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302 Martin Luther King Jr Blv
B- Composite 68.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

302 Martin Luther King Jr Blv · Wichita Falls, TX 76301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 594 Days on market
Built 1925 $79/sqft · 60% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This diamond in the rough home could become someone's dream. New roof installed. Endless possibilities with this home on a large corner lot with nice trees. It's also zoned for general commercial for any business ideas. Great location across the street from the Community Healthcare Center. Seize this opportunity before its gone! Owner financing available! Get a 5% interest rate on a 10 year note with $15,000 down.

Key facts

  • Zoned for commercial
  • Corner lot
  • Built 1925

Tags

CORNER LOTZONED FOR COMMERCIALACROSS FROM HEALTHCARE CENTER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
  • Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 594 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 594 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.56%
Cash-on-cash
18.82%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$50,064
List price
$80,000
Delta
59.80%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
14 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$11,900
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$49,865
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76301

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,072 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $513/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$351

Break-even live

Break-even rent $627
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1620 Andrews Dr Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.5 1130 $1,095 $0.97 43d 1 0.53mi
1209 Gladiolus St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1214 $900 $0.74 43d 1 0.71mi
1001 Redwood Ave Wichita Falls, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 928 $993 $1.07 43d 2 0.74mi
1208 Williams Ave Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 909 $1,199 $1.32 43d 1 1.10mi
1714 7th St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1452 $850 $0.59 43d 1 1.25mi
1810 7th St Unit 1/2 Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 806 $775 $0.96 43d 1 1.33mi
33 Grant Gill Ln Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 952 $1,000 $1.05 43d 1 1.36mi
1916 7th St Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 1226 $1,050 $0.86 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 594 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 593 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 592 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 591 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 590 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 588 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 587 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 585 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 584 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 583 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 582 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 579 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 577 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 576 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 575 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 574 DOM
  17. 2025-07-02
    price $80,000 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    This diamond in the rough home could become someone's dream. New roof installed. Endless possibilities with this home on a large corner lot with nice trees. It's also zoned for general commercial for any business ideas. Great location across the street from the Community Healthcare Center. Seize this opportunity before its gone! Owner financing available! Get a 5% interest rate on a 10 year note with $15,000 down.

  18. 2024-11-01
    listed $75,000 Active 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    This diamond in the rough home could become someone's dream. New roof installed. Endless possibilities with this home on a large corner lot with nice trees. It's also zoned for general commercial for any business ideas. Great location across the street from the Community Healthcare Center. Seize this opportunity before its gone! Owner financing available! Get a 5% interest rate on a 10 year note with $15,000 down.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$513 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,464 · $122/mo
Expected delta
+$951/yr (+$79/mo · 185.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,865
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$513
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,029
− Management
−$1,029
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$3,085
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$740
After-tax cash flow
$3,476/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wichita Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4845780
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,604
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7051
State rank
#585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 95,694 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,479
Household income
$41,947
Rent vs Own
44.7% rent · 55.3% own
Severe rent burden
577.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 18% Two or more races 15% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 22%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.89%
Current HPI
135.1511
Rent YoY
▲ 5.27%
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-02 Price Changed $80,000 WFAOR
  • 2024-11-01 Listed $75,000 WFAOR

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $513 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…