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152 Toucan Way
C- Composite 50.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$235,000

152 Toucan Way · Red Bank, SC 29073-9377
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,557 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1985 10,454 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This beautifully maintained home with no HOA offers a covered front porch, featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The kitchen offers new countertops, luxury vinyl plank flooring, and an eat-in style dining area with french doors opening to the back deck, perfect for seamless entertaining. The living area features a cozy wood burning fireplace, with carpeted floors for added comfort. Enjoy the spacious back yard that features a privacy fence, perfect for pets and outdoor recreation. Have peace of mind with a new lower level heat pump, new privacy fence and gate, and new counter tops in the kitchen and lower level bathroom. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse ve

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • French doors
  • Back deck

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHNEW COUNTERTOPSEAT-IN STYLE DINING AREAFRENCH DOORSBACK DECKWOOD BURNING FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story house
  • Construction: Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior finish; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level; Second bedroom on the main level; Two additional bedrooms on the second level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (including one full main-level bathroom and one full second-level bathroom)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump on the first level; Heat pump on the second level
  • Interior features: One fireplace; Family room on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (17.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#121 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Saxe Gotha Elementary (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #311 of 597 statewide, top 53%, 686 students, 100% FRL); White Knoll High (math 47% / reading 85%, grade B, #81 of 196 statewide, top 42%, 2,204 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 30% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,146 (17.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.76%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$37,829
Equity at exit
$105,666
10-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$121,045
Equity at exit
$162,844

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29073-9377

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,951 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $721/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$151

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,760
Max offer price $235,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
847 Dovefield Ln Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1302 $1,850 $1.42 14d 1 0.15mi
919 Dovefield Ln Lexington, SC 4.0 2.5 2022 $2,299 $1.14 23d 1 0.16mi
128 S Wrenwood Dr Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,695 $1.36 23d 1 0.33mi
212 Pin Oak Dr Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1349 $1,710 $1.27 14d 1 0.47mi
290 Browning Ct Unit b Lexington, SC 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 21d 1 0.69mi
120 W Lake Dr Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1476 $1,880 $1.27 3d 1 0.75mi
140 Land of Lakes Cir Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1452 $1,925 $1.33 3d 1 0.78mi
1607 Commendable Ct Lexington, SC 4.0 2.5 1783 $2,238 $1.26 23d 1 0.81mi
1603 Commendable Ct Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1399 $2,033 $1.45 3d 1 0.81mi
110 Darian Dr Lexington, SC 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,949 $1.43 14d 1 1.04mi
449 Lady Liberty Way Lexington, SC 3.0 3.0 1635 $1,995 $1.22 23d 1 1.31mi
464 Lady Liberty Way Lexington, SC 4.0 2.5 2100 $2,150 $1.02 23d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-30
    historical Active - Contingent
  3. 2026-04-13
    listed $235,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$721 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,340 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$618/yr (+$52/mo · 85.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,418
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$721
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,873
− Management
−$1,873
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable loss
−$2,226
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$534
After-tax cash flow
$2,349/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lexington 01
NCES district ID
4502700
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$61,298
Composite
41.75/100
National rank
#3399
State rank
#11 of 80 in SC

Livability — Red Bank

Score
66/100
State rank
#121
US rank
#11985

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Red Bank, SC

Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
322,999 people
By 2030
342,356 · +6.0%
By 2040
377,715 · +16.9%
By 2050
406,984 · +26.0%
By 2075
465,447 · +44.1%
By 2100
485,674 · +50.4%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $235,000 Consolidated MLS

Property tax history

-10.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $721 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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