809 Gilbert St · Sebastian, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WOW!CUTE BLOCK 1960 2 BEDRM/1 BATHRM WITH TERRAZZO FLOORS TOO! SERIOUS CASH BUYERS ONLY AS NEEDS ROOF & PLUMBING WITH ALOT OF TLC! GREAT PROJECT FOR A CONTRACTOR OR HANDYMAN TOO. WHY BUY A TRAILER WHEN YOU CAN HAVE THIS CUTE PLACE NEAR SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, BEACHES AND GREAT FISHING IN PARADISE! SNOOZE U LOSE! CALL TODAY FOR YOUR OWN PRIVATE SHOWING!
Key facts
- New metal roof
- Strong foundation
- Non-hoa setting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Road is asphalt and maintained by public authorities; Property west of US-1; Pets allowed with no restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Carport (1 covered space); Driveway; Total parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 200+ amp electric service; Cable available; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry at level 1; Faces west
- Construction: Concrete block (CBS) construction with stucco; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built/resale condition
- Exterior features: Room for a pool; Oversized lot; Wood and wire fencing (see remarks); No additional detached structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric cooktop
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Terrazzo flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating system (unspecified type); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No additional interior features specified; Other window features
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-892/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (5.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.4% in Sebastian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#89 in FL, #1,421 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D-.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sebastian Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 329 students, 72% FRL); Storm Grove Middle School (math 54% / reading 55%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,020 students, 50% FRL); Sebastian River High School (math 29% / reading 45%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 1,843 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 411 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $155k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.42%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $251,940
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 342 Manly Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 997 (+1%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $226 | 88 |
| 868 Lance St | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 927 (-6%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $178 | 72 |
| 865 Gilbert St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+7%) | 14mo | $128,000 | $121 | 67 |
| 918 Schumann Dr | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 925 (-6%) | 3mo | $276,000 | $298 | 66 |
| 819 Schumann Dr | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,094 (+11%) | 13mo | $279,000 | $255 | 60 |
| 111 Alameda Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 912 (-8%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $334 | 47 |
| 162 Kildare Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-13%) | 10mo | $237,000 | $274 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-35,123
- Equity at exit
- $33,547
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-10,076
- Equity at exit
- $19,453
Cash invested: $62,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32958
- Home prices YoY
- -13.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 411
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,815 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$234 /mo · $2,812/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $-74
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $53 | -5% $-11 | +0% $-74 | +5% $-138 | +10% $-202 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-218 | -5% $-146 | +0% $-74 | +5% $-3 | +10% $69 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $39 | -0.5pp $-17 | base $-74 | +0.5pp $-133 | +1.0pp $-192 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,248
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Crawford Dr Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 371 Keen Ter Unit A Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $1,650 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 362 Del Monte Rd Unit A Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,600 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 449 Del Monte Rd Unit A Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,750 | $2.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $224,990 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $224,990 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,990 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,990 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,990 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,990 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $224,990 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $224,990 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $229,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $229,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $229,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-04-17$229,500 Active
-
2022-03-04soldstatus $155,000
-
2022-03-03soldstatus $155,000 Closed 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
WOW!CUTE BLOCK 1960 2 BEDRM/1 BATHRM WITH TERRAZZO FLOORS TOO! SERIOUS CASH BUYERS ONLY AS NEEDS ROOF & PLUMBING WITH ALOT OF TLC! GREAT PROJECT FOR A CONTRACTOR OR HANDYMAN TOO. WHY BUY A TRAILER WHEN YOU CAN HAVE THIS CUTE PLACE NEAR SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, BEACHES AND GREAT FISHING IN PARADISE! SNOOZE U LOSE! CALL TODAY FOR YOUR OWN PRIVATE SHOWING!
-
2022-02-28historical Active Under Contract 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
WOW!CUTE BLOCK 1960 2 BEDRM/1 BATHRM WITH TERRAZZO FLOORS TOO! SERIOUS CASH BUYERS ONLY AS NEEDS ROOF & PLUMBING WITH ALOT OF TLC! GREAT PROJECT FOR A CONTRACTOR OR HANDYMAN TOO. WHY BUY A TRAILER WHEN YOU CAN HAVE THIS CUTE PLACE NEAR SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, BEACHES AND GREAT FISHING IN PARADISE! SNOOZE U LOSE! CALL TODAY FOR YOUR OWN PRIVATE SHOWING!
-
2022-02-17$164,995 Active 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
WOW!CUTE BLOCK 1960 2 BEDRM/1 BATHRM WITH TERRAZZO FLOORS TOO! SERIOUS CASH BUYERS ONLY AS NEEDS ROOF & PLUMBING WITH ALOT OF TLC! GREAT PROJECT FOR A CONTRACTOR OR HANDYMAN TOO. WHY BUY A TRAILER WHEN YOU CAN HAVE THIS CUTE PLACE NEAR SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, BEACHES AND GREAT FISHING IN PARADISE! SNOOZE U LOSE! CALL TODAY FOR YOUR OWN PRIVATE SHOWING!
-
2016-03-09$74,995
-
1980-03-01soldstatus $26,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,812 · $234/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,812 · $234/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,777
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,812
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,742
- − Management
- −$1,742
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$4,792
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,150
- After-tax cash flow
- $259/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sebastian
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #89
- US rank
- #1421
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sebastian, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- City population
- 30,023
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,023
- Household income
- $66,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 646.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.85%
- Current HPI
- 330.1691
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.22%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+782.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $229,500 Beaches MLS
- 2022-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-03 Sold (MLS) $155,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2022-02-28 Contingent — RAIRCMLS
- 2022-02-17 Listed $164,995 RAIRCMLS
- 2016-03-09 Listed $74,995 RAIRCMLS
- 1980-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,812 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…