3626 Sagauro Dr · Grand Prairie, TX 75052

$495,990

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,218 sqft · Land · 50 Days on market

Built 2026 Poor condition 6,000 sqft lot $67/mo HOA · 3% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +4.0/30.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +1.0/5.0
• 1% rule +0.4/10.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

The property is located at 3626 SAGUARO DR GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75052 priced at 504990, the square foot and stories are 2218, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

Key facts

• Walk-in closet
• Primary suite
• Covered patio

Tags

• OPEN FOYER
• MODERN KITCHEN
• WALK-IN PANTRY
• COVERED PATIO
• PRIMARY SUITE
• WALK-IN CLOSET

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $496k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $295k (40.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $267k (46.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $267k (46.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#33 in TX, #1,660 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
• Grand Prairie ISD (suburban): math 29% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #572 of 826 in TX (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 290 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($481k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $266,578 (46.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.54% ✗
• Cap rate: 2.93%
• Cash-on-cash: -12.00%
• DSCR: 0.47
• GRM: 15.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -41.6%
• Equity multiple: -0.27×
• Total profit: $-176,348
• Equity at exit: $73,954

10-year hold

• IRR: -91.3%
• Equity multiple: -1.14×
• Total profit: $-296,577
• Equity at exit: $42,884

Cash invested: $138,877 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75052

• Home prices YoY: -26.3%
• Rents YoY: 0.1%
• Active inventory: 290
• Price-to-rent: 15.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,666 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,601
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$620 /mo · $7,440/yr
• Insurance: −$207
• HOA: −$67
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$560
• Net cashflow: $-1,389

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,424

Max offer price $295,042

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-1,046	-5% $-1,217	+0% $-1,389	+5% $-1,560	+10% $-1,731
Rent	-10% $-1,599	-5% $-1,494	+0% $-1,389	+5% $-1,283	+10% $-1,178
Rate	-1.0pp $-1,139	-0.5pp $-1,263	base $-1,389	+0.5pp $-1,517	+1.0pp $-1,648

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $123,998
• Closing costs: $14,880
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 31 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2136 Dayton Ln Grand Prairie, TX	4.0	2.5	2313	$7,900	$3.42	0d	1	0.18mi
2136 Dayton Ln Unit 1019626P Grand Prairie, TX	4.0	2.5	2303	$12,424	$5.39	23d	1	0.18mi
2136 Sara Jane Pkwy Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	1.0–2.0	985	$2,999	$3.04	0d	17	0.32mi
3765 Pierce Ln Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.5	1822	$3,100	$1.70	0d	1	0.38mi
3705 Pierce Ln Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.5	1819	$3,000	$1.65	26d	1	0.40mi
3740 Pierce Ln Grand Prairie, TX	4.0	3.5	2100	$3,300	$1.57	45d	1	0.41mi
2468 Ranchview Dr Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.0	2200	$3,000	$1.36	45d	1	0.45mi
2410 Lost Mesa Grand Prairie, TX	4.0	2.0	2220	$2,900	$1.31	45d	1	0.58mi
2504 Frontier Dr Grand Prairie, TX	4.0	2.5	2541	$2,820	$1.11	45d	1	0.64mi
2361 Shirecreek Cir Grand Prairie, TX	4.0	2.5	2588	$2,675	$1.03	45d	1	0.72mi
1661 S Forum Dr Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	1.0–3.0	1061	$2,515	$2.37	0d	25	0.78mi
854 Timberdale St Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.0	1612	$2,200	$1.36	45d	1	0.90mi
3156 Pine Valley Dr Grand Prairie, TX	4.0	2.5	2301	$2,760	$1.20	8d	1	0.91mi
4105 Devon Ct Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	3.0	1973	$1,100	$0.56	45d	1	0.97mi
2755 W Interstate 20 Unit 2788 Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.0	1546	$2,324	$1.50	0d	1	1.08mi
819 Over Ridge Dr Grand Prairie, TX	4.0	2.5	2046	$2,500	$1.22	22d	1	1.13mi
2755 Interstate 20 Grand Prairie, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1165	$2,154	$1.85	0d	18	1.16mi
3401 Glenda Dr Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.0	1554	$2,206	$1.42	45d	1	1.21mi
2510 Bentley Dr Grand Prairie, TX	4.0	2.0	1638	$2,211	$1.35	45d	1	1.25mi
618 Thornwood Trl Grand Prairie, TX	4.0	2.0	1803	$2,600	$1.44	0d	1	1.29mi
614 Brian Dr Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.0	1469	$2,130	$1.45	0d	1	1.31mi
4255 Fall Creek Dr Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.0	2264	$2,600	$1.15	45d	1	1.32mi
2645 Danberry Ln Grand Prairie, TX	4.0	2.0	1595	$2,219	$1.39	21d	1	1.35mi
860 Roaring Springs Rd Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.5	2857	$2,716	$0.95	26d	1	1.35mi
2514 Livingston Ln Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.0	1518	$2,150	$1.42	20d	1	1.36mi
2514 Livingston Ln Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.0	1532	$2,150	$1.40	45d	1	1.36mi
3914 Willowood Ln Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.0	1963	$2,519	$1.28	9d	1	1.37mi
2661 Claremont Dr Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.0	1841	$1,985	$1.08	26d	1	1.45mi
2661 Claremont Dr Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.0	1841	$2,106	$1.14	45d	1	1.45mi
2901 W Bardin Rd Grand Prairie, TX	3.0–4.0	2.5	1703	$3,224	$1.89	0d	5	1.46mi
2901 Bardin Rd Unit 19443 Grand Prairie, TX	3.0	2.5	1634	$2,000	$1.22	6d	1	1.48mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $67 · $804/yr

