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1216 S Rotzler Ave
B Composite 74.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,000

1216 S Rotzler Ave · Freeport, IL 61032
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily · 53 Days on market
Built 1912 3,920 sqft lot $29/sqft · 35% below area Est $60k · 35% under ↓ 35% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention investors and rehabbers! Spacious 2-story home with 4 bedrooms, 1 bathroom and a detached 1-car garage ready for a full renovation. This property offers a traditional layout with multiple bedrooms, original wood trim, hardwood flooring in several room and a covered front porch. Property needs significant work throughout and will require cash only. Sold as-is, no FHA/VA. Great opportunity for a rehab project, rental portfolio addition or future resale.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Original wood trim
  • Hardwood flooring

Tags

DETACHED GARAGECOVERED FRONT PORCHORIGINAL WOOD TRIMHARDWOOD FLOORING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential single-family house; 2 stories
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.4% vs local median 5.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, commute F, employment F.
  • Freeport SD 145 (town): math 11% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #565 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 205 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $37,830 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.23%
Cap rate
27.41%
Cash-on-cash
75.43%
DSCR
4.36
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$60,032
List price
$39,000
Delta
-35.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
827 E Garden St 0.27mi 4/1.0 1,395 (+4%) 4mo $89,900 $64 77
934 E Garden St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,258 (-6%) 1mo $43,900 $35 66
1440 S Chicago Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,410 (+5%) 5mo $89,900 $64 66
1256 S Oak St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,410 (+5%) 5mo $35,000 $25 63
1607 S Highland Ave 0.49mi 4/1.5 1,476 (+10%) 2mo $112,000 $76 57
719 S Walnut Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,388 (+3%) 3mo $150,000 $108 57
430 W American St 0.72mi 4/2.0 1,378 (+2%) 2mo $67,500 $49 57
25 E Roosevelt St 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+7%) 2mo $93,000 $65 57
316 W American St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,444 (+7%) 3mo $67,000 $46 52
535 E Madison St 0.60mi 4/1.0 1,500 (+12%) 3mo $27,000 $18 50
409 W Avon St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,490 (+11%) 3mo $35,500 $24 40
1506 S Walnut Ave 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,534 (+14%) 2mo $144,900 $94 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
75.4%
Equity multiple
4.43×
Total profit
$37,442
Equity at exit
$5,815
10-year hold
IRR
79.1%
Equity multiple
9.16×
Total profit
$89,073
Equity at exit
$3,372

Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61032

Home prices YoY
-19.5%
Active inventory
205
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,259 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$205
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,046/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$686

Break-even live

Break-even rent $390
Max offer price $39,000
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $709 -5% $697 +0% $686 +5% $675 +10% $664
Rent -10% $587 -5% $637 +0% $686 +5% $736 +10% $786
Rate -1.0pp $706 -0.5pp $696 base $686 +0.5pp $676 +1.0pp $666

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,750
Closing costs
$1,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
816 S James Ave Freeport, IL 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,325 $1.15 44d 1 0.57mi
1645 Hilltop Pl Freeport, IL 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,000 $0.99 44d 1 0.96mi
1645 Hilltop Pl Unit 2 Freeport, IL 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,000 $0.99 44d 1 0.96mi
742 W Homer St Freeport, IL 3.0 1.0 1434 $1,325 $0.92 44d 1 1.05mi
320 W Clark St Freeport, IL 4.0 1.0 1509 $1,395 $0.92 44d 1 1.12mi
435 N Apple Ave Freeport, IL 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,450 $0.97 44d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $39,000 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on marketlisting id $39,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $39,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $41,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $41,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $41,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $41,000 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $41,000 Active 32 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    price $41,000 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    Attention investors and rehabbers! Spacious 2-story home with 4 bedrooms, 1 bathroom and a detached 1-car garage ready for a full renovation. This property offers a traditional layout with multiple bedrooms, original wood trim, hardwood flooring in several room and a covered front porch. Property needs significant work throughout and will require cash only. Sold as-is, no FHA/VA. Great opportunity for a rehab project, rental portfolio addition or future resale.

  18. 2026-05-14
    price $41,000 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    Attention investors and rehabbers! Spacious 2-story home with 4 bedrooms, 1 bathroom and a detached 1-car garage ready for a full renovation. This property offers a traditional layout with multiple bedrooms, original wood trim, hardwood flooring in several room and a covered front porch. Property needs significant work throughout and will require cash only. Sold as-is, no FHA/VA. Great opportunity for a rehab project, rental portfolio addition or future resale.

  19. 2026-05-08
    price $49,000 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    Attention investors and rehabbers! Spacious 2-story home with 4 bedrooms, 1 bathroom and a detached 1-car garage ready for a full renovation. This property offers a traditional layout with multiple bedrooms, original wood trim, hardwood flooring in several room and a covered front porch. Property needs significant work throughout and will require cash only. Sold as-is, no FHA/VA. Great opportunity for a rehab project, rental portfolio addition or future resale.

  20. 2026-05-08
    price $49,000 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    Attention investors and rehabbers! Spacious 2-story home with 4 bedrooms, 1 bathroom and a detached 1-car garage ready for a full renovation. This property offers a traditional layout with multiple bedrooms, original wood trim, hardwood flooring in several room and a covered front porch. Property needs significant work throughout and will require cash only. Sold as-is, no FHA/VA. Great opportunity for a rehab project, rental portfolio addition or future resale.

  21. 2026-04-28
    listed $60,000 Active 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    Attention investors and rehabbers! Spacious 2-story home with 4 bedrooms, 1 bathroom and a detached 1-car garage ready for a full renovation. This property offers a traditional layout with multiple bedrooms, original wood trim, hardwood flooring in several room and a covered front porch. Property needs significant work throughout and will require cash only. Sold as-is, no FHA/VA. Great opportunity for a rehab project, rental portfolio addition or future resale.

  22. 2026-04-28
    listed $60,000 Active 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    Attention investors and rehabbers! Spacious 2-story home with 4 bedrooms, 1 bathroom and a detached 1-car garage ready for a full renovation. This property offers a traditional layout with multiple bedrooms, original wood trim, hardwood flooring in several room and a covered front porch. Property needs significant work throughout and will require cash only. Sold as-is, no FHA/VA. Great opportunity for a rehab project, rental portfolio addition or future resale.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,046 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,046 · $87/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,104
− Mortgage interest
−$2,185
− Property taxes
−$1,046
− Insurance
−$195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,208
− Management
−$1,208
− Depreciation
−$1,135
Taxable income
$8,128
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,951
After-tax cash flow
$6,287/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Freeport SD 145
NCES district ID
1715900
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,803
Composite
9.89/100
National rank
#9821
State rank
#565 of 620 in IL

Livability — Freeport

Score
72/100
State rank
#302
US rank
#5927

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Freeport, IL
Population (ZIP)
29,072

Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,802 people
By 2030
39,487 · -5.5%
By 2040
34,534 · -17.4%
By 2050
29,693 · -29.0%
By 2075
21,196 · -49.3%
By 2100
14,596 · -65.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson

2024 margin
R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.75%
Current HPI
163.677
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-35.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $39,000 NWIAR
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $39,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $41,000 NWIAR
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $41,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $49,000 NWIAR
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $49,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $60,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $60,000 NWIAR

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,046 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…