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B Composite 74.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$50,000

317 E 9th St · Pawhuska, OK 74056
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1925

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

?? FOR SALE IN PAWHUSKA, OKLAHOMA ?? Looking for a place where small-town charm meets history, culture, and breathtaking natural beauty? This home in Pawhuska offers more than just a house & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; it offers a lifestyle. ? Why Pawhuska? ?? Home to the world-famous Tallgrass Prairie Preserve, where thousands of acres of untouched prairie and free-roaming bison create some of the most beautiful scenery in Oklahoma. ??? The Pioneer Woman Mercantile brings visitors from all over the country, giving Pawhuska a unique blend of tourism, shopping, dining, and hometown hospitality. ?? Rich Western heritage and authentic cowboy culture, including museums, rodeos, and a

Key facts

  • Built 1925
  • Listed 9 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#37 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Pawhuska (town): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #248 of 270 in OK (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
  • Osage County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $50k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
17.83%
Cash-on-cash
41.20%
DSCR
2.83
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$131,560
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1419 Leahy Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (-2%) 3mo $155,000 $138 70
614 Prudom Ave 0.18mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,170 (+2%) 23mo $135,000 $115 63
215 E 9th St 0.11mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-13%) 9mo $35,000 $35 61
1611 Claremore Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,273 (+11%) 20mo $110,000 $86 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.7% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.4%
Equity multiple
4.16×
Total profit
$44,179
Equity at exit
$30,487
10-year hold
IRR
47.6%
Equity multiple
8.59×
Total profit
$106,261
Equity at exit
$54,489

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74056

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,046 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$481

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 687-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $50,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,550
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,004
− Management
−$1,004
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$5,287
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,269
After-tax cash flow
$4,499/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pawhuska
NCES district ID
4023580
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$34,773
Composite
8.98/100
National rank
#9883
State rank
#248 of 270 in OK

Livability — Pawhuska

Score
70/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#7514

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pawhuska, OK
Population (ZIP)
4,874

Population outlook (Osage County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,950 people
By 2030
48,936 · +-0.0%
By 2040
47,826 · -2.3%
By 2050
45,781 · -6.5%
By 2075
41,140 · -16.0%
By 2100
32,796 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Native American 27% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Osage

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.4% · R 69.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-17.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -41.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.4 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+23.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.70%
Current HPI
296.6482
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+614.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $50,000 FSBO.com
  • 2001-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
  • 1999-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $15,333 Public Records
  • 1997-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $84 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…