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-05-19
   price $504,990 238-char remark

   Show marketing remark (238 chars)

   The property is located at 3626 SAGUARO DR GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75052 priced at 504990, the square foot and stories are 2218, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

2. 2026-05-08
   price $501,990 238-char remark

   Show marketing remark (238 chars)

   The property is located at 3626 SAGUARO DR GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75052 priced at 504990, the square foot and stories are 2218, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

3. 2026-05-05
   status Active 238-char remark

   Show marketing remark (238 chars)

   The property is located at 3626 SAGUARO DR GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75052 priced at 504990, the square foot and stories are 2218, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

4. 2026-05-05
   price $499,990 238-char remark

   Show marketing remark (238 chars)

   The property is located at 3626 SAGUARO DR GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75052 priced at 504990, the square foot and stories are 2218, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

5. 2026-04-27
   status Pending
6. 2026-04-24
   historical 238-char remark

   Show marketing remark (238 chars)

   The property is located at 3626 SAGUARO DR GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75052 priced at 504990, the square foot and stories are 2218, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

7. 2026-04-21
   price $493,990 238-char remark

   Show marketing remark (238 chars)

   The property is located at 3626 SAGUARO DR GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75052 priced at 504990, the square foot and stories are 2218, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

8. 2026-04-10
   price $489,990 238-char remark

   Show marketing remark (238 chars)

   The property is located at 3626 SAGUARO DR GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75052 priced at 504990, the square foot and stories are 2218, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

9. 2026-03-12
   price $495,990 238-char remark

   Show marketing remark (238 chars)

   The property is located at 3626 SAGUARO DR GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75052 priced at 504990, the square foot and stories are 2218, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

10. 2026-03-10
    price $495,990
11. 2026-03-08
    listed $493,990 Active
12. 2026-02-11
    price $493,990 238-char remark

    Show marketing remark (238 chars)

    The property is located at 3626 SAGUARO DR GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75052 priced at 504990, the square foot and stories are 2218, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

13. 2026-02-10
    listed $487,990 Active 238-char remark

    Show marketing remark (238 chars)

    The property is located at 3626 SAGUARO DR GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75052 priced at 504990, the square foot and stories are 2218, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $31,989
• − Mortgage interest: −$27,783
• − Property taxes: −$7,440
• − Insurance: −$2,480
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,559
• − Management: −$2,559
• − HOA: −$804
• − Depreciation: −$14,429
• Taxable loss: −$26,065
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$6,256
• After-tax cash flow: $-10,409/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and updates to its roof, exterior, interior, HVAC, and landscaping, significantly impacting its current condition and value.

