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598 Hortons Summit Rd
B- Composite 67.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$160,000

598 Hortons Summit Rd · Duffield, VA 24244
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,530 sqft · SingleFamily · 183 Days on market
Built 1958 2.60 ac lot $105/sqft · at area comps Est $160k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled within farm and wooded views you'll find this completely remodeled home!! There is newer vinyl siding, flooring, paint, a completely overhauled kitchen and bathrooms, heat pump, and a whole lot more!!! Step inside to find an excellent open-concept floor plan with dual living rooms and large dining room. You'll find 2 spacious bedrooms on the first floor, including the master. The Kitchen has stainless steel appliances, distressed stained cabinets, and tiled floor. There is a large, remodeled bathroom with tiled shower and floors. The utility room and half bath is conveniently located off of the kitchen. Upstairs is a massive bonus room. Perfect for a third bedroom, storage area, or as it currently being used as a hobby room. There is 2.6 acres, ideal for roaming, playing, gardening, farming, etc. This home is tucked away, yet only minutes from US23, Natural Tunnel, The Devil's Bathtub, and all of the hotspots in Southwest Virginia!! Call your favorite agent and schedule your showing on this gem today. Buyer and buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Subject to Errors and Omissions.

Key facts

  • Massive bonus room
  • Remodeled bathroom
  • Newer vinyl siding

Tags

REMODELED HOMENEWER VINYL SIDINGOVERHAULED KITCHENREMODELED BATHROOMMASSIVE BONUS ROOM2.6 ACRES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#260 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $130k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.18%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,080
List price
$160,000
Delta
6.20%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
9 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$34,819
Equity at exit
$66,516
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
3.27×
Total profit
$101,472
Equity at exit
$98,474

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24244

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,702 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $704/yr
Insurance
$67
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$325

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,291
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $415 -5% $370 +0% $325 +5% $279 +10% $234
Rent -10% $190 -5% $257 +0% $325 +5% $392 +10% $459
Rate -1.0pp $405 -0.5pp $365 base $325 +0.5pp $283 +1.0pp $241

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $160,000 Active 183 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 181 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 180 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 179 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 178 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 177 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 176 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $170,000 Active 175 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 172 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 171 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 170 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 169 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 166 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 165 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 164 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 163 DOM
  17. 2026-04-21
    price $170,000 1129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1129 chars)

    Nestled within farm and wooded views you'll find this completely remodeled home!! There is newer vinyl siding, flooring, paint, a completely overhauled kitchen and bathrooms, heat pump, and a whole lot more!!! Step inside to find an excellent open-concept floor plan with dual living rooms and large dining room. You'll find 2 spacious bedrooms on the first floor, including the master. The Kitchen has stainless steel appliances, distressed stained cabinets, and tiled floor. There is a large, remodeled bathroom with tiled shower and floors. The utility room and half bath is conveniently located off of the kitchen. Upstairs is a massive bonus room. Perfect for a third bedroom, storage area, or as it currently being used as a hobby room. There is 2.6 acres, ideal for roaming, playing, gardening, farming, etc. This home is tucked away, yet only minutes from US23, Natural Tunnel, The Devil's Bathtub, and all of the hotspots in Southwest Virginia!! Call your favorite agent and schedule your showing on this gem today. Buyer and buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Subject to Errors and Omissions.

  18. 2026-02-27
    price $177,777 1129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1129 chars)

    Nestled within farm and wooded views you'll find this completely remodeled home!! There is newer vinyl siding, flooring, paint, a completely overhauled kitchen and bathrooms, heat pump, and a whole lot more!!! Step inside to find an excellent open-concept floor plan with dual living rooms and large dining room. You'll find 2 spacious bedrooms on the first floor, including the master. The Kitchen has stainless steel appliances, distressed stained cabinets, and tiled floor. There is a large, remodeled bathroom with tiled shower and floors. The utility room and half bath is conveniently located off of the kitchen. Upstairs is a massive bonus room. Perfect for a third bedroom, storage area, or as it currently being used as a hobby room. There is 2.6 acres, ideal for roaming, playing, gardening, farming, etc. This home is tucked away, yet only minutes from US23, Natural Tunnel, The Devil's Bathtub, and all of the hotspots in Southwest Virginia!! Call your favorite agent and schedule your showing on this gem today. Buyer and buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Subject to Errors and Omissions.

  19. 2025-12-19
    listed $182,333 Active 1129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1129 chars)

    Nestled within farm and wooded views you'll find this completely remodeled home!! There is newer vinyl siding, flooring, paint, a completely overhauled kitchen and bathrooms, heat pump, and a whole lot more!!! Step inside to find an excellent open-concept floor plan with dual living rooms and large dining room. You'll find 2 spacious bedrooms on the first floor, including the master. The Kitchen has stainless steel appliances, distressed stained cabinets, and tiled floor. There is a large, remodeled bathroom with tiled shower and floors. The utility room and half bath is conveniently located off of the kitchen. Upstairs is a massive bonus room. Perfect for a third bedroom, storage area, or as it currently being used as a hobby room. There is 2.6 acres, ideal for roaming, playing, gardening, farming, etc. This home is tucked away, yet only minutes from US23, Natural Tunnel, The Devil's Bathtub, and all of the hotspots in Southwest Virginia!! Call your favorite agent and schedule your showing on this gem today. Buyer and buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Subject to Errors and Omissions.

  20. 2022-02-04
    soldstatus $130,000
  21. 2022-02-04
    soldstatus $130,000
  22. 2021-07-30
    listed $150,000
  23. 2021-07-30
    listed $150,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$704 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,312 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$608/yr (+$51/mo · 86.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,423
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$704
− Insurance
−$1,466
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,634
− Management
−$1,634
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$1,368
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$328
After-tax cash flow
$3,567/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scott County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103480
Math proficiency
66% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$36,567
Composite
57.65/100
National rank
#1061
State rank
#33 of 131 in VA

Livability — Duffield

Score
68/100
State rank
#260
US rank
#9124

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,531

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,405 people
By 2030
19,379 · -5.0%
By 2040
17,325 · -15.1%
By 2050
15,464 · -24.2%
By 2075
11,845 · -42.0%
By 2100
8,516 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Black 2% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
2008→2024 swing
-27.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -70.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.4 2020: R+67.8 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+50.6 2008: R+43.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.39%
Current HPI
192.6919
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $170,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $177,777 TVRMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $182,333 TVRMLS
  • 2022-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2022-02-04 Sold (MLS) $130,000 TVRMLS
  • 2021-07-30 Listed $150,000 TVRMLS
  • 2021-07-30 Listed $150,000 SWVAR

Property tax history

+18.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $704 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…