317 E 9th St · Pawhuska, OK
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
?? FOR SALE IN PAWHUSKA, OKLAHOMA ?? Looking for a place where small-town charm meets history, culture, and breathtaking natural beauty? This home in Pawhuska offers more than just a house & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; it offers a lifestyle. ? Why Pawhuska? ?? Home to the world-famous Tallgrass Prairie Preserve, where thousands of acres of untouched prairie and free-roaming bison create some of the most beautiful scenery in Oklahoma. ??? The Pioneer Woman Mercantile brings visitors from all over the country, giving Pawhuska a unique blend of tourism, shopping, dining, and hometown hospitality. ?? Rich Western heritage and authentic cowboy culture, including museums, rodeos, and a
Key facts
- Built 1925
- Listed 9 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#37 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Pawhuska (town): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #248 of 270 in OK (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
- Osage County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $50k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.20%
- DSCR
- 2.83
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,560
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1419 Leahy Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-2%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $138 | 70 |
| 614 Prudom Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,170 (+2%) | 23mo | $135,000 | $115 | 63 |
| 215 E 9th St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-13%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $35 | 61 |
| 1611 Claremore Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,273 (+11%) | 20mo | $110,000 | $86 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.7% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $44,179
- Equity at exit
- $30,487
- IRR
- 47.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.59×
- Total profit
- $106,261
- Equity at exit
- $54,489
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74056
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,046 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $481
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-12$50,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,550
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,004
- − Management
- −$1,004
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $5,287
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,269
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pawhuska
- NCES district ID
- 4023580
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,773
- Composite
- 8.98/100
- National rank
- #9883
- State rank
- #248 of 270 in OK
Livability — Pawhuska
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #7514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pawhuska, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,874
Population outlook (Osage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,950 people
- By 2030
- 48,936 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 47,826 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 45,781 · -6.5%
- By 2075
- 41,140 · -16.0%
- By 2100
- 32,796 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Native American 27% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Osage
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.4% · R 69.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -41.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.4 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+23.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.70%
- Current HPI
- 296.6482
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+614.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $50,000 FSBO.com
- 2001-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
- 1999-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $15,333 Public Records
- 1997-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $84 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…