🏷️ Likely Rental
81 Baldwin St · Binghamton, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$198,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
3 Family Moneymaker In the Southside of Binghamton. Great investment opportunity to purchase this fully detached 3 family in the Heart of Broome county. The property features a total of 2300 sq ft of living space on the 2nd fl apartment features a 2bedroom box Rooms 1 full bath month to month lease income of $950 with upside potential. The 2nd unit which is on the 1st fl features 600 sq ft of living space it a 1 bedroom apartment that features a newly renovated kitchen spacious living room, fully tiled bath 1box rooms with lots of closets, Tenant pays $775 on a month-to-month lease. The 3rd unit is also on the 1st fl front unit also features 600 sq ft of living space 1 bedroom Living room Eat in Kitchen full bath at $700.Spacious Back Yard. new furnaces new water tank well maintained property with very low maintenance the property sits on a 51x78 lot. Also including the lot being sold as a package which is 79 Baldwin st lot size 52x84 build an additional 2 Family unit right next door. 3 apartments have no lease with very low expenses Close to all shops and transportation only minutes from the all major highways only 10 minute into Downtown.
Key facts
- Fully detached
- New water tank
- Spacious back yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 4-bed/6.0-bath units multifamily listed at $198k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $605/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $198k).
- Recommended offer: $186k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 6.4% in Binghamton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
- Binghamton City School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #557 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $198k implies a 942% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.50%
- DSCR
- 2.80
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $282,200
- List price
- $198,000
- Delta
- -29.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jackson St | 0.22mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,208 (-6%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $45 | 69 |
| 10 1/2 The Arena St | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 2,518 (+7%) | 12mo | $82,000 | $33 | 67 |
| 19 Moeller St | 0.71mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,356 (+0%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $59 | 54 |
| 12 Jay St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 2,316 (-1%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $56 | 53 |
| 14 Tompkins St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 2,536 (+8%) | 19mo | $33,600 | $13 | 51 |
| 14 Evans St | 0.51mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,350 (0%) | 22mo | $135,000 | $57 | 49 |
| 12 Birch St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 2,292 (-2%) | 20mo | $135,150 | $59 | 45 |
| 30 Telegraph St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 2,116 (-10%) | 15mo | $129,900 | $61 | 38 |
| 169 Hawley St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 2,170 (-8%) | 22mo | $42,000 | $19 | 35 |
| 22 Hancock St | 0.64mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,028 (-14%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $62 | 29 |
| 132 Hawley St | 0.74mi | 4/— | 2,024 (-14%) | 22mo | $52,500 | $26 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.04×
- Total profit
- $223,744
- Equity at exit
- $178,374
- IRR
- 48.3%
- Equity multiple
- 11.25×
- Total profit
- $568,487
- Equity at exit
- $384,670
Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13903
- Home prices YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,446 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,038
- Tax from tax record
- −$520 /mo · $6,244/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$934
- Net cashflow
- $1,816
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,928 | -5% $1,872 | +0% $1,816 | +5% $1,760 | +10% $1,704 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,464 | -5% $1,640 | +0% $1,816 | +5% $1,991 | +10% $2,167 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,915 | -0.5pp $1,866 | base $1,816 | +0.5pp $1,764 | +1.0pp $1,712 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 4 | 6 | $4,446 |
| #1 | 4 | 6 | $1,482 |
| #2 | 4 | 6 | $1,482 |
| #3 | 4 | 6 | $1,482 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,446 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,500
- Closing costs
- $5,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 2nd St Binghamton, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2333 | $2,200 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 90 Conklin Ave Binghamton, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $575 | $0.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 113 Hawley St Binghamton, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1637 | $2,000 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 100 Felters Rd Binghamton, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 16 North St Unit 1-1 Binghamton, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2600 | $650 | $0.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $198,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $198,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $198,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $198,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $198,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $198,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $198,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $198,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $198,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $198,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $198,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $198,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $198,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $198,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $198,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $198,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-03-31$198,000 Active 1158-char remark
Show marketing remark (1158 chars)
3 Family Moneymaker In the Southside of Binghamton. Great investment opportunity to purchase this fully detached 3 family in the Heart of Broome county. The property features a total of 2300 sq ft of living space on the 2nd fl apartment features a 2bedroom box Rooms 1 full bath month to month lease income of $950 with upside potential. The 2nd unit which is on the 1st fl features 600 sq ft of living space it a 1 bedroom apartment that features a newly renovated kitchen spacious living room, fully tiled bath 1box rooms with lots of closets, Tenant pays $775 on a month-to-month lease. The 3rd unit is also on the 1st fl front unit also features 600 sq ft of living space 1 bedroom Living room Eat in Kitchen full bath at $700.Spacious Back Yard. new furnaces new water tank well maintained property with very low maintenance the property sits on a 51x78 lot. Also including the lot being sold as a package which is 79 Baldwin st lot size 52x84 build an additional 2 Family unit right next door. 3 apartments have no lease with very low expenses Close to all shops and transportation only minutes from the all major highways only 10 minute into Downtown.
-
2025-11-11historical
-
2025-10-22status Active
-
2025-08-11$195,000 Active
-
2025-06-05status Active
-
2025-05-06status Pending
-
2025-04-24$195,000 Active
-
2024-12-27historical $800
-
2024-12-25price $800
-
2024-12-19$850
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2024-11-06historical
-
2024-07-10price $185,000
-
2024-05-13$190,000 Active
-
2016-03-21soldstatus $19,000
-
2015-10-16$27,500
-
2005-01-19soldstatus $62,803
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,244 · $520/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,244 · $520/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,352
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,091
- − Property taxes
- −$6,244
- − Insurance
- −$1,656
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,268
- − Management
- −$4,268
- − Depreciation
- −$5,760
- Taxable income
- $20,064
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,815
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,972/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Binghamton City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3604870
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,475
- Composite
- 30.09/100
- National rank
- #6342
- State rank
- #557 of 590 in NY
Livability — Binghamton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #174
- US rank
- #2710
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Binghamton, NY
- County
- Broome County · 126,805 people
- City population
- 65,170
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,569
- Household income
- $66,278
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 602.0
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.68%
- Current HPI
- 286.1001
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+215.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $198,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-11 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-22 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-11 Listed $195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-05 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-06 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-24 Listed $195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-27 Rental Removed $800 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-12-25 Price Changed $800 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-12-19 Listed for Rent $850 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-11-06 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-10 Price Changed $185,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-13 Listed $190,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-21 Sold (MLS) $19,000 GBAOR
- 2015-10-16 Listed $27,500 GBAOR
- 2005-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $62,803 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,244 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…