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109 Bradley Dr
B Composite 71.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,500

109 Bradley Dr · Jackson, MI 49201
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,828 sqft · SingleFamily · 127 Days on market
Built 1955 0.27 ac lot ↓ 37% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * LAND CONTRACT TERMS AVAILABLE * * - Property As-Is - Fire damage in back of home. . Ranch style home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. . Partial finished basement . . large lot with a 4 car garage . . located at the dead end part of Bradley Drive . . Northwest Schools . . Hold harmless document needs to be signed before entry into home

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • 4 garage spots
  • Pool

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Four-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family home; Single-story
  • Construction: Built in 1955; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Full living area approximately 1,828
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.27 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 5.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
  • Northwest Community Schools (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $100k implies a 232% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
11.48%
Cash-on-cash
18.52%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$294,308
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5124 Emerald Rd 0.41mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,775 (-3%) 4mo $367,500 $207 66
5230 Grand River Cir 0.35mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,895 (+4%) 8mo $305,000 $161 64
145 Falcon Rd 0.35mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,771 (-3%) 10mo $238,000 $134 61
5243 S Boulder St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,760 (-4%) 7mo $293,000 $166 57
5022 Fieldstone St 0.42mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,812 (-1%) 19mo $287,500 $159 56
5300 Grand River Cir 0.52mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,756 (-4%) 10mo $325,430 $185 54
5177 Stone River Rd 0.48mi 4/3.5 2,066 (+13%) 2mo $400,000 $194 48
4105 Oriole Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,619 (-11%) 18mo $205,000 $127 46
4934 Ledgerock St 0.41mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,662 (-9%) 21mo $265,000 $159 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$20,006
Equity at exit
$14,836
10-year hold
IRR
29.0%
Equity multiple
4.32×
Total profit
$92,405
Equity at exit
$8,603

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49201

Rents YoY
10.3%
Active inventory
362
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,630 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$294 /mo · $3,528/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$430

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,085
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,500 Active 127 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,500 Active 126 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,500 Active 125 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,500 Active 124 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,500 Active 123 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,500 Active 121 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,500 Active 120 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,500 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,500 Active 117 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,500 Active 116 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,500 Active 115 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,500 Active 112 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,500 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,500 Active 110 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,500 Active 109 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,500 Active 108 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,500 Active 107 DOM
  18. 2026-02-12
    listed $99,500 Active 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    * * LAND CONTRACT TERMS AVAILABLE * * - Property As-Is - Fire damage in back of home. . Ranch style home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. . Partial finished basement . . large lot with a 4 car garage . . located at the dead end part of Bradley Drive . . Northwest Schools . . Hold harmless document needs to be signed before entry into home

  19. 2026-02-12
    listed $99,500 Active 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    * * LAND CONTRACT TERMS AVAILABLE * * - Property As-Is - Fire damage in back of home. . Ranch style home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. . Partial finished basement . . large lot with a 4 car garage . . located at the dead end part of Bradley Drive . . Northwest Schools . . Hold harmless document needs to be signed before entry into home

  20. 2026-02-12
    listed $99,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    * * LAND CONTRACT TERMS AVAILABLE * * - Property As-Is - Fire damage in back of home. . Ranch style home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. . Partial finished basement . . large lot with a 4 car garage . . located at the dead end part of Bradley Drive . . Northwest Schools . . Hold harmless document needs to be signed before entry into home

  21. 2026-02-04
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed
  22. 2026-02-04
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed
  23. 2026-02-04
    soldstatus $30,000 Sold
  24. 2026-01-19
    status Pending
  25. 2026-01-19
    status Pending
  26. 2026-01-19
    status Pending
  27. 2026-01-16
    listed $99,500 Active
  28. 2026-01-16
    listed $99,500 Active
  29. 2026-01-16
    listed $99,500 Active
  30. 2021-01-21
    soldstatus $157,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,528 · $294/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,528 · $294/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,554
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$3,528
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,564
− Management
−$1,564
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$3,931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$944
After-tax cash flow
$4,217/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest Community Schools
NCES district ID
2626010
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$47,509
Composite
25.88/100
National rank
#7342
State rank
#360 of 540 in MI

Livability — Jackson

Score
74/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#4970

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jackson County · 85,581 people
City population
85,581
Metro
Jackson, MI
Population (ZIP)
49,107
Household income
$74,484
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
840.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
156,365 people
By 2030
153,123 · -2.1%
By 2040
144,981 · -7.3%
By 2050
135,671 · -13.2%
By 2075
113,833 · -27.2%
By 2100
86,592 · -44.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.6% · R 59.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -198.89%
Current HPI
185.3773
Rent YoY
▲ 10.32%
Metro
Jackson, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-36.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $99,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $99,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $99,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-04 Sold (MLS) $30,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-02-04 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-04 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-19 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $99,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $99,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $99,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,528 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…