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240 County Road 4847
B Composite 70.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

240 County Road 4847 · Pecan Acres, TX 76071
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 624 sqft · Manufactured public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1970 0.46 ac lot Est $99k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home, with beautiful matured trees through out the lot. Large lot for those family functions. Seller states that there is a community well. Water bill is approximately $50.00. THERE IS NO SIGN ON THE PROPERTY PER SELLER REQUEST * ALL INFORMAITON HEREIN IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT NOT GUARANTEED. BUYER AND BUYER'S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION *

Key facts

  • Plant a garden
  • Add a shop
  • Add a carport

Tags

HALF AN ACREPLANT A GARDENADD A SHOPADD A CARPORT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot heavily treed, nearly half an acre (approximately 0.46 acre); Property classified as residential; Mobile home on property; No known restrictions; Possession negotiable
  • Financial info: Cash offers considered; No second mortgage recorded
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Open/outside oversized parking
  • Utilities: Cable available; MUD water; Rural water district; Septic; Phone available; Located outside city limits; Municipal utility district present
  • Home design: Mobile home (attached); One story; Flat roof
  • Construction: Built in 1970
  • Exterior features: Deck; Storage; Partial fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (level 1) — approximately 13 x 13; Second bedroom (level 1) — approximately 13 x 10
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Window coverings; One living area; One dining area; 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $519 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 0.9% in Pecan Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#850 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Northwest ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #120 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Seven Hills El (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #2,464 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 667 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 22% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Northwest ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 460 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (243 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wise County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.59%
Cash-on-cash
22.49%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,216
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
240 County Road 4847 0.00mi 2/1.0 624 (0%) 1mo $99,000 $159 99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$17,031
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$57,379
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76071

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,451 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $796/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$519

Break-even live

Break-even rent $793
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-13
    historical Active Option Contract
  3. 2026-03-09
    listed $99,000 Active
  4. 2024-06-03
    historical
  5. 2024-05-22
    listed $75,000 Active
  6. 2021-09-28
    soldstatus
  7. 2021-09-17
    soldstatus Sold 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    A cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home, with beautiful matured trees through out the lot. Large lot for those family functions. Seller states that there is a community well. Water bill is approximately $50.00. THERE IS NO SIGN ON THE PROPERTY PER SELLER REQUEST * ALL INFORMAITON HEREIN IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT NOT GUARANTEED. BUYER AND BUYER'S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION *

  8. 2021-08-30
    status Pending 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    A cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home, with beautiful matured trees through out the lot. Large lot for those family functions. Seller states that there is a community well. Water bill is approximately $50.00. THERE IS NO SIGN ON THE PROPERTY PER SELLER REQUEST * ALL INFORMAITON HEREIN IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT NOT GUARANTEED. BUYER AND BUYER'S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION *

  9. 2021-08-26
    price $75,000 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    A cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home, with beautiful matured trees through out the lot. Large lot for those family functions. Seller states that there is a community well. Water bill is approximately $50.00. THERE IS NO SIGN ON THE PROPERTY PER SELLER REQUEST * ALL INFORMAITON HEREIN IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT NOT GUARANTEED. BUYER AND BUYER'S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION *

  10. 2021-08-25
    historical Active Option Contract 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    A cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home, with beautiful matured trees through out the lot. Large lot for those family functions. Seller states that there is a community well. Water bill is approximately $50.00. THERE IS NO SIGN ON THE PROPERTY PER SELLER REQUEST * ALL INFORMAITON HEREIN IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT NOT GUARANTEED. BUYER AND BUYER'S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION *

  11. 2021-07-22
    listed $79,900 Active 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    A cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home, with beautiful matured trees through out the lot. Large lot for those family functions. Seller states that there is a community well. Water bill is approximately $50.00. THERE IS NO SIGN ON THE PROPERTY PER SELLER REQUEST * ALL INFORMAITON HEREIN IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT NOT GUARANTEED. BUYER AND BUYER'S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION *

  12. 1997-06-04
    soldstatus
  13. 1997-06-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$796 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,812 · $151/mo
Expected delta
+$1,015/yr (+$85/mo · 127.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,412
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$796
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,393
− Management
−$1,393
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$4,909
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,178
After-tax cash flow
$5,056/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest ISD
NCES district ID
4833180
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$85,315
Composite
46.15/100
National rank
#2504
State rank
#120 of 826 in TX

Livability — Pecan Acres

Score
63/100
State rank
#850
US rank
#15324

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pecan Acres, TX
County
Wise County · 49,037 people
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
5,159
Household income
$101,989
Rent vs Own
20.1% rent · 79.9% own
Severe rent burden
31.0

Population outlook (Wise County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,620 people
By 2030
75,858 · +5.9%
By 2040
83,908 · +17.2%
By 2050
90,717 · +26.7%
By 2075
107,583 · +50.2%
By 2100
114,996 · +60.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Portuguese 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wise

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.0) · D 14.7% · R 84.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -55.7pp · 2024: -70.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.0 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+69.9 2012: R+67.5 2008: R+55.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.62%
Current HPI
201.8868
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+23.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-13 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $99,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-06-03 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2024-05-22 Listed $75,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-09-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-09-17 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2021-08-30 Pending NTREIS
  • 2021-08-26 Price Changed $75,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-08-25 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2021-07-22 Listed $79,900 NTREIS
  • 1997-06-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-06-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $796 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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