222 Oakhurst Ave · Clarksdale, MS
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.51%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom 1 bath home with metal roof being sold ''as is'' ''where is''--CASH buyers only
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- Built 1921
- Listed 21 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $670 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 38.5% vs local median 6.1% in Clarksdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#188 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Clarksdale Municipal School District (town): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #121 of 130 in MS (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 26 units permitted in Coahoma County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $933 appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
- Coahoma County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 38.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 114.91%
- DSCR
- 6.11
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.68×
- Total profit
- $46,741
- Equity at exit
- $12,284
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.07×
- Total profit
- $105,471
- Equity at exit
- $19,786
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38614
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,160/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $670
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 807 Cuyahoga St Clarksdale, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 89-char remark
Show marketing remark (89 chars)
3 bedroom 1 bath home with metal roof being sold ''as is'' ''where is''--CASH buyers only
-
2026-04-16$25,000 Active 89-char remark
Show marketing remark (89 chars)
3 bedroom 1 bath home with metal roof being sold ''as is'' ''where is''--CASH buyers only
-
2004-02-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,160 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,160 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$1,160
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $8,179
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,963
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,081/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarksdale Municipal School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801050
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,495
- Composite
- 7.04/100
- National rank
- #9969
- State rank
- #121 of 130 in MS
Livability — Clarksdale
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #188
- US rank
- #17376
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clarksdale, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,384
Population outlook (Coahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,158 people
- By 2030
- 19,442 · -8.1%
- By 2040
- 16,248 · -23.2%
- By 2050
- 13,486 · -36.3%
- By 2075
- 8,777 · -58.5%
- By 2100
- 6,568 · -69.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Coahoma
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.8) · D 69.4% · R 29.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.5pp toward R · 2008: 44.3pp · 2024: 39.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.8 2020: D+42.9 2016: D+44.4 2012: D+50.3 2008: D+44.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.73%
- Current HPI
- 125.1302
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-16 Listed $25,000 MLSU
- 2004-02-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,160 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…