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9380 Sagebrush Ct
B- Composite 65.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$167,500

9380 Sagebrush Ct · Semmes, AL 36575
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,419 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1992 0.49 ac lot Est $217k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick home offers great potential and is ready for your personal touch. Step inside to an open floor plan featuring a vaulted ceiling and a cozy wood-burning fireplace. The living area flows seamlessly into the breakfast room, both filled with natural light. The galley-style kitchen includes a pantry, slide-in range, refrigerator, and dishwasher. The spacious primary bedroom features an ensuite bath with a walk-in closet, separate vanity area, and a tub/shower combination. Two additional bedrooms share a conveniently located hall bath. Outside, you’ll find a large storage building with endless possibilities—perfect for a potential 2-car garage, workshop, recreation space, or equipment storage. Situated on nearly half an acre, this property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity. A must-see for investors or buyers looking to make it their own! SOLD AS IS - SUBJECT TO THE APPROVAL of PROBATE COURT. Cash and Conventional Financing Only.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Nearly half an acre
  • Galley style kitchen

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEGALLEY STYLE KITCHENLARGE STORAGE BUILDINGNEARLY HALF AN ACRE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $168k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $168k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.3% in Semmes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#311 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $168k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
9.17%
Cash-on-cash
10.27%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$217,107
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9380 Sagebrush Ct 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,419 (0%) 0mo $167,500 $118 100
9365 Chisholm Ct 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,452 (+2%) 0mo $220,000 $152 91
1837 Sandy Creek Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,313 (-8%) 0mo $227,500 $173 79
9395 Settlers Cir 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,468 (+4%) 4mo $232,000 $158 77
1850 Wagon Wheel Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,370 (-4%) 3mo $210,000 $153 76
1820 Wagon Wheel Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,341 (-6%) 3mo $190,000 $142 72
1835 Corral Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,219 (-14%) 2mo $205,000 $168 68
1679 Wagon Wheel Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,227 (-14%) 2mo $195,000 $159 59
2070 Sky Vista Dr W 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,487 (+5%) 1mo $185,000 $124 59
1497 Champion Cv 0.37mi 3/2.5 1,588 (+12%) 5mo $198,000 $125 57
9736 Sky Vista Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,528 (+8%) 0mo $259,000 $170 56
8880 Howells Ln W 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,220 (-14%) 1mo $99,000 $81 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,633
Equity at exit
$24,975
10-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$31,242
Equity at exit
$14,482

Cash invested: $46,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36575

Home prices YoY
-21.8%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,783 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$878
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $707/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$402

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,275
Max offer price $167,500
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,875
Closing costs
$5,025
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (990 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick home offers great potential and is ready for your personal touch. Step inside to an open floor plan featuring a vaulted ceiling and a cozy wood-burning fireplace. The living area flows seamlessly into the breakfast room, both filled with natural light. The galley-style kitchen includes a pantry, slide-in range, refrigerator, and dishwasher. The spacious primary bedroom features an ensuite bath with a walk-in closet, separate vanity area, and a tub/shower combination. Two additional bedrooms share a conveniently located hall bath. Outside, you’ll find a large storage building with endless possibilities—perfect for a potential 2-car garage, workshop, recreation space, or equipment storage. Situated on nearly half an acre, this property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity. A must-see for investors or buyers looking to make it their own! SOLD AS IS - SUBJECT TO THE APPROVAL of PROBATE COURT. Cash and Conventional Financing Only.

  2. 2026-04-27
    status Pending 990-char remark
    Show marketing remark (990 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick home offers great potential and is ready for your personal touch. Step inside to an open floor plan featuring a vaulted ceiling and a cozy wood-burning fireplace. The living area flows seamlessly into the breakfast room, both filled with natural light. The galley-style kitchen includes a pantry, slide-in range, refrigerator, and dishwasher. The spacious primary bedroom features an ensuite bath with a walk-in closet, separate vanity area, and a tub/shower combination. Two additional bedrooms share a conveniently located hall bath. Outside, you’ll find a large storage building with endless possibilities—perfect for a potential 2-car garage, workshop, recreation space, or equipment storage. Situated on nearly half an acre, this property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity. A must-see for investors or buyers looking to make it their own! SOLD AS IS - SUBJECT TO THE APPROVAL of PROBATE COURT. Cash and Conventional Financing Only.

  3. 2026-04-25
    listed $167,500 Active 990-char remark
    Show marketing remark (990 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick home offers great potential and is ready for your personal touch. Step inside to an open floor plan featuring a vaulted ceiling and a cozy wood-burning fireplace. The living area flows seamlessly into the breakfast room, both filled with natural light. The galley-style kitchen includes a pantry, slide-in range, refrigerator, and dishwasher. The spacious primary bedroom features an ensuite bath with a walk-in closet, separate vanity area, and a tub/shower combination. Two additional bedrooms share a conveniently located hall bath. Outside, you’ll find a large storage building with endless possibilities—perfect for a potential 2-car garage, workshop, recreation space, or equipment storage. Situated on nearly half an acre, this property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity. A must-see for investors or buyers looking to make it their own! SOLD AS IS - SUBJECT TO THE APPROVAL of PROBATE COURT. Cash and Conventional Financing Only.

  4. 2026-04-25
    listed $167,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (990 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick home offers great potential and is ready for your personal touch. Step inside to an open floor plan featuring a vaulted ceiling and a cozy wood-burning fireplace. The living area flows seamlessly into the breakfast room, both filled with natural light. The galley-style kitchen includes a pantry, slide-in range, refrigerator, and dishwasher. The spacious primary bedroom features an ensuite bath with a walk-in closet, separate vanity area, and a tub/shower combination. Two additional bedrooms share a conveniently located hall bath. Outside, you’ll find a large storage building with endless possibilities—perfect for a potential 2-car garage, workshop, recreation space, or equipment storage. Situated on nearly half an acre, this property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity. A must-see for investors or buyers looking to make it their own! SOLD AS IS - SUBJECT TO THE APPROVAL of PROBATE COURT. Cash and Conventional Financing Only.

  5. 2013-12-16
    soldstatus $70,200 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    FORECLOSURE MAY BE SUBJECT TO ALABAMA RIGHT OF REDEMPTION. BRICK RANCH ON QUIET CUL DE SAC. VAULTED CEILING. GREAT OPEN FLOOR PLAN. KITCHEN HAS ALL APPLIANCES. LARGE FENCED YARD. 24X30 DETACHED GARAGE.

  6. 2013-10-01
    listed $70,000 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    FORECLOSURE MAY BE SUBJECT TO ALABAMA RIGHT OF REDEMPTION. BRICK RANCH ON QUIET CUL DE SAC. VAULTED CEILING. GREAT OPEN FLOOR PLAN. KITCHEN HAS ALL APPLIANCES. LARGE FENCED YARD. 24X30 DETACHED GARAGE.

  7. 2007-10-25
    soldstatus $124,920

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$707 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$707 · $59/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,397
− Mortgage interest
−$9,383
− Property taxes
−$707
− Insurance
−$838
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,712
− Management
−$1,712
− Depreciation
−$4,873
Taxable income
$2,174
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$522
After-tax cash flow
$4,297/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Semmes

Score
60/100
State rank
#311
US rank
#19360

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
22,444

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.58%
Current HPI
217.5112
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+34.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending BCAR
  • 2026-04-27 Pending GCMLS AL
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $167,500 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $167,500 BCAR
  • 2013-12-16 Sold (MLS) $70,200 BCAR
  • 2013-10-01 Listed $70,000 BCAR
  • 2007-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $124,920 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $707 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…