3144 Indian Village Ln · North Fort Myers, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Here is your chance to own a piece of paradise in the desirable 55+ Lake Arrowhead Mobile Village! This lovingly maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom lakeview manufactured home offers 1,162 sq ft of comfortable living space on owned land — no land lease — and sits safely outside the flood zone. With a low HOA of just $126/month, this home delivers exceptional value in one of North Fort Myers’ most welcoming adult communities. Cared for with pride, the home features a bright, open layout, tasteful upgrades including a new water heater, and tiedowns. There is a spacious lanai perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A rare bonus is the large workshop/laundry room with double door
Key facts
- Outdoor storage
- Owned land
- Spacious lanai
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $126; Association covers trash; Community amenities include clubhouse, spa/hot tub, and management; Located in a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (paved); Attached carport; 1 covered space; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Vinyl siding; Single-story; Entry on level 1; Faces north; Resale property
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Rectangular lot; South exposure
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Shower only with separate shower; Split bedroom layout; Single-hung windows; Partially furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 841 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $120k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.52%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,954
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1091 Laurel Dr | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,194 (+3%) | 14mo | $79,000 | $66 | 70 |
| 826 Peaceful Dr | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-1%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $117 | 68 |
| 786 Roses Ln | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-9%) | 4mo | $149,000 | $141 | 53 |
| 3500 Celestial Way | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (-5%) | 24mo | $85,000 | $77 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,364
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $28,705
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33917
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 841
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,621 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,495/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$126
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $418 | -5% $384 | +0% $351 | +5% $317 | +10% $283 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $222 | -5% $286 | +0% $351 | +5% $415 | +10% $479 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $411 | -0.5pp $381 | base $351 | +0.5pp $319 | +1.0pp $288 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2774 Wedgewood Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4120 Pine Drop Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $1,895 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 266 Mongoose Ln #266 North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,499 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2095 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2027 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $1,300 | $1.58 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 535 Zebra Dr #535 North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,499 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 16363 Teresa Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3404 Rainbow Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 17499 Monte Isola Way Unit 17499 North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1405 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 28 Nyborg Ave North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,299 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 17489 Monte Isola Way North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1347 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4208 Caterina Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1347 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 17400 Monte Isola Way North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,875 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4264 Cirella Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1442 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 12d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4276 Cirella Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1378 | $1,800 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4275 Cirella Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1378 | $1,800 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8791 Littleton Rd North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,549 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3957 Pomodoro Cir #301 Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3961 Pomodoro Cir #204 Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3961 Pomodoro Cir #204 Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3953 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1044 | $1,462 | $1.40 | 15d | 9 | 1.29mi |
| 3973 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,498 | $1.02 | 24d | 2 | 1.35mi |
| 3973 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $1,575 | $1.03 | 3d | 3 | 1.35mi |
| 3968 Pomodoro Cir #202 Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,475 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3944 Pomodoro Cir #202 Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2904 Tuscan Dr #303 Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2913 Tuscan Dr #102 Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2909 Tuscan Dr Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,475 | $1.00 | 24d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 3940 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,475 | $1.16 | 3d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 947 Strongbox Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3940 Villa Del Mar CIR Cape Coral, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1051 | $2,116 | $2.01 | 2d | 21 | 1.42mi |
| 248 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 247 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,325 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 571 Sunrise Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $126 · $1,512/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-03-21price $120,000
-
2026-01-29price $127,500
-
2026-01-09$135,000 Active
-
2000-03-08soldstatus $32,000
-
2000-02-24historical
-
1999-08-24$44,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,495 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,495 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,448
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,495
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,556
- − Management
- −$1,556
- − HOA
- −$1,512
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2,517
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$604
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,602/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Fort Myers
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #4409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Fort Myers, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 57,035
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,380
- Household income
- $55,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.28%
- Current HPI
- 282.2895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+167.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $120,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $127,500 FORTMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $135,000 FORTMLS
- 2000-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 2000-02-24 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 1999-08-24 Listed $44,900 FORTMLS
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,495 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…