816 S Chelan Ave · Wenatchee, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 25 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Permits Approved – Shovel-Ready Duplex + Upside Fully approved plans (BPC-25-163) to convert this Craftsman into a legal 2-unit duplex—start building immediately with no entitlement risk. Interior demo complete. Features include 8’ basement ceilings, two electric meters/panels, new roof, and a level ~7,400 SF lot with alley access and 4+ off-street parking. Efficient layout (~920 SF main + ~840 SF lower) designed for strong rental income. RH zoning (High Density Residential) supports additional density potential (buyer to verify). Rare opportunity offering a de-risked, permit-ready project with near-term income and long-term upside.
Key facts
- Alley access
- Approved plans
- Shovel-ready duplex
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned by city; Possible use: Residential; Lot features include alley, curbs, paved streets, and sidewalk
- Financial info: Eligible financing: Cash, Conventional, FHA, Rehab Loan; Multi-unit property with 3 total units; Some financial fields show zero or require verification (income/adjusted income listed as 0)
Exterior
- Parking: RV parking available
- Security: Fully fenced; Security gate
- Utilities: Electric power; Public water (PUD/City); Sewer connected (PUD/City)
- Home design: Triplex residential income property; Three stories; Building name: Peachey; Property listed as a fixer
- Construction: Standard frame construction; Wood construction materials; Composition roof; Poured concrete foundation; Built on a 50 x 150 lot (0.17 acres)
- Exterior features: Wood exterior products; Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Gated entry; RV parking
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units; One 1-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Concrete flooring; Softwood flooring
- Bathrooms: Two units with 2 bathrooms each; One unit with 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Basement; Has a view; Fully fenced lot; Security gate
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $699 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 2.9% in Wenatchee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#211 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, amenities B; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
- Wenatchee School District (urban): math 38% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #175 of 291 in WA (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wenatchee High School (2,076 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 326 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 762 units permitted in Chelan County in 2024 (377 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chelan County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.03%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $416,027
- List price
- $249,000
- Delta
- -40.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 706 Methow St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,300 (-2%) | 3mo | $209,000 | $91 | 76 |
| 741 Methow St | 0.10mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,160 (-8%) | 6mo | $349,900 | $162 | 66 |
| 721 Yakima St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,316 (-1%) | 8mo | $491,000 | $212 | 55 |
| 529 Douglas St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,389 (+2%) | 2mo | $520,000 | $218 | 53 |
| 905 Orondo | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,300 (-2%) | 6mo | $445,000 | $193 | 51 |
| 529 Crawford Ave | 0.61mi | 5/2.0 | 2,201 (-6%) | 9mo | $550,000 | $250 | 50 |
| 1609 Russell St | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,376 (+1%) | 10mo | $502,000 | $211 | 49 |
| 912 Okanogan Ave | 0.35mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,016 (-14%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $161 | 47 |
| 1315 Poe St | 0.68mi | 5/2.0 | 2,535 (+8%) | 9mo | $512,500 | $202 | 43 |
| 1013 Glenwood Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,056 (-12%) | 2mo | $555,000 | $270 | 38 |
| 1104 Rosewood Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,088 (-11%) | 3mo | $520,000 | $249 | 37 |
| 1101 Fuller St | 0.58mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,686 (+15%) | 8mo | $520,000 | $194 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-2,247
- Equity at exit
- $37,127
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $30,159
- Equity at exit
- $21,529
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98801
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 326
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,884 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,037/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$606
- Net cashflow
- $699
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $840 | -5% $770 | +0% $699 | +5% $629 | +10% $558 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $471 | -5% $585 | +0% $699 | +5% $813 | +10% $927 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $825 | -0.5pp $763 | base $699 | +0.5pp $635 | +1.0pp $569 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1315 Ormiston St Wenatchee, WA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1835 | $2,995 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 450 6th St NE East Wenatchee, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $249,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $249,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03status $249,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-04-28$249,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,037 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,440 · $203/mo
- Expected delta
- +$403/yr (+$34/mo · 19.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 25 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,610
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$2,037
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,769
- − Management
- −$2,769
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable income
- $4,599
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,104
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wenatchee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5309660
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,059
- Composite
- 41.72/100
- National rank
- #7189
- State rank
- #175 of 291 in WA
Livability — Wenatchee
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #211
- US rank
- #6003
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wenatchee, WA
- County
- Chelan County · 53,031 people
- City population
- 45,426
- Metro
- Wenatchee, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,426
- Household income
- $81,488
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1278.0
Population outlook (Chelan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,630 people
- By 2030
- 84,312 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 88,619 · +8.6%
- By 2050
- 91,915 · +12.6%
- By 2075
- 99,409 · +21.8%
- By 2100
- 100,032 · +22.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 14% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 27%
Political lean MEDSL · Chelan
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.5) · D 43.9% · R 53.4% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -9.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.5 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+15.7 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -569.39%
- Current HPI
- 227.1555
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Metro
- Wenatchee, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-26 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $249,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2026): $2,037 · -20.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…