13 Jay Ct · Plainsboro, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$106,642
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NO MORE SHOWING. Affordable Housing Unit.Buyers income should meet applicable standards. it is $85,920 for single and for two, $98,240
Key facts
- $235 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1983
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $235; HOA covers snow removal and trash; Community amenities include a swimming pool
Exterior
- Parking: Parking lot
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Condominium unit; Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Entry on floor 1
- Construction: Brick-front construction; Unit/flat structure
- Exterior features: Community swimming pool
Interior
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas)
- Interior features: Level entry to main floor; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $107k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $107k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- West Windsor-Plainsboro Regional School District (suburban): math 57% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #37 of 472 in NJ (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 3% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,971 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (1,193 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($138k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $738 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Middlesex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $73k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.32%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $245,431
- List price
- $106,642
- Delta
- -56.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $8,114
- Equity at exit
- $15,901
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $26,357
- Equity at exit
- $9,220
Cash invested: $29,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08536
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,839 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$559
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$133 /mo · $1,600/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$235
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $481
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,660
- Closing costs
- $3,199
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Deer Creek Dr Plainsboro Township, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 797 | $1,905 | $2.39 | 2d | 16 | 0.32mi |
| 1000 Hunters Glen Dr Plainsboro Township, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 797 | $1,770 | $2.22 | 1d | 78 | 0.32mi |
| 1000 Pheasant Hollow Dr Plainsboro, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 779 | $1,975 | $2.54 | 1d | 20 | 0.61mi |
| 60 Fox Run Dr Plainsboro Township, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 787 | $1,945 | $2.47 | 1d | 13 | 0.69mi |
| 2005 Quail Ridge Dr Plainsboro Township, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 786 | $2,089 | $2.66 | 2d | 30 | 0.90mi |
| 909 RAVENS CREST Dr PLAINSBORO, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,850 | $2.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1105 Aspen Dr Plainsboro Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,750 | $2.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2310 Aspen Dr Plainsboro Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,725 | $2.78 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2110 Aspen Dr Plainsboro Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,825 | $2.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3217 Ravens Crest Dr Plainsboro Township, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $1,797 | $1.99 | 1d | 34 | 1.19mi |
| 4906 Ravens Crest Dr Plainsboro Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,900 | $2.85 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5012 Ravens Crest Dr Plainsboro Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,740 | $2.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1811 Ravens Crest Dr #1811 Plainsboro, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,850 | $2.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1609 Ravens Crest Dr Plainsboro Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,950 | $2.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1508 Ravens Crest Dr Plainsboro Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,650 | $2.47 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $235 · $2,820/yr
- Likely covers
- cable
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $106,642 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $106,642 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $106,642 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $106,642 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $106,642 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $106,642 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $106,642 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $106,642 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $106,642 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $106,642 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $106,642 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $106,642 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $106,642 Active 30 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $106,642 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Active 754-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
NO MORE SHOWING. Affordable Housing Unit.Buyers income should meet applicable standards. it is $85,920 for single and for two, $98,240
-
2026-05-05status Active 715-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
NO MORE SHOWING. Affordable Housing Unit.Buyers income should meet applicable standards. it is $85,920 for single and for two, $98,240
-
2026-04-29historical 754-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
NO MORE SHOWING. Affordable Housing Unit.Buyers income should meet applicable standards. it is $85,920 for single and for two, $98,240
-
2026-04-29historical 715-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
NO MORE SHOWING. Affordable Housing Unit.Buyers income should meet applicable standards. it is $85,920 for single and for two, $98,240
-
2026-04-26$106,642 Active 754-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
NO MORE SHOWING. Affordable Housing Unit.Buyers income should meet applicable standards. it is $85,920 for single and for two, $98,240
-
2026-04-26$106,642 Active 715-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
NO MORE SHOWING. Affordable Housing Unit.Buyers income should meet applicable standards. it is $85,920 for single and for two, $98,240
-
2026-04-25historical $106,642 715-char remark
-
2026-04-24historical $106,642 754-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
NO MORE SHOWING. Affordable Housing Unit.Buyers income should meet applicable standards. it is $85,920 for single and for two, $98,240
-
2012-02-17soldstatus $73,000
Show marketing remark (272 chars)
One Bedroom on Ground floor in wonderful Princeton Crossing Development. Freshly Painted and New Carpet Throughout. Affordable Housing Unit. Applications must be approved through the Plainsboro Non-Profit Housing Corp. Income Limitations apply. Equal Housing Opportunity.
-
2012-02-17soldstatus $73,000
Show marketing remark (272 chars)
One Bedroom on Ground floor in wonderful Princeton Crossing Development. Freshly Painted and New Carpet Throughout. Affordable Housing Unit. Applications must be approved through the Plainsboro Non-Profit Housing Corp. Income Limitations apply. Equal Housing Opportunity.
-
2011-12-14historical
-
2011-05-15$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,065
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,974
- − Property taxes
- −$1,600
- − Insurance
- −$533
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,765
- − Management
- −$1,765
- − HOA
- −$2,820
- − Depreciation
- −$3,102
- Taxable income
- $4,506
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,081
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,686/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This one-bedroom condo is in good condition with modern updates and a good location. It's ready for a new owner to move in and enjoy.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Windsor-Plainsboro Regional School District
- NCES district ID
- 3417700
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $115,332
- Composite
- 60.59/100
- National rank
- #834
- State rank
- #37 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Plainsboro
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Princeton Meadows, NJ
- County
- Middlesex County · 714,427 people
- City population
- 20,817
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,817
- Household income
- $137,607
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 678.0
Population outlook (Middlesex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 901,713 people
- By 2030
- 930,661 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 986,276 · +9.4%
- By 2050
- 1,038,920 · +15.2%
- By 2075
- 1,159,418 · +28.6%
- By 2100
- 1,221,973 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 60% White 26% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 51% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 21% Other Indo-European 19% Chinese 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Middlesex
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.0) · D 52.5% · R 44.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.8pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 8.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.0 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+19.8 2012: D+27.0 2008: D+21.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.04%
- Current HPI
- 312.8632
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.79%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+33.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — CJMLS
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-29 Delisted — CJMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-26 Listed $106,642 CJMLS
- 2026-04-26 Listed $106,642 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-25 Coming Soon $106,642 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-24 Coming Soon $106,642 CJMLS
- 2012-02-17 Sold (MLS) $73,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-02-17 Sold (MLS) $73,000 CJMLS
- 2011-12-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-05-15 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…