131 Vance St · Batesville, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special in the heart of Downtown Batesville! This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom brick home sits on a corner lot and offers strong upside potential for investors, flippers, or rental portfolio buyers. Listed at $89,900, this property presents an excellent value with HUGE upside potential, continued investor interest, and activity in the area. Featuring approximately 1,534 heated square feet, this property has a durable brick exterior shell and is ready for someone to bring their vision to life. Conveniently located near downtown amenities, shopping, and schools. 1 Acre joining the property is also for sale by seller relative. Both garage doors are electric and work as should with clicker re
Key facts
- Brick home
- Corner lot
- 0.53 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential property; Zoned R-2 (Batesville)
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Paved parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Dishwasher; Electric Range; Gas Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Microwave; Dishwasher; Electric Range; Gas Range; Refrigerator; Gas Water Heater; Crawl space
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $525 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 3.5% in Batesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#268 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, health & safety D+.
- South Panola School District (town): math 31% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #65 of 130 in MS (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Panola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Panola County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.01%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,975
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Acorn Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-7%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $152 | 61 |
| 212 Gordan Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,544 (-1%) | 11mo | $147,000 | $95 | 61 |
| 213 Georgia St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,523 (-3%) | 1mo | $219,900 | $144 | 60 |
| 103 Lomax St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,752 (+12%) | 10mo | $189,000 | $108 | 57 |
| 107 Acorn Ln | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (-9%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $154 | 52 |
| 216 East St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (-3%) | 15mo | $84,900 | $56 | 48 |
| 206.5 Gordon Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,353 (-14%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $115 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $18,872
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $59,575
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38606
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,466 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,495/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $525
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-23$89,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,495 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,495 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,591
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,495
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,407
- − Management
- −$1,407
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $5,181
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,243
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,051/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Panola School District
- NCES district ID
- 2804050
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,663
- Composite
- 26.27/100
- National rank
- #7250
- State rank
- #65 of 130 in MS
Livability — Batesville
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #21192
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Batesville, MS
- City population
- 14,970
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,970
Population outlook (Panola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,645 people
- By 2030
- 31,477 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 28,894 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 26,108 · -20.0%
- By 2075
- 19,292 · -40.9%
- By 2100
- 12,787 · -60.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 45% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Panola
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.8) · D 42.0% · R 56.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.4pp toward R · 2008: 6.5pp · 2024: -14.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.8 2020: R+4.2 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+8.6 2008: D+6.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.06%
- Current HPI
- 170.9606
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $89,900 NCMBR
Property tax history
+26.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,495 · +37.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…