811 Theo Pwy · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * Investment property * * Home needs repair and renovation. This home is located right across the street from Conception Park . Also very near to Confluence Park, the San Antonio Missions, the San Antonio River, BlueStar thecPearl and Downtown San Antonio. Cash offers only
Key facts
- 4,748 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment resources not indicated
- HOA & community: Neighborhood amenities include lake/river park and other features (see remarks)
Exterior
- Utilities: Other water/sewer information available
- Home design: Pre-owned property; Wood exterior; Wood shingle/shake roof; Approximately 101 years old; Subdivision: S Presa W to River
- Construction: Wood exterior construction; Wood shingle/shake roof
- Exterior features: City view
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (dimensions listed)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (dimensions listed)
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Other flooring (see remarks)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating fuel (see remarks)
- Interior features: One living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.05%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,640
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 Lancaster St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 592 (+2%) | 2mo | $123,000 | $208 | 66 |
| 422 E Franciscan | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (+14%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $189 | 56 |
| 829 Probandt | 0.49mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 520 (-10%) | 4mo | $149,000 | $287 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-625
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $10,074
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78210
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,072 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,026/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $270 | -5% $247 | +0% $225 | +5% $202 | +10% $180 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $140 | -5% $183 | +0% $225 | +5% $267 | +10% $310 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $265 | -0.5pp $245 | base $225 | +0.5pp $204 | +1.0pp $183 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 E Mitchell St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $850 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 323 W Mitchell St San Antonio, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 788 | $1,257 | $1.59 | 4d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 827 Steves Ave #3 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 579 | $795 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 827 Steves Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 579 | $750 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 226 E Malone Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 693 | $1,100 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 217 Castillo Ave Apt 3 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 749 | $1,000 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 112 Oelkers St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 375 | $950 | $2.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 112 Oelkers San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 420 | $1,100 | $2.62 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2600 S Flores St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $900 | $1.28 | 24d | 3 | 0.79mi |
| 150 Bank St Unit C San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $749 | $1.25 | 20d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 150 Bank St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $795 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 506 W Drexel Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $750 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 506 W Drexel Ave San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $795 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 506 W Drexel Ave Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $795 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 165 Division Ave Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 617 | $700 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 165 Division Ave Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 617 | $725 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 128 Saint Francis Ave Unit 3 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $775 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 131 Klein St #1 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 653 | $1,395 | $2.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 114 Jacobs St Unit 201 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 5d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4115 S Presa St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $795 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4115 S Presa St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $749 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 125 Forrest Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $1,275 | $2.07 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 205 W Lambert St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $995 | $1.81 | 18d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 107 Stanley Ct Apt 4 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 375 | $825 | $2.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 107 Stanley Ct Apt 3 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $950 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 103 Stanley Ct Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $900 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 520 Prado St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $799 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 525 Mission St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,355 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 525 Mission St Unit 4 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,355 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2450 Roosevelt Ave San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $1,442 | $2.23 | 44d | 8 | 1.18mi |
| 302 E Cevallos St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,500 | $3.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 301 E Cevallos San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 983 | $1,819 | $1.85 | 3d | 14 | 1.19mi |
| 531 Cedar St Unit 3 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $850 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 527 Cedar St Unit 9 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $905 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1326 S Saint Mary's St Apt 6 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $998 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 227 Claudia St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 694 | $1,700 | $2.45 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 227 Claudia St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,700 | $2.62 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 215 E Cevallos San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1162 | $2,348 | $2.02 | 2d | 20 | 1.31mi |
| 142 Avant Ave Unit 3 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 815 Ripford St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,300 | $1.79 | 5d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-05-19$80,000 New
-
2026-01-19status Pending
-
2025-12-13historical Active Option
-
2025-12-09historical
-
2025-10-01price $71,500
-
2025-10-01status Back on Market
-
2025-09-30historical
-
2025-09-19price $74,000
-
2025-09-08price $77,700
-
2025-09-02price $85,000
-
2025-06-19price $106,000
-
2025-05-06price $125,000
-
2025-05-01price $145,000
-
2025-04-26$185,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,026 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,026 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,858
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$2,026
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,029
- − Management
- −$1,029
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,567
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$376
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,322/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,940
- Household income
- $55,028
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1708.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 11% Black 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 72% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 44%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -163.42%
- Current HPI
- 286.299
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.07%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-56.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — LERA
- 2026-05-19 Listed $80,000 LERA
- 2026-01-19 Pending — LERA
- 2025-12-13 Contingent — LERA
- 2025-12-09 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $71,500 LERA
- 2025-10-01 Relisted — LERA
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $74,000 LERA
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $77,700 LERA
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $85,000 LERA
- 2025-06-19 Price Changed $106,000 LERA
- 2025-05-06 Price Changed $125,000 LERA
- 2025-05-01 Price Changed $145,000 LERA
- 2025-04-26 Listed $185,000 LERA
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,026 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…