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8279 Greenlawn St
B+ Composite 75.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$85,000

8279 Greenlawn St · Detroit, MI 48204
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,012 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 123 Days on market
Built 1938 5,227 sqft lot $84/sqft · 89% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!!! GREAT MONEY MAKER RENTED WITH GOOD PAYING TENANTS !!!!! DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * *

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1938
  • Listed 123 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $74,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
11.16%
Cash-on-cash
17.37%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$53,284
List price
$85,000
Delta
59.52%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8294 Northlawn St 0.13mi 3/1.0 998 (-1%) 4mo $52,000 $52 88
8553 Cloverlawn St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,012 (0%) 5mo $84,000 $83 88
8088 Ohio St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,002 (-1%) 1mo $83,000 $83 86
8849 Roselawn St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,015 (+0%) 4mo $58,000 $57 82
8131 Greenlawn St 0.12mi 3/1.0 960 (-5%) 6mo $26,000 $27 81
8136 Roselawn St 0.11mi 3/1.5 919 (-9%) 10mo $65,000 $71 69
9115 Roselawn St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,025 (+1%) 13mo $50,000 $49 64
8208 Kentucky St 0.37mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,067 (+5%) 10mo $84,500 $79 60
9196 American St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,035 (+2%) 8mo $90,000 $87 56
8245 Carbondale St 0.68mi 3/2.0 960 (-5%) 4mo $25,000 $26 52
7722 Wykes St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,148 (+13%) 4mo $40,000 $35 49
6369 Diversey St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,050 (+4%) 13mo $77,000 $73 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.2%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$68,233
Equity at exit
$76,575
10-year hold
IRR
32.0%
Equity multiple
8.72×
Total profit
$183,685
Equity at exit
$165,136

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,147 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $964/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $711
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8353 Alpine St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 43d 1 0.11mi
8230 Ohio St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,200 $0.89 16d 1 0.18mi
8544 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 17d 1 0.19mi
8143 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1370 $1,800 $1.31 1d 1 0.28mi
9022 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 24d 1 0.45mi
7424 Wykes St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 0.64mi
9353 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $999 $1.25 17d 1 0.80mi
8762 Epworth St Unit 8768 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 24d 1 0.80mi
8283 Pinehurst St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.84mi
10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 43d 1 1.03mi
10359 Violetlawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $985 $0.82 43d 1 1.11mi
10345 Crocuslawn Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 43d 1 1.14mi
5398 Allendale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 23d 1 1.16mi
9917 Woodside St Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 43d 1 1.17mi
9789 Chenlot St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 4d 1 1.23mi
9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 43d 1 1.26mi
5101 Oregon St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,049 $1.05 43d 1 1.29mi
5440 Milford St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,150 $1.35 43d 1 1.37mi
4915 Maplewood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1324 $1,100 $0.83 16d 1 1.38mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 43d 1 1.39mi
10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 43d 1 1.39mi
9355 Ward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,327 $1.11 43d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 123 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 122 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 120 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    price $85,000 Active 114 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 114 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 113 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 112 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $90,000 Active 109 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,000 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-05-07
    status Active 126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (126 chars)

    * * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!!! GREAT MONEY MAKER RENTED WITH GOOD PAYING TENANTS !!!!! DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * *

  15. 2026-05-07
    status Active 126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (126 chars)

    * * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!!! GREAT MONEY MAKER RENTED WITH GOOD PAYING TENANTS !!!!! DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * *

  16. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (126 chars)

    * * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!!! GREAT MONEY MAKER RENTED WITH GOOD PAYING TENANTS !!!!! DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * *

  17. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (126 chars)

    * * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!!! GREAT MONEY MAKER RENTED WITH GOOD PAYING TENANTS !!!!! DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * *

  18. 2026-02-13
    listed $90,000 Active 126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (126 chars)

    * * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!!! GREAT MONEY MAKER RENTED WITH GOOD PAYING TENANTS !!!!! DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * *

  19. 2026-02-13
    listed $90,000 Active 126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (126 chars)

    * * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS!!!! GREAT MONEY MAKER RENTED WITH GOOD PAYING TENANTS !!!!! DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * *

  20. 2022-05-25
    soldstatus $83,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$964 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,137 · $95/mo
Expected delta
+$172/yr (+$14/mo · 17.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,762
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$964
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,101
− Management
−$1,101
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$2,936
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$705
After-tax cash flow
$3,429/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-05 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $83,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $964 · -8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…