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601 Minnesota Ave
B Composite 72.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

601 Minnesota Ave · Buffalo, NY 14215
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,215 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 167 Days on market
Built 1924 4,160 sqft lot $103/sqft · 28% below area Est $174k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 601 Minnesota Ave, a well-maintained single-family home located in Buffalo’s desirable University District. This 3-bedroom, 1 full-bath property features a mix of vinyl flooring and hardwood floors throughout, offering both durability and classic charm. The home boasts solid mechanical systems and a full basement, providing ample storage and additional potential. A one-car garage adds convenience and off-street parking. Perfect opportunity for owner occupancy or an investor, with strong rental demand in the area. Conveniently located near universities, public transportation, shopping, and local amenities. A great value in a prime location! Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

Key facts

  • Vinyl flooring
  • One-car garage
  • Full basement

Tags

VINYL FLOORINGHARDWOOD FLOORSSOLID MECHANICAL SYSTEMSFULL BASEMENTONE-CAR GARAGEOFF-STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $125k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
10.25%
Cash-on-cash
14.12%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$174,106
List price
$124,900
Delta
-28.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
601 Lasalle Ave 0.14mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,188 (-2%) 1mo $165,000 $139 84
622 Lasalle Ave 0.10mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,258 (+4%) 3mo $115,000 $91 82
496 Berkshire Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,266 (+4%) 1mo $125,000 $99 77
492 Hewitt Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,065 (-12%) 2mo $241,000 $226 69
461 Stockbridge Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,336 (+10%) 4mo $96,500 $72 64
340 Shirley Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-13%) 3mo $140,000 $133 64
153 Stockbridge Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,248 (+3%) 3mo $150,000 $120 59
358 Hastings Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-5%) 1mo $128,500 $112 57
99 Fennimore Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-10%) 3mo $115,000 $105 57
29 Allendale Rd 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,364 (+12%) 0mo $155,000 $114 51
223 Phyllis Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,082 (-11%) 0mo $68,500 $63 49
322 Phyllis Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,098 (-10%) 0mo $175,000 $159 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$2,595
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$22,804
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14215

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,443 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $258/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$411

Break-even live

Break-even rent $922
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
507 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 43d 1 0.13mi
189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1065 $1,595 $1.50 10d 1 0.32mi
220 Dartmouth Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 23d 1 0.48mi
265 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 43d 1 0.60mi
97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 925 $1,495 $1.62 1d 1 0.63mi
263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1242 $1,500 $1.21 14d 1 0.65mi
222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 43d 1 0.69mi
222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 23d 1 0.69mi
140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,500 $1.52 43d 1 0.90mi
92 Lasalle Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 1.01mi
40 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 11d 1 1.03mi
89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1024 $2,291 $2.24 1d 10 1.06mi
44 Aurora Dr Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1272 $3,300 $2.59 1d 1 1.09mi
60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 1d 1 1.10mi
26 Custer St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 1.11mi
2939 Main St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 562 $1,999 $3.55 3d 1 1.18mi
190 Manhattan Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 724 $1,200 $1.66 43d 1 1.24mi
4035-4055 Harlem Rd Unit 4081B Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 815 $1,649 $2.02 1d 1 1.30mi
17 Proctor Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 1.38mi
2 Angle St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 725 $1,212 $1.67 14d 2 1.38mi
74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 43d 1 1.42mi
160 Courtland Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 810 $1,025 $1.27 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 167 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 166 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 165 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 164 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 162 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 161 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 159 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 158 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 157 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $124,900 Active 156 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $138,900 Active 152 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $138,900 Active 151 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $138,900 Active 150 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $138,900 Active 149 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    price $138,900 769-char remark
    Show marketing remark (769 chars)

    Welcome to 601 Minnesota Ave, a well-maintained single-family home located in Buffalo’s desirable University District. This 3-bedroom, 1 full-bath property features a mix of vinyl flooring and hardwood floors throughout, offering both durability and classic charm. The home boasts solid mechanical systems and a full basement, providing ample storage and additional potential. A one-car garage adds convenience and off-street parking. Perfect opportunity for owner occupancy or an investor, with strong rental demand in the area. Conveniently located near universities, public transportation, shopping, and local amenities. A great value in a prime location! Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

  16. 2026-04-16
    price $139,400 769-char remark
    Show marketing remark (769 chars)

    Welcome to 601 Minnesota Ave, a well-maintained single-family home located in Buffalo’s desirable University District. This 3-bedroom, 1 full-bath property features a mix of vinyl flooring and hardwood floors throughout, offering both durability and classic charm. The home boasts solid mechanical systems and a full basement, providing ample storage and additional potential. A one-car garage adds convenience and off-street parking. Perfect opportunity for owner occupancy or an investor, with strong rental demand in the area. Conveniently located near universities, public transportation, shopping, and local amenities. A great value in a prime location! Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

  17. 2026-01-02
    listed $139,900 Active 769-char remark
    Show marketing remark (769 chars)

    Welcome to 601 Minnesota Ave, a well-maintained single-family home located in Buffalo’s desirable University District. This 3-bedroom, 1 full-bath property features a mix of vinyl flooring and hardwood floors throughout, offering both durability and classic charm. The home boasts solid mechanical systems and a full basement, providing ample storage and additional potential. A one-car garage adds convenience and off-street parking. Perfect opportunity for owner occupancy or an investor, with strong rental demand in the area. Conveniently located near universities, public transportation, shopping, and local amenities. A great value in a prime location! Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

  18. 2011-06-01
    soldstatus $25,000 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Save steps with two first floor bedrooms and full bath in this modified bungalow. Newer furnace ('05), maintenance free exterior, hardwood floors under wall-to-wall carpet, well-maintained yard, newly roofed garage with automatic opener, all exterior trim repainted ('10), new energy saver side door. Well-maintained inside and out!

  19. 2011-03-21
    listed $35,400 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Save steps with two first floor bedrooms and full bath in this modified bungalow. Newer furnace ('05), maintenance free exterior, hardwood floors under wall-to-wall carpet, well-maintained yard, newly roofed garage with automatic opener, all exterior trim repainted ('10), new energy saver side door. Well-maintained inside and out!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$258 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,184 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$926/yr (+$77/mo · 359.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,315
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$258
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,385
− Management
−$1,385
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$3,032
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$728
After-tax cash flow
$4,209/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,524
Household income
$44,955
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2873.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.29%
Current HPI
295.2966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+292.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $138,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $139,400 WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-02 Listed $139,900 WNYREIS
  • 2011-06-01 Sold (MLS) $25,000 WNYREIS
  • 2011-03-21 Listed $35,400 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $258 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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