12952 Woodland Park Cir · McCalla, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 50.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this home in McCalla that is just waiting for a new owner! Discover the potential in this lovely home full of character and opportunity! Being sold as-is, this property is perfect for buyers looking to add their personal touch and/or invest in a home with amazing possibilities. Conveniently close to Tannehill State Park, shops & dining options, this home makes life easy. Pull right up & park in the attached 2-car garage or in the driveway. The mature landscape creates a pleasing visual along with the appeal of a brick-front façade. Inside, grand arched openings frame the spacious living room & flow seamlessly to the dine in-kitchen. Warm yourself on cozy n
Key facts
- Brick-front façade
- Enhanced privacy
- Lush greenery
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property accessed via paved public road
- Financial info: Quarterly garbage fee
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Front garage entry; 2-car garage (main level); Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Underground utilities; Electric water heater; Internet service available
- Home design: Existing construction; One-story layout (rooms listed at main level); 1-side brick and vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation
- Construction: 1-side brick and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Covered and open patio areas; Interior lot (no notable lot view); No pool, no garden/patio, no decks; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Built-in dishwasher; Electric oven and electric stove
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Two additional bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Crown molding and smooth ceilings with trey ceilings; One gas fireplace with tile surround in the great room; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in a closet; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (5.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.5% in McCalla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lake View Elementary School (math 36% / reading 66%, grade C-, #113 of 627 statewide, top 18%, 769 students, 53% FRL); Brookwood High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,078 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 350 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.78%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $248,064
- List price
- $189,999
- Delta
- -23.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7257 Owen Park Cir | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (-3%) | 8mo | $214,000 | $166 | 84 |
| 12640 Owen Park Ct | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (-3%) | 15mo | $240,500 | $186 | 74 |
| 12910 Woodland Park Cir Cir | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,243 (-6%) | 20mo | $222,000 | $179 | 70 |
| 8237 Owen Park Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,491 (+12%) | 1mo | $247,000 | $166 | 69 |
| 8254 Owen Park Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (+12%) | 12mo | $223,000 | $150 | 61 |
| 12736 Ironstone Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (-4%) | 3mo | $259,900 | $204 | 57 |
| 12772 Ironstone Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (-4%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $212 | 57 |
| 12754 Ironstone Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (-4%) | 4mo | $269,900 | $212 | 56 |
| 12981 Woodland Park Cir | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (+14%) | 22mo | $217,500 | $143 | 56 |
| 22842 Downing Park Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,421 (+7%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $165 | 46 |
| 12760 Ironstone Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,497 (+13%) | 4mo | $279,900 | $187 | 38 |
| 12730 Ironstone Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,497 (+13%) | 7mo | $279,900 | $187 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-11,735
- Equity at exit
- $28,329
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $14,050
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35111
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Active inventory
- 350
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,790 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $457/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $301
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12772 Ironstone Dr Lake View, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,553 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,999 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,999 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$195,000 Active 1002-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $457 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $779 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$322/yr (+$27/mo · 70.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,482
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$457
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,719
- − Management
- −$1,719
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $468
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$112
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,495/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscaloosa County
- NCES district ID
- 0103390
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,000
- Composite
- 28.88/100
- National rank
- #6641
- State rank
- #47 of 129 in AL
Livability — McCalla
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,342
- Household income
- $86,463
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 137.0
Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,293 people
- By 2030
- 240,551 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 263,856 · +15.6%
- By 2050
- 286,491 · +25.5%
- By 2075
- 335,783 · +47.1%
- By 2100
- 370,520 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.52%
- Current HPI
- 206.3808
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-2.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $189,999 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $195,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $457 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…