 | $0.78 | 93d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3417 4th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $900 | $0.71 | 41d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2129 30th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $900 | $0.86 | 41d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 424 34th Ave W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 969 | $950 | $0.98 | 35d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lot size approximately 0.12 acres
- Financial info
- Property has down payment assistance available
- HOA & community
- No association fee
Exterior
- Parking
- Driveway parkingOff-street parking
- Utilities
- Public waterSeptic systemElectric water heaterInternet availability unknown
- Home design
- Existing structureSingle-story living (rooms listed at level 1)Subdivision: Birmingham
- Construction
- Hardiplank sidingCrawl space foundation
- Exterior features
- Front porchOpen deck
Interior
- Kitchen
- Laminate countertopsGas stove
- Bedrooms
- Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring
- Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom and one half bathroom (main level)Tub/shower combo in bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioningCeiling fans
- Interior features
- Ceilings noted as 'Other (see remarks)'No special interior features listed
- Laundry & utility
- No laundry details provided
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $39,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $39,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $39,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $39,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $39,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $39,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $39,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $39,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $39,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $39,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $39,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $39,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $39,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $39,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $39,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-19days on market $39,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $39,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $39,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $39,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $39,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $39,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $39,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $39,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $39,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $39,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $39,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $39,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $39,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $39,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $39,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $39,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $39,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-30pricestatus $39,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $44,900 Contingent 31 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $44,900 Contingent 30 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $44,900 Contingent 29 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $44,900 Contingent 28 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $44,900 Contingent 26 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $44,900 Contingent 24 DOM
-
2026-06-22statusdays on market $44,900 Contingent 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $44,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $44,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $44,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $44,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $44,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $44,900 Active 5 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $478 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $478 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,843
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$478
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$947
- − Management
- −$947
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $5,875
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,410
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,758/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, repainting, and updating the HVAC system and bathrooms. While it has potential, the current condition is holding it back from being a strong investment.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $3,000–$12,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Exterior (exterior) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Other — No visible signs of damage or wear
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
- Major exterior siding — The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting.
- Major landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and unkempt.
- Major bathrooms — The bathrooms appear to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
- Major HVAC system — The HVAC system appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value. ↑
- Rental repair and replace HVAC system — A functional HVAC system is essential for rental properties and will attract tenants. ↑
- Resale repair and replace bathrooms — Updating the bathrooms will improve the home's overall condition and increase its resale value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Jefferson · 669,185 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,824
- Household income
- $28,672
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 18% of renters
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 35.95%
- Current HPI
- 228.5664
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-38.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-30 Price Changed $39,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-06-30 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-06-19 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-28 Listed $44,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-22 Pending — WAMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $68,000 WAMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $70,000 WAMLS
- 2025-09-19 Listed $65,000 WAMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $478 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…