609 Spaulding St · Elmira, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +1.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$106,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bank-Owned Opportunity with Charm and Potential! Welcome to this traditional three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom home brimming with character and charm! This bank-owned property is being sold as-is, providing you with a fantastic opportunity to personalize it to your taste. Step inside to discover the inviting formal entry that leads to a spacious formal dining room, perfect for entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of a first-floor laundry and a cozy den, providing ample living space for relaxation and gatherings. The kitchen boasts a delightful Butler’s pantry space, offering extra storage and a convenient workspace. Retaining its original character, this home features architectural details throughout. Outside, you'll appreciate the two-car detached garage and generous parking options for guests. Spacious sunroom and large deck perfect for entertaining. This home is equipped with modern amenities, including a high-efficiency furnace, central air conditioning, and a 200 amp electrical service—all essential for comfortable living. While it does require a little TLC, this property offers the perfect canvas to create your dream home.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Formal entry
- Butler's pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $106k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $106k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $733 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.90%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $93,463
- List price
- $106,000
- Delta
- 13.41%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 567 Riverside Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,210 (-9%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $120 | 72 |
| 834 Maple Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,246 (-6%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $108 | 65 |
| 708 Riverside Ave | 0.20mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,484 (+12%) | 6mo | $83,000 | $56 | 58 |
| 115 Willys St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,206 (-9%) | 3mo | $84,900 | $70 | 58 |
| 420 Schuyler Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-13%) | 2mo | $154,148 | $134 | 52 |
| 433 Schuyler Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,156 (-13%) | 5mo | $140,500 | $122 | 50 |
| 418 Milton St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,178 (-11%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $132 | 49 |
| 523 Gaines St | 0.53mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,163 (-12%) | 2mo | $94,000 | $81 | 48 |
| 750 S Main St | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,216 (-8%) | 6mo | $72,000 | $59 | 44 |
| 310 Cottage Pl | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,178 (-11%) | 6mo | $32,000 | $27 | 43 |
| 309 Broadway St | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,468 (+11%) | 3mo | $78,000 | $53 | 41 |
| 541 Gaines St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,128 (-15%) | 4mo | $93,000 | $82 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-9,347
- Equity at exit
- $15,805
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,271
- Equity at exit
- $9,165
Cash invested: $29,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14904
- Home prices YoY
- -9.6%
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,284 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$556
- Tax from tax record
- −$293 /mo · $3,521/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $121
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $181 | -5% $151 | +0% $121 | +5% $91 | +10% $61 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $20 | -5% $70 | +0% $121 | +5% $172 | +10% $223 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $174 | -0.5pp $148 | base $121 | +0.5pp $94 | +1.0pp $66 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,500
- Closing costs
- $3,180
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 Boardman St Unit B Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1727 | $800 | $0.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 419 Jefferson St Unit A Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,995 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 363 W Water St #2 Elmira, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,250 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 106 W 2nd St Unit A Elmira, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1395 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 355 W Clinton St Unit 1 Elmira, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,400 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 357 W Clinton St Unit 1 Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 454 W 2nd St Unit 1 Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 514 W 1st St Unit A Elmira, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,275 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 550 Spruce St Unit 303 Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,350 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1254 Charles St Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1560 | $1,350 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 1165-char remark
Show marketing remark (1165 chars)
Bank-Owned Opportunity with Charm and Potential! Welcome to this traditional three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom home brimming with character and charm! This bank-owned property is being sold as-is, providing you with a fantastic opportunity to personalize it to your taste. Step inside to discover the inviting formal entry that leads to a spacious formal dining room, perfect for entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of a first-floor laundry and a cozy den, providing ample living space for relaxation and gatherings. The kitchen boasts a delightful Butler’s pantry space, offering extra storage and a convenient workspace. Retaining its original character, this home features architectural details throughout. Outside, you'll appreciate the two-car detached garage and generous parking options for guests. Spacious sunroom and large deck perfect for entertaining. This home is equipped with modern amenities, including a high-efficiency furnace, central air conditioning, and a 200 amp electrical service—all essential for comfortable living. While it does require a little TLC, this property offers the perfect canvas to create your dream home.
-
2026-01-22$106,000 Active 1165-char remark
Show marketing remark (1165 chars)
Bank-Owned Opportunity with Charm and Potential! Welcome to this traditional three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom home brimming with character and charm! This bank-owned property is being sold as-is, providing you with a fantastic opportunity to personalize it to your taste. Step inside to discover the inviting formal entry that leads to a spacious formal dining room, perfect for entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of a first-floor laundry and a cozy den, providing ample living space for relaxation and gatherings. The kitchen boasts a delightful Butler’s pantry space, offering extra storage and a convenient workspace. Retaining its original character, this home features architectural details throughout. Outside, you'll appreciate the two-car detached garage and generous parking options for guests. Spacious sunroom and large deck perfect for entertaining. This home is equipped with modern amenities, including a high-efficiency furnace, central air conditioning, and a 200 amp electrical service—all essential for comfortable living. While it does require a little TLC, this property offers the perfect canvas to create your dream home.
-
2020-08-21soldstatus $84,600
-
2020-08-05soldstatus $90,000 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
Incredible care and updates for this beautiful-traditional 3 bedroom, 1 bath home. Filled with character, this home offers several spaces you rarely find. Butler's pantry space, first floor laundry, formal entry, formal dining, added den/family room space, along with 2 car detached garage, plenty of parking, vinyl sided, architectural shingles, h/e furnace and central a/c, 200 amp electrical service, deck with awning and more. Do not miss this opportunity to put the finishing touches on such a spectacular home.
-
2020-06-03$84,900 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
Incredible care and updates for this beautiful-traditional 3 bedroom, 1 bath home. Filled with character, this home offers several spaces you rarely find. Butler's pantry space, first floor laundry, formal entry, formal dining, added den/family room space, along with 2 car detached garage, plenty of parking, vinyl sided, architectural shingles, h/e furnace and central a/c, 200 amp electrical service, deck with awning and more. Do not miss this opportunity to put the finishing touches on such a spectacular home.
-
1991-05-20soldstatus $51,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,521 · $293/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,521 · $293/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,411
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,938
- − Property taxes
- −$3,521
- − Insurance
- −$530
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,233
- − Management
- −$1,233
- − Depreciation
- −$3,084
- Taxable loss
- −$127
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$31
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,483/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elmira City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610560
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,180
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7688
- State rank
- #580 of 590 in NY
Livability — Elmira
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #832
- US rank
- #16139
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elmira, NY
- City population
- 14,276
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,276
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.33%
- Current HPI
- 220.688
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+105.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $106,000 UNYREIS
- 2020-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $84,600 Public Records
- 2020-08-05 Sold (MLS) $90,000 UNYREIS
- 2020-06-03 Listed $84,900 UNYREIS
- 1991-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $51,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,521 · -14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…