15 W Mceldowney St · Chicago Heights, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BANK FORECLOSURE, SOLD "AS IS". NEEDS WORK. ALL OFFERS MUST INCLUDE BUYERS CONTRACT AND SIGNED SELLERS ADDENDUMS AND LEAD BASE PAINT, PRE-APPROVAL AND COPY OF EARNEST MONEY. ADDENDUMS/LEAD BASE FORMS ON CONNECT MLS OR CALL LISTING OFFICE TO FAX. E.M. MUST BE CERTIFIED/CASHIERS CHECK. PLEASE ALLOW 3-4 DAYS FOR SELLERS RESPONSE.
Key facts
- 4,500 sq ft lot
- Built 1901
- Listed 3 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story; Fee simple ownership; Property over 100 years old; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 180; Lot under 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (11 x 14)
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Master bedroom on second floor (16 x 16); Second bedroom on second floor (11 x 11); Two main-level bedrooms (10 x 18 and 10 x 11)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath is a full bath
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Cooling: Other
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 26.2% vs local median 6.4% in Chicago Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#339 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $70k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.15%
- DSCR
- 4.17
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,450
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 W Mceldowney St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,795 (0%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $39 | 98 |
| 260 W 15th Pl | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 1,886 (+5%) | 3mo | $190,556 | $101 | 61 |
| 99 W 19th St | 0.39mi | 4/1.5 | 1,632 (-9%) | 13mo | $143,000 | $88 | 55 |
| 215 16th St | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 | 1,860 (+4%) | 7mo | $81,000 | $44 | 55 |
| 226 W 16th St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,630 (-9%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $101 | 51 |
| 119 W 16th Pl | 0.25mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 2,038 (+14%) | 15mo | $245,000 | $120 | 48 |
| 1324 Campbell Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,684 (-6%) | 13mo | $162,500 | $96 | 48 |
| 251 Hickory St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,650 (-8%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $142 | 47 |
| 210 W 16th Pl | 0.49mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,016 (+12%) | 1mo | $310,900 | $154 | 45 |
| 1305 Campbell Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 | 1,995 (+11%) | 14mo | $220,000 | $110 | 44 |
| 236 Country Club Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,656 (-8%) | 11mo | $365,000 | $220 | 39 |
| 293 Hickory St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-11%) | 9mo | $215,000 | $134 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 74.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.58×
- Total profit
- $70,248
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 79.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.69×
- Total profit
- $189,877
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60411
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,083 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $1,162
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 W 14th Pl Unit 1 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 11d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1665 Buena Vista Ave Unit 3 Chicago Heights, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 19d | 1 | 0.28mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-05-11$70,000 Active
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2008-05-02$44,900 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
BANK FORECLOSURE, SOLD "AS IS". NEEDS WORK. ALL OFFERS MUST INCLUDE BUYERS CONTRACT AND SIGNED SELLERS ADDENDUMS AND LEAD BASE PAINT, PRE-APPROVAL AND COPY OF EARNEST MONEY. ADDENDUMS/LEAD BASE FORMS ON CONNECT MLS OR CALL LISTING OFFICE TO FAX. E.M. MUST BE CERTIFIED/CASHIERS CHECK. PLEASE ALLOW 3-4 DAYS FOR SELLERS RESPONSE.
-
2008-05-02historical 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
BANK FORECLOSURE, SOLD "AS IS". NEEDS WORK. ALL OFFERS MUST INCLUDE BUYERS CONTRACT AND SIGNED SELLERS ADDENDUMS AND LEAD BASE PAINT, PRE-APPROVAL AND COPY OF EARNEST MONEY. ADDENDUMS/LEAD BASE FORMS ON CONNECT MLS OR CALL LISTING OFFICE TO FAX. E.M. MUST BE CERTIFIED/CASHIERS CHECK. PLEASE ALLOW 3-4 DAYS FOR SELLERS RESPONSE.
-
2008-05-02soldstatus $40,000 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
BANK FORECLOSURE, SOLD "AS IS". NEEDS WORK. ALL OFFERS MUST INCLUDE BUYERS CONTRACT AND SIGNED SELLERS ADDENDUMS AND LEAD BASE PAINT, PRE-APPROVAL AND COPY OF EARNEST MONEY. ADDENDUMS/LEAD BASE FORMS ON CONNECT MLS OR CALL LISTING OFFICE TO FAX. E.M. MUST BE CERTIFIED/CASHIERS CHECK. PLEASE ALLOW 3-4 DAYS FOR SELLERS RESPONSE.
-
2008-04-09historical
-
2007-12-03
-
2006-01-30soldstatus $100,000
-
2006-01-30soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,999
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,000
- − Management
- −$2,000
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $13,642
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,274
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,670/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206
- NCES district ID
- 1706420
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,795
- Composite
- 7.4/100
- National rank
- #9952
- State rank
- #591 of 620 in IL
Livability — Chicago Heights
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #339
- US rank
- #6836
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chicago Heights, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 52,175
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,175
- Household income
- $62,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1714.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.75%
- Current HPI
- 212.4058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-30.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listed $70,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-05-02 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-05-02 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-05-02 Listed $44,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-09 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-12-03 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2006-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2023): $3,833 · -13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…