6960 W Peoria Ave #115 · Peoria, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Whether you're looking to live here year-round or seasonally, welcome home! In a 55+ community on a primo corner lot with beautiful xeriscaping on the east, covered west side parking with shed, provides lots of privacy and just across the street from the clubhouse and pool - great for early morning swims and relaxing with friends and family. This 2 bed/2 bath home has a split floor plan, newer flooring throughout, new kitchen counters and appliances, R35 insulation, tape and textured walls and ceiling. Community boasts organized events, 2 clubhouses (closest one has reverse -osmosis water dispenser), 2 swimming pools, 2 Jacuzzi's, BBQ grills, game room, billiards, RV Storage. Near shopping, parks, entertainment, dining, community college and Thunderbird Medical Center.
Key facts
- Covered parking
- Clubhouse
- Swimming pools
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $782 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.2% vs local median 3.3% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#14 in AZ, #3,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, employment A; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D, health & safety F.
- Peoria Unified School District (4237) (suburban): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #64 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 333 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.80%
- DSCR
- 3.53
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $43,817
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- 34.65%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6960 W Peoria Ave #44 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 952 (-1%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $26 | 91 |
| 6960 W Peoria Ave #49 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (+2%) | 6mo | $21,000 | $21 | 87 |
| 6960 W Peoria Ave #171 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-4%) | 7mo | $45,000 | $49 | 82 |
| 10960 N 67th Ave #33 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (+2%) | 2mo | $33,000 | $34 | 81 |
| 10960 N 67th Ave #11 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (+2%) | 5mo | $15,000 | $15 | 78 |
| 6960 W Peoria Ave #181 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+10%) | 2mo | $77,000 | $73 | 77 |
| 6960 W Peoria Ave #168 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+10%) | 13mo | $57,000 | $54 | 73 |
| 10960 N 67th Ave #223 | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+10%) | 10mo | $66,000 | $63 | 61 |
| 7344 W Peoria Ave #21 | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (+2%) | 15mo | $17,000 | $17 | 59 |
| 10960 N 67th Ave #72 | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,096 (+14%) | 11mo | $41,000 | $37 | 53 |
| 7302 W Peoria Ave #65 | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+10%) | 3mo | $66,500 | $63 | 53 |
| 7302 W Peoria Ave #50 | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-12%) | 8mo | $18,000 | $21 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $36,743
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 56.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.99×
- Total profit
- $82,435
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85345
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 333
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,506 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $782
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6960 W Peoria Ave #90 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,320 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 10013 N 66th Ln Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1063 | $1,999 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 6325 W Cheryl Dr Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $2,100 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 11600 N 75th Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 814 | $1,325 | $1.63 | 2d | 4 | 0.90mi |
| 9350 N 67th Ave Unit A1 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $990 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 9350 N 67th Ave Unit B2 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,250 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 9350 N 67th Ave Unit B1 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,070 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 9350 N 67th Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,385 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 9350 N 67th Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,429 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7040 W Olive Ave #12 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,445 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 10654 N 60th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 732 | $1,475 | $2.01 | 2d | 27 | 1.06mi |
| 9160 N 67th Ave Unit 212 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 992 | $1,680 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 9160 N 67th Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,065 | $1.88 | 44d | 6 | 1.07mi |
| 7040 W Olive Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 953 | $1,465 | $1.54 | 5d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6201 W Olive Ave Unit A4 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $875 | $1.50 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 6201 W Olive Ave Unit A3 Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 554 | $820 | $1.48 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 6201 W Olive Ave Unit B1 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $1,225 | $1.61 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 8772 N 67th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 937 | $1,654 | $1.77 | 1d | 24 | 1.44mi |
| 6201 W Olive Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $1,445 | $1.90 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 6201 W Olive Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $960 | $1.64 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-03-19$63,000 Active 779-char remark
Show marketing remark (779 chars)
Whether you're looking to live here year-round or seasonally, welcome home! In a 55+ community on a primo corner lot with beautiful xeriscaping on the east, covered west side parking with shed, provides lots of privacy and just across the street from the clubhouse and pool - great for early morning swims and relaxing with friends and family. This 2 bed/2 bath home has a split floor plan, newer flooring throughout, new kitchen counters and appliances, R35 insulation, tape and textured walls and ceiling. Community boasts organized events, 2 clubhouses (closest one has reverse -osmosis water dispenser), 2 swimming pools, 2 Jacuzzi's, BBQ grills, game room, billiards, RV Storage. Near shopping, parks, entertainment, dining, community college and Thunderbird Medical Center.
-
2023-11-17historical
-
2023-09-01$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥112°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,071
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,446
- − Management
- −$1,446
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $8,979
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,155
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,229/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home in a 55+ community is in good condition with newer flooring and appliances. It has a split floor plan, a covered west side parking area, and organized landscaping. The home is move-in ready and can be enhanced with exterior painting and kitchen updates to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Replace countertops — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Replace appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Replace countertops — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Replace appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria Unified School District (4237)
- NCES district ID
- 0406250
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,171
- Composite
- 34.62/100
- National rank
- #5152
- State rank
- #64 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #3603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 206,687
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,918
- Household income
- $67,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1879.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.77%
- Current HPI
- 328.1069
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-16.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $63,000 ARMLS
- 2023-11-17 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2023-09-01 Listed $75,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…