152 Toucan Way · Red Bank, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 71.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This beautifully maintained home with no HOA offers a covered front porch, featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The kitchen offers new countertops, luxury vinyl plank flooring, and an eat-in style dining area with french doors opening to the back deck, perfect for seamless entertaining. The living area features a cozy wood burning fireplace, with carpeted floors for added comfort. Enjoy the spacious back yard that features a privacy fence, perfect for pets and outdoor recreation. Have peace of mind with a new lower level heat pump, new privacy fence and gate, and new counter tops in the kitchen and lower level bathroom. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse ve
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- French doors
- Back deck
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story house
- Construction: Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior finish; Paved road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level; Second bedroom on the main level; Two additional bedrooms on the second level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (including one full main-level bathroom and one full second-level bathroom)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump on the first level; Heat pump on the second level
- Interior features: One fireplace; Family room on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (17.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#121 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Saxe Gotha Elementary (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #311 of 597 statewide, top 53%, 686 students, 100% FRL); White Knoll High (math 47% / reading 85%, grade B, #81 of 196 statewide, top 42%, 2,204 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 30% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.76%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $37,829
- Equity at exit
- $105,666
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $121,045
- Equity at exit
- $162,844
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29073-9377
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,951 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $721/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $151
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 847 Dovefield Ln Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 919 Dovefield Ln Lexington, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2022 | $2,299 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 128 S Wrenwood Dr Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,695 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 212 Pin Oak Dr Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,710 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 290 Browning Ct Unit b Lexington, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 120 W Lake Dr Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $1,880 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 140 Land of Lakes Cir Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,925 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1607 Commendable Ct Lexington, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1783 | $2,238 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1603 Commendable Ct Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $2,033 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 110 Darian Dr Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,949 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 449 Lady Liberty Way Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1635 | $1,995 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 464 Lady Liberty Way Lexington, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,150 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-04-30historical Active - Contingent
-
2026-04-13$235,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $721 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,340 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- +$618/yr (+$52/mo · 85.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,418
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$721
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,873
- − Management
- −$1,873
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$2,226
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$534
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,349/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lexington 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502700
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,298
- Composite
- 41.75/100
- National rank
- #3399
- State rank
- #11 of 80 in SC
Livability — Red Bank
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #11985
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Red Bank, SC
Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 322,999 people
- By 2030
- 342,356 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 377,715 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 406,984 · +26.0%
- By 2075
- 465,447 · +44.1%
- By 2100
- 485,674 · +50.4%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-30 Contingent — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $235,000 Consolidated MLS
Property tax history
-10.2%/yrLatest (2024): $721 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…