1811 N Delsea Dr #3 · Vineland, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property now offers a flexible Rent-To-Own option 🏡. You can purchase it outright for $119,000 💰, rent it for $2,250/month 📅, or explore a Rent-To-Own arrangement 🤝. Let’s work together to create the perfect deal for you and the seller! 🏡 Affordable NEW CONSTRUCTION mobile home now available in Vineland! This beautifully designed home features an open-concept layout 🛋️ with 3 bedrooms 🛏️🛏️ and 2 full bathrooms 🛁, including a spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet 👚👖. You'll also love the convenience of a separate laundry room 🧺. 🍽️ Also comes with a brand new 4-piece kitchen appliance package! 🧊🔥🧼🍳 💰 Lot rent is $750/month and includes water 💧 and sewer 🚽. All
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 44 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $861 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 4.5% in Vineland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#363 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
- Vineland Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #418 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.00%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,000
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1887 N Delsea Dr Unit 138-HOLLY HOCK | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $83 | 83 |
| 1887 N Delsea Dr #146 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 12mo | $115,000 | $96 | 79 |
| 160 Tulip Way | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 19mo | $120,000 | $100 | 73 |
| 1887 N Delsea Dr #153 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 22mo | $80,000 | $67 | 73 |
| 1887 N Delsea Dr Unit 147 HOLLYHOCK DR | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-8%) | 11mo | $106,000 | $96 | 66 |
| 1887 N Delsea Dr #117 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+8%) | 19mo | $105,000 | $81 | 59 |
| 663 Wayne Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-12%) | 6mo | $329,900 | $312 | 49 |
| 594 Kingman Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,304 (+9%) | 22mo | $274,000 | $210 | 46 |
| 1341 West Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (+7%) | 16mo | $300,000 | $233 | 44 |
| 1206 W Wheat Rd | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,108 (-8%) | 20mo | $260,000 | $235 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $35,575
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.05×
- Total profit
- $101,706
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08360
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,131 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$447
- Net cashflow
- $861
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
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2026-06-19days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $119,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $119,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 680-char remark
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $119,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-05$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,568
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,785
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,045
- − Management
- −$2,045
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $8,969
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,153
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,177/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This newly constructed mobile home in Vineland is move-in ready with modern amenities and a good condition score. It offers a good return on investment with minor updates that can further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
- Rental Adding a small shed or storage unit — Provides additional storage for tenants and increases rental value.
- Resale Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances improve the home's appeal to potential buyers.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
- Rental Adding a small shed or storage unit — Provides additional storage for tenants and increases rental value. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances improve the home's appeal to potential buyers. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vineland Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416800
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,168
- Composite
- 19.17/100
- National rank
- #8819
- State rank
- #418 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Vineland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #12180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vineland, NJ
- County
- Cumberland County · 80,266 people
- City population
- 45,038
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,038
- Household income
- $65,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,743 people
- By 2030
- 150,373 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 146,881 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 142,653 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 129,468 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 107,456 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 33% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 37% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -320.06%
- Current HPI
- 278.786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…