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52 N Portland Ave
B Composite 74.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

52 N Portland Ave · Youngstown, OH 44509
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,437 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1916 Est $82k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Hey we have three bedrooms, one and a half baths Nice basement Not attached garage Fenced in rear yard Enclosed porch Willing to finance 50% of sale price with 50% down payment

Key facts

  • Fenced in rear yard
  • Enclosed porch
  • Built 1916

Tags

FENCED IN REAR YARDENCLOSED PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 1,437 square feet

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1916
  • Construction: Original construction completed in 1916
  • Exterior features: Located in the Belle Vista subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $65k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
13.66%
Cash-on-cash
26.31%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$81,909
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
50 Glacier Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,454 (+1%) 1mo $108,000 $74 79
115 N Richview Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,499 (+4%) 1mo $96,000 $64 77
125 N Belle Vis 0.12mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,368 (-5%) 3mo $49,000 $36 75
219 N Maryland Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,533 (+7%) 2mo $105,000 $68 74
130 N Portland Ave 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,285 (-11%) 3mo $90,000 $70 74
234 S Portland Ave 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,404 (-2%) 7mo $79,500 $57 68
77 Fernwood Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,255 (-13%) 6mo $50,000 $40 65
27 Manchester Ave 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,324 (-8%) 8mo $124,500 $94 55
1509 Mahoning Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,586 (+10%) 2mo $23,000 $15 55
466 N Hazelwood Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,287 (-10%) 0mo $48,000 $37 45
40 Manchester Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,250 (-13%) 7mo $63,850 $51 44
43 N Schenley Ave 0.69mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,312 (-9%) 2mo $73,000 $56 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$14,875
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
3.51×
Total profit
$45,645
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44509

Home prices YoY
-9.3%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,024 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $503/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$399

Break-even live

Break-even rent $519
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
35 Whitney Ave N Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,050 $0.92 21d 1 0.49mi
2624 Oakwood Ave Unit 2632 Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1064 $850 $0.80 21d 1 0.62mi
913 Hawthorne St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1198 $1,080 $0.90 21d 1 1.17mi
911 Hawthorne St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1198 $1,080 $0.90 21d 1 1.17mi
2929 Roy St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 988 $1,100 $1.11 13d 1 1.20mi
546 Breaden St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1430 $1,080 $0.76 21d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    listed $65,000 Active
  18. 2024-01-10
    soldstatus $37,000
  19. 2023-12-07
    historical
  20. 2023-11-23
    status Active
  21. 2023-10-20
    status Pending
  22. 2023-09-26
    status Active
  23. 2023-07-18
    status Pending
  24. 2023-06-13
    status Active
  25. 2023-06-11
    status Pending
  26. 2023-06-07
    listed $42,500 Active
  27. 2023-02-28
    historical
  28. 2023-01-02
    status Active
  29. 2022-12-22
    historical Contingent
  30. 2022-10-14
    price $45,000
  31. 2022-09-07
    listed $50,000 Active
  32. 2007-10-31
    soldstatus $4,500
  33. 2007-10-25
    soldstatus $4,500
  34. 2007-06-18
    listed $7,900
  35. 2007-05-01
    soldstatus $24,000
  36. 2000-12-19
    soldstatus $36,500
  37. 2000-10-06
    listed $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$503 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$758 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$256/yr (+$21/mo · 50.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,287
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$503
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$983
− Management
−$983
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$3,962
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$951
After-tax cash flow
$3,838/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Youngstown City
NCES district ID
3904516
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$25,257
Composite
9.29/100
National rank
#9858
State rank
#649 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

Score
81/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Youngstown, OH
County
Mahoning · 224,175 people
City population
28,503
Metro
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Population (ZIP)
10,775
Household income
$36,472
Rent vs Own
39.4% rent · 60.6% own
Severe rent burden
10.4

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.34%
Current HPI
217.0797
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+85.7% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $65,000 FSBO.com
  • 2024-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 2023-12-07 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2023-11-23 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2023-10-20 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2023-09-26 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2023-07-18 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2023-06-13 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2023-06-11 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2023-06-07 Listed $42,500 MLSNOW
  • 2023-02-28 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2023-01-02 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2022-12-22 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2022-10-14 Price Changed $45,000 MLSNOW
  • 2022-09-07 Listed $50,000 MLSNOW
  • 2007-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $4,500 Public Records
  • 2007-10-25 Sold (MLS) $4,500 MLSNOW
  • 2007-06-18 Listed $7,900 MLSNOW
  • 2007-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
  • 2000-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
  • 2000-10-06 Listed $35,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $503 · -14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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