172 Estates Ave · North Brooksville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NO HOA!!! NO LOT RENT!!! NO AGE RESTRICTIONS!!! Beautiful half acre (MOL) property in nice, quiet area just minutes from the historic downtown Brooksville. This 2/2 home has been taken well care of. The home has one full bath in the master with a walk in shower and another full bath which includes a bathtub! The second bathroom has an entry from the hallway and an entry from the second bedroom. Make your showing appointment today!!!!
Key facts
- 0.49 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1983
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.49 acres (100 x 140); Public maintained paved road; Living area about 868 square feet
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One story; Faces south; Entry level: One
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Awnings; Vinyl and wood fencing; City limits lot; Oversized lot; Paved access
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Cooktop; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($523/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (14.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.6% in North Brooksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#661 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Brooksville Elementary School (math 43% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 652 students, 68% FRL); D. S. Parrott Middle School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #368 of 571 statewide, top 65%, 835 students, 67% FRL); Hernando High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 1,299 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 498 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 369 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $49k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $140k implies a 324% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 369 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.33%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $165,788
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19488 Wildwood Dr | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-3%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $208 | 72 |
| 19962 Ruth St | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-3%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $179 | 67 |
| 19491 Oakdale Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-10%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $191 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-23,232
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-29,541
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34601
- Home prices YoY
- -29.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 498
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,200 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$112 /mo · $1,342/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $44
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $123 | -5% $83 | +0% $44 | +5% $4 | +10% $-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-51 | -5% $-4 | +0% $44 | +5% $91 | +10% $138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $114 | -0.5pp $79 | base $44 | +0.5pp $7 | +1.0pp $-30 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20004 Suncrest Dr Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 757 | $1,095 | $1.45 | 18d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 7781 Crystal Brook Cir Brooksville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,463 | $1.40 | 4d | 8 | 0.67mi |
| 965 Candlelight Blvd Brooksville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 720 | $1,330 | $1.85 | 1d | 10 | 0.84mi |
| 614 W Fort Dade Ave Brooksville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $925 | $0.88 | 26d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 925 Ponce de Leon Blvd Brooksville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $1,136 | $1.62 | 26d | 5 | 0.96mi |
| 460 Hale Ave Brooksville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,225 | $1.60 | 6d | 2 | 1.15mi |
| 20180 Barnett Rd Brooksville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 783 | $999 | $1.28 | 12d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 366 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $140,000 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
NO HOA!!! NO LOT RENT!!! NO AGE RESTRICTIONS!!! Beautiful half acre (MOL) property in nice, quiet area just minutes from the historic downtown Brooksville. This 2/2 home has been taken well care of. The home has one full bath in the master with a walk in shower and another full bath which includes a bathtub! The second bathroom has an entry from the hallway and an entry from the second bedroom. Make your showing appointment today!!!!
-
2026-05-06price $140,000
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
NO HOA!!! NO LOT RENT!!! NO AGE RESTRICTIONS!!! Beautiful half acre (MOL) property in nice, quiet area just minutes from the historic downtown Brooksville. This 2/2 home has been taken well care of. The home has one full bath in the master with a walk in shower and another full bath which includes a bathtub! The second bathroom has an entry from the hallway and an entry from the second bedroom. Make your showing appointment today!!!!
-
2026-03-03price $165,000
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
NO HOA!!! NO LOT RENT!!! NO AGE RESTRICTIONS!!! Beautiful half acre (MOL) property in nice, quiet area just minutes from the historic downtown Brooksville. This 2/2 home has been taken well care of. The home has one full bath in the master with a walk in shower and another full bath which includes a bathtub! The second bathroom has an entry from the hallway and an entry from the second bedroom. Make your showing appointment today!!!!
-
2026-03-03price $165,000 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
NO HOA!!! NO LOT RENT!!! NO AGE RESTRICTIONS!!! Beautiful half acre (MOL) property in nice, quiet area just minutes from the historic downtown Brooksville. This 2/2 home has been taken well care of. The home has one full bath in the master with a walk in shower and another full bath which includes a bathtub! The second bathroom has an entry from the hallway and an entry from the second bedroom. Make your showing appointment today!!!!
-
2025-10-01price $179,000 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
NO HOA!!! NO LOT RENT!!! NO AGE RESTRICTIONS!!! Beautiful half acre (MOL) property in nice, quiet area just minutes from the historic downtown Brooksville. This 2/2 home has been taken well care of. The home has one full bath in the master with a walk in shower and another full bath which includes a bathtub! The second bathroom has an entry from the hallway and an entry from the second bedroom. Make your showing appointment today!!!!
-
2025-10-01price $179,000
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
NO HOA!!! NO LOT RENT!!! NO AGE RESTRICTIONS!!! Beautiful half acre (MOL) property in nice, quiet area just minutes from the historic downtown Brooksville. This 2/2 home has been taken well care of. The home has one full bath in the master with a walk in shower and another full bath which includes a bathtub! The second bathroom has an entry from the hallway and an entry from the second bedroom. Make your showing appointment today!!!!
-
2025-05-30$189,000 Active 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
NO HOA!!! NO LOT RENT!!! NO AGE RESTRICTIONS!!! Beautiful half acre (MOL) property in nice, quiet area just minutes from the historic downtown Brooksville. This 2/2 home has been taken well care of. The home has one full bath in the master with a walk in shower and another full bath which includes a bathtub! The second bathroom has an entry from the hallway and an entry from the second bedroom. Make your showing appointment today!!!!
-
2025-05-30$189,000 Active
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
NO HOA!!! NO LOT RENT!!! NO AGE RESTRICTIONS!!! Beautiful half acre (MOL) property in nice, quiet area just minutes from the historic downtown Brooksville. This 2/2 home has been taken well care of. The home has one full bath in the master with a walk in shower and another full bath which includes a bathtub! The second bathroom has an entry from the hallway and an entry from the second bedroom. Make your showing appointment today!!!!
-
2017-03-14soldstatus $33,000
-
2017-03-14soldstatus $33,000
-
2017-02-13$39,900
-
2017-02-13$39,900
-
2005-06-30soldstatus $53,000
-
2005-06-30soldstatus $53,000
-
2005-02-26$58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,342 · $112/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,342 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,398
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,342
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,152
- − Management
- −$1,152
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$1,862
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$447
- After-tax cash flow
- $970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Brooksville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #661
- US rank
- #13315
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Brooksville, FL
- County
- Hernando County · 169,677 people
- City population
- 23,648
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,115
- Household income
- $60,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 664.0
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.68%
- Current HPI
- 313.4695
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.19%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+141.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $140,000 HCAR
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $165,000 HCAR
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $179,000 HCAR
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $179,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-30 Listed $189,000 HCAR
- 2025-05-30 Listed $189,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-14 Sold (MLS) $33,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2017-03-14 Sold (MLS) $33,000 HCAR
- 2017-02-13 Listed $39,900 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2017-02-13 Listed $39,900 HCAR
- 2005-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-30 Sold (MLS) $53,000 HCAR
- 2005-02-26 Listed $58,000 HCAR
Property tax history
+17.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,342 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…