904 W Walton St · Beeville, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 4 bedroom, 2 bath home offering 1,451 square feet of living space and endless potential. Featuring laminate wood flooring throughout, a bright bay window that fills the living area with natural light, and walk-in showers in both bathrooms. The four sided brick exterior provides durability and timeless appeal while the large backyard with a shed offers plenty of space for outdoor living, gardening, or entertaining. This property does need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for buyers looking to customize or invest. Conveniently located near a golf course, schools and dining.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Bright bay window
- Outdoor living
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-197 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $75k (31.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (31.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.4% in Beeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#354 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
- Beeville ISD (town): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #638 of 826 in TX (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 187 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15 units permitted in Bee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bee County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.94%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $143,380
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -23.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 704 W Clare | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,596 (+10%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $116 | 63 |
| 709 N Jefferson | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,508 (+4%) | 6mo | $74,900 | $50 | 55 |
| 800 W Huntington St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,510 (+4%) | 21mo | $237,500 | $157 | 48 |
| 802 W Huntington St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,510 (+4%) | 21mo | $237,500 | $157 | 48 |
| 311 W Huntington | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,492 (+3%) | 20mo | $179,000 | $120 | 44 |
| 806 W Bates | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,283 (-12%) | 2mo | $242,425 | $189 | 43 |
| 1418 W Milam | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,353 (-7%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $107 | 41 |
| 122 Leverman | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,316 (-9%) | 18mo | $89,999 | $68 | 40 |
| 815 W Morales | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,268 (-13%) | 14mo | $149,000 | $118 | 40 |
| 810 W Bates | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,294 (-11%) | 8mo | $236,500 | $183 | 39 |
| 909 W Crockett | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,272 (-12%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $117 | 38 |
| 205 E Carter | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,246 (-14%) | 9mo | $119,900 | $96 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-30,020
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- -27.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.33×
- Total profit
- $-40,855
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78102
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,404 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$257 /mo · $3,082/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $-197
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-135 | -5% $-166 | +0% $-197 | +5% $-228 | +10% $-259 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-308 | -5% $-253 | +0% $-197 | +5% $-142 | +10% $-86 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-142 | -0.5pp $-169 | base $-197 | +0.5pp $-226 | +1.0pp $-255 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 908 W Youst St Beeville, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-03-04price $110,000 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Welcome to this charming 4 bedroom, 2 bath home offering 1,451 square feet of living space and endless potential. Featuring laminate wood flooring throughout, a bright bay window that fills the living area with natural light, and walk-in showers in both bathrooms. The four sided brick exterior provides durability and timeless appeal while the large backyard with a shed offers plenty of space for outdoor living, gardening, or entertaining. This property does need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for buyers looking to customize or invest. Conveniently located near a golf course, schools and dining.
-
2026-02-23price $115,000 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Welcome to this charming 4 bedroom, 2 bath home offering 1,451 square feet of living space and endless potential. Featuring laminate wood flooring throughout, a bright bay window that fills the living area with natural light, and walk-in showers in both bathrooms. The four sided brick exterior provides durability and timeless appeal while the large backyard with a shed offers plenty of space for outdoor living, gardening, or entertaining. This property does need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for buyers looking to customize or invest. Conveniently located near a golf course, schools and dining.
-
2025-12-23$120,000 Active 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Welcome to this charming 4 bedroom, 2 bath home offering 1,451 square feet of living space and endless potential. Featuring laminate wood flooring throughout, a bright bay window that fills the living area with natural light, and walk-in showers in both bathrooms. The four sided brick exterior provides durability and timeless appeal while the large backyard with a shed offers plenty of space for outdoor living, gardening, or entertaining. This property does need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for buyers looking to customize or invest. Conveniently located near a golf course, schools and dining.
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2025-03-28historical
-
2022-04-15$165,000
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2021-07-15historical
-
2021-07-12soldstatus Closed
-
2021-06-30status Pending
-
2021-06-24$44,900 Active
-
2001-06-20soldstatus
-
2001-06-15soldstatus
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2000-11-01$45,000
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1993-06-08soldstatus
-
1992-08-04soldstatus
-
1988-09-26soldstatus
-
1986-11-26soldstatus
-
1984-07-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,082 · $257/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,082 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,845
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$3,082
- − Insurance
- −$5,668
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,348
- − Management
- −$1,348
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$3,962
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$951
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beeville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809720
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,319
- Composite
- 25.23/100
- National rank
- #7503
- State rank
- #638 of 826 in TX
Livability — Beeville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #7698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beeville, TX
- County
- Bee County · 27,455 people
- City population
- 27,455
- Metro
- Beeville, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,455
- Household income
- $58,939
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 853.0
Population outlook (Bee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,003 people
- By 2030
- 36,447 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 39,810 · +13.7%
- By 2050
- 43,525 · +24.3%
- By 2075
- 51,766 · +47.9%
- By 2100
- 53,434 · +52.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 29% White 27% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 55%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 33%
Political lean MEDSL · Bee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+28.9 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+11.5 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.59%
- Current HPI
- 145.1182
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Beeville, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+144.4% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $110,000 CBMLS
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $115,000 CBMLS
- 2025-12-23 Listed $120,000 CBMLS
- 2025-03-28 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2022-04-15 Listed $165,000 LERA
- 2021-07-15 Delisted — CBMLS
- 2021-07-12 Sold (MLS) — CBMLS
- 2021-06-30 Pending — CBMLS
- 2021-06-24 Listed $44,900 CBMLS
- 2001-06-20 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2001-06-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-11-01 Listed $45,000 LERA
- 1993-06-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1992-08-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-09-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1986-11-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1984-07-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,082 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…