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809 Gilbert St
D+ Composite 45.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,990

809 Gilbert St · Sebastian, FL 32958
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 988 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1960 7,405 sqft lot Est $252k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WOW!CUTE BLOCK 1960 2 BEDRM/1 BATHRM WITH TERRAZZO FLOORS TOO! SERIOUS CASH BUYERS ONLY AS NEEDS ROOF & PLUMBING WITH ALOT OF TLC! GREAT PROJECT FOR A CONTRACTOR OR HANDYMAN TOO. WHY BUY A TRAILER WHEN YOU CAN HAVE THIS CUTE PLACE NEAR SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, BEACHES AND GREAT FISHING IN PARADISE! SNOOZE U LOSE! CALL TODAY FOR YOUR OWN PRIVATE SHOWING!

Key facts

  • New metal roof
  • Strong foundation
  • Non-hoa setting

Tags

STRONG FOUNDATIONQUIET LOW-TRAFFIC STREETNEW METAL ROOFFRESHLY PAINTED EXTERIOROVERSIZED BACKYARDNON-HOA SETTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Road is asphalt and maintained by public authorities; Property west of US-1; Pets allowed with no restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Carport (1 covered space); Driveway; Total parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 200+ amp electric service; Cable available; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry at level 1; Faces west
  • Construction: Concrete block (CBS) construction with stucco; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built/resale condition
  • Exterior features: Room for a pool; Oversized lot; Wood and wire fencing (see remarks); No additional detached structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric cooktop
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Terrazzo flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating system (unspecified type); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No additional interior features specified; Other window features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-892/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (5.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (19.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.4% in Sebastian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#89 in FL, #1,421 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D-.
  • Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sebastian Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 329 students, 72% FRL); Storm Grove Middle School (math 54% / reading 55%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,020 students, 50% FRL); Sebastian River High School (math 29% / reading 45%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 1,843 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 411 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $155k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,472 (19.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.42%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$251,940
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
342 Manly Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 (+1) 997 (+1%) 1mo $225,000 $226 88
868 Lance St 0.11mi 2/2.0 (+1) 927 (-6%) 4mo $165,000 $178 72
865 Gilbert St 0.10mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (+7%) 14mo $128,000 $121 67
918 Schumann Dr 0.25mi 2/2.0 (+1) 925 (-6%) 3mo $276,000 $298 66
819 Schumann Dr 0.06mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,094 (+11%) 13mo $279,000 $255 60
111 Alameda Ave 0.67mi 2/1.5 (+1) 912 (-8%) 2mo $305,000 $334 47
162 Kildare Dr 0.51mi 2/1.0 (+1) 864 (-13%) 10mo $237,000 $274 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-35,123
Equity at exit
$33,547
10-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-10,076
Equity at exit
$19,453

Cash invested: $62,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32958

Home prices YoY
-13.1%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
411
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,815 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$234 /mo · $2,812/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$-74

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,909
Max offer price $211,863
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $53 -5% $-11 +0% $-74 +5% $-138 +10% $-202
Rent -10% $-218 -5% $-146 +0% $-74 +5% $-3 +10% $69
Rate -1.0pp $39 -0.5pp $-17 base $-74 +0.5pp $-133 +1.0pp $-192

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,248
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
141 Crawford Dr Sebastian, FL 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 15d 1 0.84mi
371 Keen Ter Unit A Sebastian, FL 2.0 2.0 1037 $1,650 $1.59 23d 1 1.30mi
362 Del Monte Rd Unit A Sebastian, FL 2.0 2.0 1045 $1,600 $1.53 23d 1 1.35mi
449 Del Monte Rd Unit A Sebastian, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $1,750 $2.08 23d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $224,990 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $224,990 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $224,990 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $224,990 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $224,990 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $224,990 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $224,990 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $224,990 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $229,500 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,500 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,500 Active 52 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,500 Active 51 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $229,500 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,500 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,500 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,500 Active 44 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $229,500 Active 43 DOM
  18. 2026-04-17
    listed $229,500 Active
  19. 2022-03-04
    soldstatus $155,000
  20. 2022-03-03
    soldstatus $155,000 Closed 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    WOW!CUTE BLOCK 1960 2 BEDRM/1 BATHRM WITH TERRAZZO FLOORS TOO! SERIOUS CASH BUYERS ONLY AS NEEDS ROOF & PLUMBING WITH ALOT OF TLC! GREAT PROJECT FOR A CONTRACTOR OR HANDYMAN TOO. WHY BUY A TRAILER WHEN YOU CAN HAVE THIS CUTE PLACE NEAR SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, BEACHES AND GREAT FISHING IN PARADISE! SNOOZE U LOSE! CALL TODAY FOR YOUR OWN PRIVATE SHOWING!

  21. 2022-02-28
    historical Active Under Contract 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    WOW!CUTE BLOCK 1960 2 BEDRM/1 BATHRM WITH TERRAZZO FLOORS TOO! SERIOUS CASH BUYERS ONLY AS NEEDS ROOF & PLUMBING WITH ALOT OF TLC! GREAT PROJECT FOR A CONTRACTOR OR HANDYMAN TOO. WHY BUY A TRAILER WHEN YOU CAN HAVE THIS CUTE PLACE NEAR SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, BEACHES AND GREAT FISHING IN PARADISE! SNOOZE U LOSE! CALL TODAY FOR YOUR OWN PRIVATE SHOWING!

  22. 2022-02-17
    listed $164,995 Active 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    WOW!CUTE BLOCK 1960 2 BEDRM/1 BATHRM WITH TERRAZZO FLOORS TOO! SERIOUS CASH BUYERS ONLY AS NEEDS ROOF & PLUMBING WITH ALOT OF TLC! GREAT PROJECT FOR A CONTRACTOR OR HANDYMAN TOO. WHY BUY A TRAILER WHEN YOU CAN HAVE THIS CUTE PLACE NEAR SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, BEACHES AND GREAT FISHING IN PARADISE! SNOOZE U LOSE! CALL TODAY FOR YOUR OWN PRIVATE SHOWING!

  23. 2016-03-09
    listed $74,995
  24. 1980-03-01
    soldstatus $26,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,812 · $234/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,812 · $234/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,777
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$2,812
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,742
− Management
−$1,742
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$4,792
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,150
After-tax cash flow
$259/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian River
NCES district ID
1200930
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,597
Composite
42.45/100
National rank
#3218
State rank
#35 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sebastian

Score
81/100
State rank
#89
US rank
#1421

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute B+ Cost of living A- Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sebastian, FL
County
Indian River County · 143,738 people
City population
30,023
Metro
Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
30,023
Household income
$66,840
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
646.0

Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
165,104 people
By 2030
172,869 · +4.7%
By 2040
185,640 · +12.4%
By 2050
194,465 · +17.8%
By 2075
211,115 · +27.9%
By 2100
211,781 · +28.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Indian River

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.85%
Current HPI
330.1691
Rent YoY
▲ 6.22%
Metro
Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+782.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $229,500 Beaches MLS
  • 2022-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2022-03-03 Sold (MLS) $155,000 RAIRCMLS
  • 2022-02-28 Contingent RAIRCMLS
  • 2022-02-17 Listed $164,995 RAIRCMLS
  • 2016-03-09 Listed $74,995 RAIRCMLS
  • 1980-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,812 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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