CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
9000 US Hwy 192 #296 🌊 Lakefront
B- Composite 68.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0

$89,900

9000 US Hwy 192 #296 · Four Corners, FL 34714
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 408 sqft · Condo public records · 229 Days on market
Built 1986 $256/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Good value, good price. Located in Outdoor Resorts, a lake front, par 3 golf course community a short distance from Disney. Many, many amenities and activities for the residents. Also included is a clubhouse, 2 pools, tennis, shuffleboard and lake access.

Key facts

  • New vanity
  • Remodeled bathroom
  • Membrane roof

Tags

MEMBRANE ROOFDOUBLE PANE WINDOWSREMODELED KITCHENREMODELED BATHROOMWALK-IN SHOWERNEW VANITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Furnished; Located in a senior community; Association recreation owned
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Part of Sabrina Stone association; HOA approval required; Quarterly HOA fee of $768 (monthly equivalent listed as $256); Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, playground, tennis and pickleball courts, recreation facilities, storage, laundry, dog park, gated entry, golf and golf course access, community mailboxes; Association fee covers 24-hour guard, cable TV, pool, escrow reserves, insurance, grounds maintenance, management, private road maintenance, recreational facilities, security, sewer, trash and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Well water; Private sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Faces north
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Membrane roof; Built on crawlspace
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Shed(s); Lake access (Lake Davenport) with fishing pier; skiing allowed; Private lot; Level, paved site; Asphalt road; privately maintained

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Crawlspace foundation
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen and family room combo; Open floorplan; Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.2% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#453 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 716 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $325 of equity ($622 loan paydown + $-297 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $90k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  8. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  9. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
9.27%
Cash-on-cash
10.64%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.33% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$6,305
Equity at exit
$24,631
10-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$19,035
Equity at exit
$28,455

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34714

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
716
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,388 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,306/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$256
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$223

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,106
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9000 US Highway 192 #115 Clermont, FL 1.0 1.0 364 $950 $2.61 10d 1 0.09mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$256 · $3,072/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 229 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 228 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 227 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 226 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 224 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 221 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 220 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 219 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 218 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 215 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 213 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 212 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 211 DOM
  14. 2026-03-17
    price $89,900
  15. 2025-11-01
    listed $95,000 Active
  16. 2011-05-11
    soldstatus $42,000
  17. 2011-04-08
    soldstatus $40,000
  18. 2011-03-25
    soldstatus $42,000 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Good value, good price. Located in Outdoor Resorts, a lake front, par 3 golf course community a short distance from Disney. Many, many amenities and activities for the residents. Also included is a clubhouse, 2 pools, tennis, shuffleboard and lake access.

  19. 2009-05-13
    listed $43,900 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Good value, good price. Located in Outdoor Resorts, a lake front, par 3 golf course community a short distance from Disney. Many, many amenities and activities for the residents. Also included is a clubhouse, 2 pools, tennis, shuffleboard and lake access.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,306 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,306 · $109/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,661
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,306
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,333
− Management
−$1,333
− HOA
−$3,072
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$1,517
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$364
After-tax cash flow
$2,314/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Four Corners

Score
69/100
State rank
#453
US rank
#8218

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Four Corners, FL
County
Lake County · 364,602 people
City population
27,422
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,200
Household income
$75,392
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
953.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 25% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.33%
Current HPI
256.1331
Rent YoY
▼ -3.46%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+104.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-01 Listed $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 2011-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2011-03-25 Sold (MLS) $42,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-05-13 Listed $43,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,306 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…