Repairs flagged

• Major roof — No photos of the roof.
• Major exterior siding — No photos of the exterior siding.
• Major interior walls/paint — No photos of the interior walls/paint.
• Major windows — No photos of the windows.
• Major HVAC/mechanicals — No photos of the HVAC/mechanicals.
• Major landscaping — No photos of the landscaping/curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

• Both roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
• Both exterior siding and paint — A fresh coat of paint and new siding would enhance curb appeal and value.
• Both HVAC system upgrade — A new HVAC system would improve comfort and energy efficiency, boosting both resale and rental value.
• Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained yard and landscaping would enhance the home's curb appeal and value.
• Both interior paint and updates — Fresh paint and minor updates inside would make the home more inviting and increase its value.
• Both windows and glass replacement — New windows would improve energy efficiency and curb appeal, boosting both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
roof · No photos of the roof.	Major	$15,000–50,000
exterior siding · No photos of the exterior siding.	Major	$15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · No photos of the interior walls/paint.	Major	$15,000–50,000
windows · No photos of the windows.	Major	$15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No photos of the HVAC/mechanicals.	Major	$15,000–50,000
landscaping · No photos of the landscaping/curb appeal.	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items		$90,000–300,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
• Both exterior siding and paint — A fresh coat of paint and new siding would enhance curb appeal and value. ↑
• Both HVAC system upgrade — A new HVAC system would improve comfort and energy efficiency, boosting both resale and rental value. ↑
• Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained yard and landscaping would enhance the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
• Both interior paint and updates — Fresh paint and minor updates inside would make the home more inviting and increase its value. ↑
• Both windows and glass replacement — New windows would improve energy efficiency and curb appeal, boosting both resale and rental value. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Grand Prairie ISD
• NCES district ID: 4821420
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -21.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $51,094
• Composite: 27.95/100
• National rank: #6861
• State rank: #572 of 826 in TX

Livability — Grand Prairie

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #33
• US rank: #1660

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Grand Prairie, TX
• County: Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
• City population: 201,439
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 97,278
• Household income: $89,301
• Rent vs Own: 35.4% rent · 64.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 3118.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,979,839 people
• By 2030: 3,191,823 · +7.1%
• By 2040: 3,619,611 · +21.5%
• By 2050: 4,026,915 · +35.1%
• By 2075: 4,957,073 · +66.4%
• By 2100: 5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 29% White 19% Two or more races 16% Asian 9%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 21% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 62% English-only · Spanish 27% Vietnamese 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -103.08%
• Current HPI: 289.3711
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.08%
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+3.5% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Price Changed $504,990 Zillow
• 2026-05-08 Price Changed $501,990 Zillow
• 2026-05-05 Price Changed $499,990 Zillow
• 2026-05-05 Relisted — Zillow
• 2026-04-27 Pending — NTREIS
• 2026-04-24 Delisted — Zillow
• 2026-04-21 Price Changed $493,990 Zillow
• 2026-04-10 Price Changed $489,990 Zillow
• 2026-03-12 Price Changed $495,990 Zillow
• 2026-03-10 Price Changed $495,990 NTREIS
• 2026-03-08 Listed $493,990 NTREIS
• 2026-02-11 Price Changed $493,990 Zillow
• 2026-02-10 Listed $487,990 Zillow