Multi-family
6555 Indian Cove Rd · Twentynine Palms, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$610,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 6 Unit Complex on 2.5 acres in the very desirable Indian Cove neighborhood. Build multiple new Units with space to grow. Each unit has a 3/4 Bath, patio area and an on-site laundry. Solid Rental History. Many updates, more needed. Build another multi family unit or several smaller single family units. Endless opportunity.
Key facts
- 6 unit complex
- 3/4 bath
- Patio area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a ?-bed/6.0-bath multifamily listed at $610k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($35k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $610k).
- Recommended offer: $537k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 4.3% in Twentynine Palms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#622 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, employment D-.
- Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 734 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,329/mo this rent would consume 164% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1057% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $171k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($537k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 28 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $205k; list at $610k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.35%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $97,755
- Equity at exit
- $90,953
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $373,949
- Equity at exit
- $52,742
Cash invested: $170,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92277
- Home prices YoY
- -3.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 734
- Price-to-rent
- 36.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,329 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,199
- Tax from tax record
- −$230 /mo · $2,765/yr
- Insurance
- −$254
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,749
- Net cashflow
- $2,896
Break-even live
6-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6× units | 3 | 0.75 | $8,328 |
| #1 | 3 | 0.75 | $1,388 |
| #2 | 3 | 0.75 | $1,388 |
| #3 | 3 | 0.75 | $1,388 |
| #4 | 3 | 0.75 | $1,388 |
| #5 | 3 | 0.75 | $1,388 |
| #6 | 3 | 0.75 | $1,388 |
| Total (6 units) | $8,329 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $152,500
- Closing costs
- $18,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7129 Ivanpah Ave Twentynine Palms, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $610,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $610,000 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $610,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $610,000 Active 160 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $610,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $610,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $610,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $610,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $610,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $610,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $610,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $610,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $610,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $610,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-01-06$610,000 Active 350-char remark
Show marketing remark (350 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 6 Unit Complex on 2.5 acres in the very desirable Indian Cove neighborhood. Build multiple new Units with space to grow. Each unit has a 3/4 Bath, patio area and an on-site laundry. Solid Rental History. Many updates, more needed. Build another multi family unit or several smaller single family units. Endless opportunity.
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2026-01-01historical $750
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2025-12-17$750
-
2025-10-10historical
-
2025-04-30$610,000 Active
-
2018-12-12soldstatus $205,000 Closed Sale
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2018-12-10soldstatus $202,500
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2018-11-30historical Active Under Contract
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2017-09-11$275,000 Active
-
2017-08-31historical
-
2017-08-31historical
-
2016-12-16price $275,000
-
2016-05-11historical
-
2016-05-11historical
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2016-05-10$295,000 Active
-
2016-05-10$275,000
-
2016-02-17$295,000 Active
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2016-02-15$295,000
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2015-12-31historical
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2015-12-31historical
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2015-11-04historical
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2015-11-04historical
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2015-11-03$295,000 Active
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2015-11-03$295,000
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2015-09-06$275,000 Active
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2015-09-04historical
-
2015-09-04historical
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2015-09-01$275,000
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2015-08-27$295,000 Active
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2015-08-26$295,000
-
2015-07-08historical
-
2015-07-08historical
-
2015-01-10$295,000 Active
-
2015-01-08$295,000
-
2014-12-23historical
-
2014-01-23$295,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,765 · $230/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,636 · $386/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,871/yr (+$156/mo · 67.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $99,948
- − Mortgage interest
- −$34,169
- − Property taxes
- −$2,765
- − Insurance
- −$3,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,996
- − Management
- −$7,996
- − Depreciation
- −$17,745
- Taxable income
- $26,227
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,294
- After-tax cash flow
- $28,463/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morongo Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625860
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,399
- Composite
- 22.19/100
- National rank
- #8156
- State rank
- #395 of 517 in CA
Livability — Twentynine Palms
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #622
- US rank
- #19731
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Twentynine Palms, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 26,277
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,277
- Household income
- $60,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1057.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Two or more races 24% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 9% Asian 4% Pacific Islander 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.15%
- Current HPI
- 380.5083
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.45%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+1526.7% since first listed64 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-06 Listed $610,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-01 Rental Removed $750 APPFOLIO
- 2025-12-17 Listed for Rent $750 APPFOLIO
- 2025-10-10 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-04-30 Listed $610,000 CRMLS
- 2018-12-12 Sold (MLS) $205,000 CRMLS
- 2018-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $202,500 Public Records
- 2018-11-30 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2017-09-11 Listed $275,000 CRMLS
- 2017-08-31 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2017-08-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2016-12-16 Price Changed $275,000 CRMLS
- 2016-05-11 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2016-05-11 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2016-05-10 Listed $295,000 CRMLS
- 2016-05-10 Listed $275,000 SDMLS
- 2016-02-17 Listed $295,000 CRMLS
- 2016-02-15 Listed $295,000 SDMLS
- 2015-12-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2015-12-31 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2015-11-04 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2015-11-04 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2015-11-03 Listed $295,000 CRMLS
- 2015-11-03 Listed $295,000 SDMLS
- 2015-09-06 Listed $275,000 CRMLS
- 2015-09-04 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2015-09-04 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2015-09-01 Listed $275,000 SDMLS
- 2015-08-27 Listed $295,000 CRMLS
- 2015-08-26 Listed $295,000 SDMLS
- 2015-07-08 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2015-07-08 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2015-01-10 Listed $295,000 CRMLS
- 2015-01-08 Listed $295,000 SDMLS
- 2014-12-23 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2014-01-23 Listed $295,000 CRMLS
- 2014-01-19 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2013-12-03 Price Changed $265,000 CRMLS
- 2013-09-11 Listed $275,000 CRMLS
- 2013-08-28 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2013-05-01 Price Changed $395,000 CRMLS
- 2013-04-05 Listed $295,000 CRMLS
- 2012-06-29 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2011-06-16 Listed $400,000 CRMLS
- 2011-02-03 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2010-08-02 Listed $400,000 CRMLS
- 2010-01-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2009-01-16 Listed $399,900 CRMLS
- 2009-01-02 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2008-12-24 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2008-12-24 Price Changed $400,000 CRMLS
- 2008-12-12 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2006-09-08 Listed $395,000 CRMLS
- 2006-02-26 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2006-01-31 Listed $400,000 CRMLS
- 2005-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-27 Sold (MLS) $400,000 CRMLS
- 2005-07-22 Listed $400,000 CRMLS
- 2003-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2003-11-06 Sold (MLS) $165,000 CRMLS
- 2003-09-25 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2003-08-19 Listed $179,000 GPSMLS
- 2003-08-01 Listed $179,900 CRMLS
- 2001-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,765 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…