5550 Hemingway Ct #1 · Indian River Estates, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$111,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Really nice manufactured home on corner lot. Nicely landscaped. Move in ready. Very well kept. Metal roof. Beautiful kitchen. Tile floors. Master Bedroom laminate. All appliances convey.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Tile floors
- Landscaped
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community; Pets allowed with limits
- Financial info: Land lease of $635.00 per month (lease expires 2027-05-13)
- HOA & community: Association with monthly fee; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool (heated), tennis courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball, billiard room, library, lobby, community room
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered/carport space (plus 2 open parking spaces); Concrete parking surface
- Security: Security patrol
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (Double wide); One story; Resale; Model: Palm; Faces northwest
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $111k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $915 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $111k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 5.3% in Indian River Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#653 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,130/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1086% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $767 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.34%
- DSCR
- 2.57
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $76,648
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5683 Hemingway Ct | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 1mo | $76,800 | $67 | 92 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $50,231
- Equity at exit
- $16,550
- IRR
- 44.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.26×
- Total profit
- $163,409
- Equity at exit
- $9,597
Cash invested: $31,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34982
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 336
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,130 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$582
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$139 /mo · $1,665/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$447
- Net cashflow
- $915
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,750
- Closing costs
- $3,330
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Melton Dr Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 341 Ashley St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $2,460 | $2.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 355 Johnston St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1118 | $2,500 | $2.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 352 Johnston St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,100 | $2.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 330 Borraclough St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,175 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 492 Salisbury Cir Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1486 | $2,395 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 526 Salisbury Cir Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1486 | $2,399 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5300 Seagrape Dr Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,450 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5315 Hickory Dr Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,045 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 699 W Weatherbee Rd Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,875 | $1.70 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $111,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $111,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $111,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $111,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $111,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $111,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $111,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $111,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $111,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $111,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $111,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $111,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $111,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $111,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $111,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $111,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11$111,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,555
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,218
- − Property taxes
- −$1,665
- − Insurance
- −$555
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,044
- − Management
- −$2,044
- − Depreciation
- −$3,229
- Taxable income
- $9,799
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,352
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for value increase through exterior painting and gutter maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace or clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace or clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Indian River Estates
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #653
- US rank
- #12946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indian River Estates, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 27,447
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,143
- Household income
- $54,082
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1086.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Hispanic 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.47%
- Current HPI
- 397.2649
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.42%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $111,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…