242 Turtle Creek Dr · Huntsville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
$345,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac, this charming full-brick home is minutes from Providence, University Dr, and Research Park Blvd with easy access to top amenities, dining, and entertainment. Inside, four spacious bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a fireplace perfect for chilly nights. The covered porch and patio are ideal for outdoor entertaining, while the fenced-in backyard provides a safe haven for pets and kids to play. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity! Schedule a showing today and make this house your home.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Full-brick home
- Cul-de-sac
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $345k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-244 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (12.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (34.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $227k (34.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$59k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($324k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $156k; list at $345k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.03%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $431,138
- List price
- $345,000
- Delta
- -19.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143 Preswick Pl | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 2,200 (-1%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $148 | 76 |
| 1034 Split Rock Cv | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,251 (+1%) | 8mo | $426,900 | $190 | 74 |
| 907 Binding Br | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,374 (+7%) | 3mo | $425,000 | $179 | 72 |
| 929 Binding Br NW | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,215 (-0%) | 10mo | $424,900 | $192 | 70 |
| 105 Turtle Bank Ct | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 | 2,460 (+11%) | 12mo | $495,000 | $201 | 63 |
| 1104 Corner Brk NW | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,345 (+5%) | 13mo | $440,000 | $188 | 62 |
| 114 Cedar Falls Ct | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,211 (-1%) | 11mo | $390,000 | $176 | 58 |
| 908 Binding Br | 0.22mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,414 (+8%) | 17mo | $440,000 | $182 | 52 |
| 105 Cedar Hollow Ct | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 1,980 (-11%) | 11mo | $285,000 | $144 | 51 |
| 126 Navaho Trl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,459 (+11%) | 4mo | $353,000 | $144 | 49 |
| 107 Moonglow Trl | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,975 (-11%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $172 | 45 |
| 1867 Shellbrook Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,949 (-12%) | 11mo | $375,000 | $192 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $171,221
- Equity at exit
- $310,803
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.32×
- Total profit
- $514,115
- Equity at exit
- $670,259
Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35806
- Home prices YoY
- 20.0%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,272 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,809
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,028/yr
- Insurance
- −$144
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $-244
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,250
- Closing costs
- $10,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 Addison Park Dr Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1155 | $1,635 | $1.42 | 14d | 45 | 0.40mi |
| 741 Plummer Rd Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,744 | $1.70 | 14d | 15 | 0.42mi |
| 1589 Old Monrovia Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1657 | $2,448 | $1.48 | 14d | 17 | 0.91mi |
| 500 Providence Main St NW Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1090 | $1,793 | $1.64 | 14d | 35 | 0.96mi |
| 171 Kingswood Dr Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2850 | $2,500 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 335 Culbertson Dr Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1008 | $2,896 | $2.87 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 67 Town Center Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2970 | $2,495 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 445 Providence Main St NW Unit 409a Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2797 | $3,995 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 20 Town Center Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1089 | $2,750 | $2.53 | 14d | 113 | 1.31mi |
| 30 Pine St NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $2,595 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 6500 Walden Run Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1060 | $1,795 | $1.69 | 14d | 104 | 1.34mi |
| 1001 Cernan Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1011 | $2,378 | $2.35 | 14d | 19 | 1.34mi |
| 21 Stone Mason Way NW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1778 | $2,700 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8223 Stone Mill Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2046 | $2,300 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac, this charming full-brick home is minutes from Providence, University Dr, and Research Park Blvd with easy access to top amenities, dining, and entertainment. Inside, four spacious bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a fireplace perfect for chilly nights. The covered porch and patio are ideal for outdoor entertaining, while the fenced-in backyard provides a safe haven for pets and kids to play. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity! Schedule a showing today and make this house your home.
-
2026-03-17status Active 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac, this charming full-brick home is minutes from Providence, University Dr, and Research Park Blvd with easy access to top amenities, dining, and entertainment. Inside, four spacious bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a fireplace perfect for chilly nights. The covered porch and patio are ideal for outdoor entertaining, while the fenced-in backyard provides a safe haven for pets and kids to play. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity! Schedule a showing today and make this house your home.
-
2026-03-03status Pending 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac, this charming full-brick home is minutes from Providence, University Dr, and Research Park Blvd with easy access to top amenities, dining, and entertainment. Inside, four spacious bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a fireplace perfect for chilly nights. The covered porch and patio are ideal for outdoor entertaining, while the fenced-in backyard provides a safe haven for pets and kids to play. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity! Schedule a showing today and make this house your home.
-
2026-02-05$345,000 Active 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac, this charming full-brick home is minutes from Providence, University Dr, and Research Park Blvd with easy access to top amenities, dining, and entertainment. Inside, four spacious bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a fireplace perfect for chilly nights. The covered porch and patio are ideal for outdoor entertaining, while the fenced-in backyard provides a safe haven for pets and kids to play. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity! Schedule a showing today and make this house your home.
-
2016-04-29soldstatus $156,200 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Court Ordered Estate Auction Thursday March 31st @ 6PM. Court Ordered Estate Full brick rancher sits in cul-de-sac located in nice neighborhood. Features 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and approximately 2260 sq ft. Isolated master suite, some hardwoods in foyer & family room. Also includes fireplace, central heat & air, screened back porch and two car garage. Close to Providence and Research Park. Good school district all on large wooded lot. Sold as-is, where is.
-
2016-03-01$156,200 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Court Ordered Estate Auction Thursday March 31st @ 6PM. Court Ordered Estate Full brick rancher sits in cul-de-sac located in nice neighborhood. Features 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and approximately 2260 sq ft. Isolated master suite, some hardwoods in foyer & family room. Also includes fireplace, central heat & air, screened back porch and two car garage. Close to Providence and Research Park. Good school district all on large wooded lot. Sold as-is, where is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,028 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,415 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$387/yr (+$32/mo · 37.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,265
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,325
- − Property taxes
- −$1,028
- − Insurance
- −$1,725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,181
- − Management
- −$2,181
- − Depreciation
- −$10,036
- Taxable loss
- −$9,212
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,211
- After-tax cash flow
- $-713/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 220,435
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,161
- Household income
- $86,768
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1249.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 71.67%
- Current HPI
- 430.5866
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.57%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+120.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-03-17 Relisted — VMLS
- 2026-03-03 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $345,000 VMLS
- 2016-04-29 Sold (MLS) $156,200 VMLS
- 2016-03-01 Listed $156,200 VMLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,028 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…